How bad does it have to get for you to leave?
Straightlinelogic recently and eloquently stated that he wants his freedom back in a couple of different posts. This is why several of us are game planning for Atlantis. Some of us want a physical Atlantis to give us hope. Some would like multiple distributed Atlantises, and I am not opposed to that.
What I am asking you to rate on a scale of 0 to 100 each of the following:
A) Your hope for your current country (Please state either US or non-US as well;
B) What your hope would be if we built Atlantis; and
C) What your hope would have to be in order for you to be so desperate that you would have to leave.
Remember Atlantis won't happen overnight. Many, including myself, are not planning on going unless things get really desperate. I have as good a shrug position as I could ever get.
What I am asking you to rate on a scale of 0 to 100 each of the following:
A) Your hope for your current country (Please state either US or non-US as well;
B) What your hope would be if we built Atlantis; and
C) What your hope would have to be in order for you to be so desperate that you would have to leave.
Remember Atlantis won't happen overnight. Many, including myself, are not planning on going unless things get really desperate. I have as good a shrug position as I could ever get.
B) I want to pursue Atlantis because it seems like a great thing to do. I have dreams of creating a city state that converts the desert(cheap undervalued land that requires water harvesting) into a great tree-abundant location.
My idea for creating the funding is to have an insurance company that sells a block of land in place of a fiat-currency-backed policy payout scheme.
[my idea for valuation of a ten acre block would be priced at AUD$ 1,560,000 for outright purchase; costing more if it is on a 'rent-to-own' payment scheme].
The idea is that a Gulch could be discreetly positioned within.
The business case I would make is creating an industrial-scale organic food production company that uses its location to create a research precinct that projects the technology prototypes necessary to engineer the environments of other planets.
Now I think that I am closer to the 'assistant' 'loaned' to Hank Rearden by the State Science Institute in being able to make it a reality but I am spending my time and money towards getting it closer to existence.
C) I want to get people thinking of frontier possibilities like that caused by America in Europe - the contrast causes reexamination of what is considered achievable.
I didn't mean to buy puts to speculate on market timing. I was saying someone could buy stock indices, protect the downside by buying out-of-the-money puts, and collect premiums from writing out-of-the-money calls. I wouldn't actually do something that complicated b/c there are annuity products that do the same thing. My point is there are financial products that store value effectively.
If everything sucks in the economy though, having a stable store of value is meaningless. All the value in the world is contained in things like equity in businesses, real estate located near jobs, good businesses, and nice neighorhoods. If you don't have those things, the problem is not your store of value.
I don't agree with, though, that its impossible to create a diversified portfolio of bonds, equities, and real estate. For further protection against economic fluctuations, you could either buy annuities with a guarantee or do it yourself by writing call options and using the proceeds from writing them to buy put options. You don't really need to be that sophisticated. A boring diversified will do the job.
I thought that I had previously submitted this, sorry if I didn't. My email is the same as my name here, followed by @gmail.com, if you so choose to contact me.
" It has created fairly consistent boom/bust cycles"
We had a major bust centered on the railroad industry in the late 19th Century. History is full of speculative manias. I'm not knowledgeable about whether the Fed Reserve has made that better or worse.
"When a society has $17+ trillion in debt officially ($50000 per person) and over $100 trillion in unfunded liabilities (> $300000/person), by all reason interest rates ought to be sky high. "
It won't last forever. We should fix this before it's a crisis. Right now we appear to be waiting for trouble; then we'll fix it.-- bad fiscal policy.
"Have you ever considered why AS characters insisted on being paid in Au? It is because the same amount of Au necessary to buy a suit 100 years ago buys the same suit now. "
I agree with this, but Au is a less predictable medium of exchange than the USD-- huge swings based on supply and demand. If I had a need to store value for 100 years and I were not allowed to have a trustee tinker with it, i.e. I literally had to bury it and leave it untouchd for 100 years, Au would be my first choice. I could buy 1oz for $1300 and know there will be roughly $300 - $3000 USD2014 there when they dig it up in 2114. If I were allowed to manage it in a conservative portfolio, I could turn it into roughly a half million USD2014 in 100 years.
A diversified portfolio of equities, bonds, and real estate.
"The dollar used to be a better store of value than other countries' currencies. "
To me this is like comparing whether a pick-and-place machine or a Honda is a better store of value. I think the Honda may be better b/c there's less change in the auto industry, and they're more liquid. But this is silly. Pick-and-place machines stuff parts on boards. Hondas take us from point A to point B.
Every year I go into Quickbooks and select "Items" to update prices. It's very easy. I also go into ezPaycheck and update people pay-- very easy compared to 940,941, SUTA, Workers Comp, etc. Taco Bell updates their menu with new styles and flavors, so it's not a huge onus on them.
It's much much harder to keep track of the fact that the brits call mm "mils", while to me that means "thousandths of an inch." But engineers make up units for fun: 5 mils = 0.25mm = 1 bee's dick = 5 gnat's asses. I see nothing hard about fluctuating prices.
Absolutely not. Businesses have value. Real estate has value. Consumer durables have value, but they depreciate. Capital equipment has value, but it depreciates. Currencies have value, but they depreciate. Consumer durables, capital equipment, and currencies are not bad. You need them for their intended purposes. They're not meant to be stores of value.
It sounds like you're saying you don't like the national bank buying debt instruments to expand the money supply. I'm fine with their free market operations to expand the money supply, but I don't like how the system is designed to be awash in debt. The theory is the financial institutions allocate capital to worthy projects via instruments of debt and equity, but it seems like a lot of debt is consumer debt in which consumers pay to have something a little earlier. You'd probably say they make that decision b/c they trust the national bank will expand the money supply in hard times, making the amt they need to pay back less; so with that "Federal Reserve put option" in place, they feel justified taking more risk. I'm not sure to what extent this happens, but it's what I like least about our monetary system. I think the biggest problem is people don't price risk well, but I don't know how much monetary policy is to blame.
If it's that tenuous that one person can change it, maybe it should be worth less than it is. A buck will buy me 60 capacitors on cut tape. Maybe in a few years it will buy me 10. This may be a big deal for people in the monetary policy world, but I don't care. A business that generates $100k in profit and is worth $500k is the same to me as one in 2030 that generates 500 e-pesos and is worth 2.5 kilo-e-pesos, or whatever we're using in 16 years.
I like making things that serve other people's needs, in exchange for something I want. I don't care at all whether it's the yuan. By 2030 it will probably be something very different from what I use today. All the value is in how you serve people. What you trade doesn't matter.
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