None of that supports the perported average for cities above 1m. I’m familiar with both versions of those analyses and they both explicitly put the range of stereotypical child absuctions in the range I mentioned - under 200 total. Indeed do you see what is missing? That figure. The NISMART studies do not give such an average.

It is important to understand that the. NISMART reports are based on random surveys. The one you reference is known as NISMART-2 and covers, IIRC, 1999. Rhe NISMART-2 placed the estimate at 115 of which 90 qualified as reported missing. This is the 95% threshold since even the crime data based portion was based on a survey of under 100 departments.

The criminal report studies show a similarly tiny number for total stereotypical a suctions. The DoJ comments on the NISMART data thusly:

“Contrary to the common assumption that abduction is a principal reason why children become missing, the NISMART–2 findings indicate that only a small minority of missing children were abducted, and most of these children were abducted by family members
(9 percent of all caretaker missing children). Close to 3 percent of caretaker missing children were abducted by a nonfamily perpetrator; among these, an extremely small number (90) were victims of stereo- typical kidnapping.”

Again, to get to the “stranger danger” numbers you have to filter out things like kids getting on the wrong bus, bus drivers going off route, and in NISMART-3 parents freaking out because their kid didn’t answer their cell phone. These incidents are counted in the larger “non-family addiction” numbers and are not what people talk or think about when taking about kidnapping by strangers. Yet these are examples taken right out of NISMART surveys that get categorized as “non-family abduction”.

Then again a fear industry is hard to sustain when fewer than 100 out of some seventy million kids fall into the stereotypical abduction category each year. So you have to be vague and broaden the criteria while using laden words like “abduction” to describe non-kidnapping scenarios and let the recipient’s imagination do the work for you.

^^
"These are the same children who demand “safe spaces” so they can only be around non-strangers."
They become adults who need emotional support fluffies and classes in "adulting".

Sounds kind of like my folks who retired in the Florida Panhandle. They basically live in the woods. They have been a magnet for strays.
In 24 years they have cared for over 16 dogs mostly mutts who just showed up one to three at a time. Some more skittish than others. The dogs are fiercely protective of them. Now they just have Two.
One went missing for a day and my dad was distraught, thinking it went off to pass away.
Thankfully it returned. Two days later Hurricane Michael blew by and devastated the area. Out of power for a month. Millions and million of trees snapped off ten feet from the ground. 100’ Cedars , Scrub oaks just unreal power. Thank your lucky stars today cause you never know what tomorrow will bring.

Rancher friend of mine had a bone pile!?! I asked him what varmits were in there and he said,"all kinds". I didn't ask what the bulldozer was doing sitting beside the bone pile. I decided to mind my own business. 4800 acres very near the Border.

Yeah. Friend of mine established a cemetery for our doggies. Funeral and all. I had Sam, my black Pug, for 17 years. I will never get over him. But one of my patients found Fred in the middle of the street in February 2011 and I don't think he had even been weaned. He is a charmer and you can't ignore him. Foxy collapsed in our driveway and my daughter-in-law brought her in the house. She only weighed 6 pounds, her nails had never been cut and she was covered in fleas. She couldn't even bark for two months. That little Chiwowwow (as we think she is) now rules the roost! She is a love bug!

National Incidence Studies of Missing, Abducted, Runaway, and Thrownaway Children Oct, 2003
There were an estimated 58,200 child victims of non- family abduction, defined more broadly to include
all nonfamily perpetrators (friends and acquaintances as well as strangers) and crimes involving lesser amounts of forced movement or detention in addition to the more serious crimes entailed in stereotypical kidnappings.
■ Fifty-seven percent of children abducted by a non- family perpetrator were missing from caretakers for at least 1 hour, and police were contacted to help locate 21 percent of the abducted children.
■ Teenagers were by far the most frequent victims of both stereotypical kidnappings and nonfamily abductions.
■ Nearly half of all child victims of stereotypical kid- nappings and nonfamily abductions were sexually assaulted by the perpetrator.

That doesn't jive with the data I have seen. The data I've seen over the years is fairly consistently for total stranger abductions per year in the U.S. is in the 60-150 range at the 95% confidence level. Even if we doubled that, the average you gave doesn't match up given we have far more than 3 cities in the U.S. with more than a million people. Indeed IIRC we have about 10.

These numbers have been pretty consistent since at least the 1980s. But you do have to look beyond the headlines and at the actual data. Most will list "missing" or "non-family missing" figures and let you assume those are all the stereotypical stranger kidnapping, when after digging into the details you'll find that out of the tens of thousands of missing less than two hundred were the stereotypical kidnapping. Part of that is because one kid running away 7 times and getting reported as missing (or even reported as having run away) will be included in the annual total 7 times.

The emphasis on the stereotypical kidnapping is crucial because of how the large numbers are gathered. Beyond the above note of recidivist runaways are the questionnaires used to come up with them. Often things that are not regarded as kidnappings/abductions are classified as non-family abductions. Bus driver take a wrong turn and caretaker called the school when the kid wasn't home on time? That's another (for each kid called about in one category, and each kid not called about on the bus in another). Yet if the victim knew or was acquainted with the perpetrator it is not classified as stereotypical.

So with all of that I am quite curious as to where you got that "average" from and how they came up with it.

These are the averages . the number of stranger abductions in a city of 1,000,000 is about 60 kids a year.

Riding one’s bike across town was fairly common up through the 80s as well. Your point about the media frenzy when something happens anywhere is pointedly salient. Regardless of intent the effect of inculcating unnecessary fear is unmistakable. Based on sheer basic statistics you can scare the public everywhere on average everyday. Indeed this effect is a significant chunk of the impetus behind the current cult of identity.

Inculcating kids in fear of strangers is a devastatingly bad idea. The kid who grows up afraid to talk to strangers is the kid who can’t engage with new people as an adult, who can’t ask for directions in a new city, who cries foul the moment someone says something they are unsure of scream “micro aggression”. Children raised to fear strangers are the ones who get taken advantage of as adults because they don’t know how to navigate social interactions. These are the same children who demand “safe spaces” so they can only be around non-strangers.

And before someone questions this from a “you don’t have kids then” claim, you’re dead wrong. And yes we raised our girls to not fear strangers but instead to keep a critical and wary eye on their surroundings. Sheltering kids from unfamiliar adults is probably a great way to raise a sociopath. Teaching them how to interact reasonably with adults is probably not a good way to raise a sociopath.

What is the reason that the commie manifesto plank was able to take over the education system?
This interview has the answer. https://www.google.com/search?q=norma...

Part of the problem now is just plain numbers. There are just plain more people in the world now than there were in the 50's/60's. Stands to reason that in that increased crowd there are more sicko's.
And now that the completion of the commie manifesto plank of taking over the education system is firmly in place, MOST of the new additions to the world population are being taught all the wrong things. The dam (USA) can withstand only so much pressure. I fear we don't have a lot of time left. I feel fortunate to have come along during a great time (50's 60's).
A small town on the east coast of Florida where the fishing was great and all the girls looked great on the beach during the endless summer.

Thank you for watching and responding. May your beautiful friend Rest In Peace. The type of trauma that an individual can survive from is inspiring. But there are scars so to speak that can’t be seen. Except the physical branding that Cathy was a victim of , those scars are permanent. The brain tries to compartmentaliz the traumatic events so the person can still function. Cathy talks about certain sections of the brain may be accessed because of this.
The video accessed by taping the Title of this post A Field McConnell lecture actually is much easier to watch because of his delivery and his taunting of the Perps. He really names the names of the true perps.

Rare case indeed .These cases of stranger abduction amount to about 20,000 a year in the US. You are correct that many are runaways , family or family friends or neighbors in other words not strangers . With that said the numbers are alarming. Research shows that of the 58,000 non-family abductions each year in the United States, 63% involved a family friend, long-term acquaintance, neighbour, caretaker, babysitter or person in a position of authority and 37% involved a stranger. The number of complete strangers is not insignificant but it remains far smaller than other offenders who have easy and legitimate access to children. (Source: National Center for Missing & Exploited Children, Children at Greatest Risk of Abduction When Going To and From School or School-Related Activities).

Love dogs so much that we will not get another.
They are way to hard to say good by to. Done it too many times. Another one could break our heart.

"I assume you are you telling this to your own children?"
Absolutely. They are 8 and 10. We encourage them to talk to strangers, but never go off to a secluded place or get near their car. If I see them having a dispute about something like what to play or whether someone cheated, as long as it's getting out of hand I let them handle it.

"If so, you must have total confidence in our changed world (changed for the worse)."
I don't know what total confidence exists for this issue. When they're out, my mind often goes to the worst. I think it will be like that all my life. I am happy that the world has gotten so much safer, in terms of lower crime, less war, less poverty, better communication, better medicine, and so on. Despite living in a safe, more prosperous, more just world that in most of human history, I have a normal level of parental paranoia. It think that may just be a human trait.

"But I suspect you are one of those who ignore serious issues in the name of social engineering, where everyone is happy and content, even though there was just a rape case in your neighborhood."
I don't know what social engineering has to do it, but I am one who will be out after a rape or horrible crime. Most people in my neighborhood are law-abiding. Some of us (several on my block) keep guns as accessible as fire extinguishers for the extremely unlikely scenario will need them. We don't have to be scared.

we recently buried a beautiful lady (spread her ashes on Saturday). She was in the military and was brought into the MK Ultra program. Her stories were so bizarre as to be unbelievable. At first, I thought this 65 year old woman was a bit "fruity". But the salient points are... Her doctors found and removed a couple implanted devices. She suffered migraines, and she was deathly afraid of MAINSTREAM MEDIA. (the scene from FireFly with Summer Glau comes to mind). She was disgusted by the Jesuits, but helped her church and helped feed those less fortunate. She had an inability to bond normally with males from all of the "games" she called them. If someone was attracted to her physically, it scared her.

Again, I thought it was a bit extreme, but I let her talk. She talked about being able to read peoples auras, and just INTUIT things as well as remember things very vividly.

When I watched the Video with Cathy O'Brien, it made my skin crawl. I had officially met an unhealed version of Cathy. Someone who by her own words escaped before they were to kill her! (now, why they did not find her and do something, I am not sure, she feels they were keeping tabs on her to see what, if any, of her memories she recovered. She did not recover many.)

Timing indeed. Closs was one of those rare cases that almost never happens.

I'm not knowledgeable about the other case, but it does not sound like a random weirdo. It sounds like a teenager running away. It shouldn't be lumped in with weirdos randomly snatching kids off the street.

The extremely rare cases of someone snatching a kid at random stand out because they're emotionally unsettling. They're like mass shootings. People want to know what's the lesson, i.e. what freedom or activity can we take away to prevent such a tragedy ever from happening again. That's the wrong question to be asking. I reminded of disclaimer I signed to participate in one of those walks to fight some disease. It said "I understand walking involves risk." It does, and that's okay.

I sincerely hope the actions of the lawyer who has a very strong record of success in libel cases takes the leftist detractors down in a serious way in court. He is taking these cases pro bono, to show how strongly he feels about the distorted way that the press and celebrities have maligned these young men. May good triumph over evil.

Don't tell me that! I also have five dogs. I'll let them out with us. One a Great Dane can make it to the fence in 60 seconds. Pretty good timing. She is a real bitch!

Thanks for the dino snack. Me dino likes my meat fresh.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gnra...

May me dino vanquish you and dance in celebration of your crying "Run away! Run away!"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wGNhL...

May a brontosaurus with a weak kidney condition find your Hope Chest.

May me dino find you at bay beneath my raised tail.

“May a diseased yak squat in your hot tub.“
https://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=...