Presidential Poll Results (July 3, 2016)

Posted by fivedollargold 8 years, 9 months ago to Politics
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Method: Three polls were posted to fivedollargold's FB page and various sites around the USA. Not enough data were collected in the Democrat or 3rd Party polls to be meaningful. The largest response was attained in the Republican poll (N-259), probably due to sampling bias. Participants were asked to vote for their top three choices in order to gauge the depth of each candidate's support and reduce within-sample bias. Results separated the GOP poll into four "tiers."

TIER 1:

56% Scott Walker

44% Ted Cruz

43.6% Dr. Rand Paul

TIER 2:

29.3% Dr. Ben Carson

25.9% Carly Fiorina

22.8% Marco Rubio

22.8% Donald Trump

19.3% Bobby Jindal

TIER 3:

10% Rick Perry

9.7% Jeb Bush

6.6% John Kasich

4.2% Chris Christie

3.5% Mike Huckabee

TIER 4:

0.8% Lindsey Graham

0.8% George Pataki

0.8% Rick Santorum

0.0% Mark Everson

Discussion: These results suggest a changing of the guard in the GOP towards younger, fresh faces, with a great deal of diversity. Except for Scott Walker, who leads this poll, governors did not fare well. Jeb Bush, who is presently doing well in other national polls, did not fare well here, either due to sampling bias or lack of depth in his support. Arguably the worst result is for Rick Santorum, who finished in the bottom tier despite finishing second to Romney in the last GOP presidential cycle.

Fivedollargold wishes to thank all people of the Gulch who participated and offered suggestions to improve the next poll.


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  • Posted by freedomforall 8 years, 8 months ago
    "The largest response was attained in the Republican poll"

    "These results suggest a changing of the guard in the GOP "

    Rearranging the deck chairs won't save the Titanic. Voting for the GOP is a one way ticket to the abyss.

    (Thanks for posting it, 5$G)
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    • Posted by 8 years, 8 months ago
      Thanks. In the Dem poll, only five people responded. Participants were asked to pick two. Remarkably, Hillary failed to get a single vote. Only one person voted in the Independent & Third Party poll. $5Au needs to find a better way to get these polls in front of peeps.
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