Moore's Law 50th Anniversary

Posted by $ WilliamShipley 6 years, 5 months ago to Technology
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50 Years ago yesterday, Gordon Moore published an article in Electronics which began "The future of integrated electronics is the future of electronics itself". He observed that the complexity of integrated circuits was doubling every year. At that point the sweet spot was 50 components on a single chip. A decade later he modified his estimate to doubling every two years. "Moore's Law", which is more of an observation than a law, is generally considered to imply a doubling every 18 months to two years and has continued to this day. We now see microprocessors with a couple billion transistors. It has transformed the world and will continue to do so for an unknown time to come.

At our office, in honor of this event, we will be having chips and salsa this afternoon so that we can all see how much we can get on a chip!
SOURCE URL: http://www.monolithic3d.com/uploads/6/0/5/5/6055488/gordon_moore_1965_article.pdf


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  • Posted by coaldigger 6 years, 5 months ago
    As I was reading Robert Samuelson's article in the Washington Post this morning and eating my corn flakes it occurred to me that there is a lot to learn from Moore's Law that has nothing to do with electronics. We are always quibbling about the "limits" on something and arguing over how it is to be allocated. This is unnecessary because left to the ingenuity of the human mind demand will always be met but not by a straight line extrapolation of what is currently known. We observe this over and over, yet we immediately forget and those that know the most about the current technology are often the last to grasp the solution.
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    • Posted by $ 6 years, 5 months ago
      Exactly. This is one of the reasons I hate the currently popular term 'sustainable'. It implies doing the same thing forever, but that's not how the human race evolves. We do so by changing what we do by using new technologies and new approaches.
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      • Posted by coaldigger 6 years, 5 months ago
        I had a professor in an Economic Forecasting class at the University of Pittsburgh that said "at the turn of the twentieth century, in the United States, there were more horses than people. If that trend had continues we would be up to our armpits in horse manure today."
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  • Posted by $ HeroWorship 5 years, 9 months ago
    The salsa/chip line made me smile.

    The changes we have experienced thus far are infinitely small in comparison to the ones we will experience (even if we go the way of Rome).
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  • Posted by $ jbrenner 6 years, 5 months ago
    We are getting quite close to the point where a paradigm shift will be needed in order to continue increasing computer speed. Lithographic methods have this problem known as the wavelength of light. If you want to learn how to overcome such issues, PM me about nanotechnology.
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