COVID-19 Mortality By Age Group per CDC 6/24/20
Posted by freedomforall 5 years ago to Business
I have been looking for some time for detailed age demographic data on COVID-19.
Without such information no one can rationally decide if economic shut down is a valid response to the virus. For example, if the virus has a high fatality rate among working age people that might indicate a justification for economic shutdown.
If that is not the case - if the fatality rate for working age people without pre-existing conditions is very low - then shutdown of businesses is hard to justify as a valid action.
These statistics ARE being compiled in the medical records but the media does not publicize the results.
The CDC has a database they call Provisional COVID-19 Death Counts with demographic data.
https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional...
You can download the data for a spreadsheet.
For the USA 2/1/20-6/24/20 per the CDC
Over 85 years 33.3%
Over 75 years 59.9%
Over 65 years 80.7%
CDC Provisional COVID death data by age for USA from state by state reports
2/1/20 - 6/24/20
Age..........%
<15............0.03
15-24.........0.12
25-34.........0.68
35-44.........1.72
45-54.........4.85
55-64.......11.94
65-74.......20.77
75-84.......26.61
85+..........33.29
https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional...
Over 65 age group makes up 6.6% of the US work force (about 10.4 million workers.)
Over 75 age group is about 1.1% of the US work force (about 1.9 million workers.)
Workforce demographics: https://dqydj.com/workforce-by-age-ca...
See attached bar graph.
Does this mortality distribution justify closing the economy, or is there a better way to protect those most at risk?
Without such information no one can rationally decide if economic shut down is a valid response to the virus. For example, if the virus has a high fatality rate among working age people that might indicate a justification for economic shutdown.
If that is not the case - if the fatality rate for working age people without pre-existing conditions is very low - then shutdown of businesses is hard to justify as a valid action.
These statistics ARE being compiled in the medical records but the media does not publicize the results.
The CDC has a database they call Provisional COVID-19 Death Counts with demographic data.
https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional...
You can download the data for a spreadsheet.
For the USA 2/1/20-6/24/20 per the CDC
Over 85 years 33.3%
Over 75 years 59.9%
Over 65 years 80.7%
CDC Provisional COVID death data by age for USA from state by state reports
2/1/20 - 6/24/20
Age..........%
<15............0.03
15-24.........0.12
25-34.........0.68
35-44.........1.72
45-54.........4.85
55-64.......11.94
65-74.......20.77
75-84.......26.61
85+..........33.29
https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional...
Over 65 age group makes up 6.6% of the US work force (about 10.4 million workers.)
Over 75 age group is about 1.1% of the US work force (about 1.9 million workers.)
Workforce demographics: https://dqydj.com/workforce-by-age-ca...
See attached bar graph.
Does this mortality distribution justify closing the economy, or is there a better way to protect those most at risk?
The estimated (conservative) actual death rate is below 0.1% -- a bad Flu Season.
You can thank the anti-Trump media and our gutless political leadership for all of this FEAR.
Just as Rome fell, the U.S. experiment is failing (too much success breeds weakness and cowardice).
“You people. Ewe sheep. Come to us for answers and action. We offer comfort, streaming anything and free stuff in exchange for your trivial freedoms, most of which you don’t use.”
Of the 15,230 deaths in people who were tested positive for coronavirus, only 0.7% did NOT have underlying conditions that likely contributed to the person's death.
99.3% of those who died DID have underlying conditions.
world 'went mad' with lockdowns
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...
and
https://principia-scientific.org/swed...
------
Norway's health chief: lockdown was not needed to tame Covid
virus . . was already on the way out when lockdown ordered
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/n...
and
https://principia-scientific.org/norw...
------
AAPS files with the court a chart showing how countries that encourage HCQ use, such as South Korea, India, Turkey, Russia, and Israel, have been far more successful in combating COVID-19 than countries that have banned or discouraged early HCQ use, as the FDA has. Last week the FDA even misled the public by falsely stating that HCQ should not be used to treat COVID-19, when multiple studies show its benefits, and thousands of patients have been successfully treated worldwide.
https://arizonadailyindependent.com/2... June 23, 2020
and
https://principia-scientific.org/doct... June 26, 2020
Question- can anyone track down the chart that AAPS filed with the court?
------
Meanwhile here are some refs about the value or otherwise of lockdowns.
Various data, mainstream and respectability biases-
https://www.vox.com/science-and-healt...
The WaPo, based on two studies, both these if I read correctly are in turn based on the notorious Imperial College London modeling by Neil Ferguson.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/health...
Not the latest, March 17, 2020, but reliable source- John P.A. Ioannidis, Stanford.
'evidence fiasco' '..extreme measures of social distancing and lockdowns. Unfortunately, we do not know if these measures work'
https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a...
"fatality rate for those under age 70 is just 0.04%"
https://www.reddit.com/r/LockdownSkep...
Selection of anti-lockdown views and data-
https://www.reddit.com/r/LockdownSkep...
The death rate-
"We destroyed our entire country and suspended democracy all for a lie, and these people perpetrated the unscientific degree of panic. Will they ever admit the grave consequences of their error?"
https://fromthetrenchesworldreport.co...
"Coronavirus Lockdowns Were a Mistake. The Media is Continuing to Mislead" audio blog
https://blog.hyperwellbeing.com/016-k...
Twitter users can go to- https://twitter.com/gummibear737
Comment from me, the two issues with lockdowns are-
1. Does it work, can argue to and fro. The costs are economic disruption and jobs lost, certain and large if not easy to quantify. The benefits are life and health. Thus we get the emotional blackmail cry of 'cannot price human lives', but the benefits are very questionable, could be negligible, we know about fake modeling.
2. Governments should not have the power to lock up people not guilty of committing a crime.
A fair number on this site, not just the pure Objectivists, would have this view.
Thomas Meunier. Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Falmouth, Massachusetts,
Ensenada Center for Scientific Research and Higher Education, Ensenada, BC. April 24, 2020
The summary is on-
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.11...
from which the full paper can be downloaded.
Comments are good, yes there are flaws in the paper which are not fatal,
but the onus of proof should be on the proponents of lockdowns to show it worked, this has not be done.
I'm still looking for the chart.
(Regards to deleted)
As you know, I studied and do the Blood Type Diet; (http://rightforyourtype.com). The Doc, (D'Adamo), every flu season gives us the low down on who (bloodtype) is on that years hit list. Many times it's between A's and O's with B's and AB's skewed one way or the other for vulnerability. This year, I must of missed or perhaps he didn't get into the covid thing...he is probably trying to make sense of all the bull out there like the rest of us....Interesting to note. Dr D'Adamo is an A.
Another interesting factoid about the clotting factor of A versus O: A has the thickest blood and O the thinnest/ acids in the stomach: As the least, Os the most. Although, through antiquity, we've always gotten along, we are the first 2 blood types but biologically, for all intent and purpose...we are opposites. Vegetarians versus Red Meat eaters. (leaving the "garden" necessitated a digestive change...hence: Blood type 0).
This year, it seems the majority of us lucked out.
blood type a is about 20% of the population.
https://www.news-medical.net/news/202...
and https://www.prevention.com/health/a32...
"A growing body of research is discovering a potential link between a person’s blood type and their COVID-19 risk. The latest stems via preliminary data from the at-home genetic test kit company 23andMe.
The company shared in a blog post this week that preliminary results from its ongoing genetic study of COVID-19—which currently has more than 750,000 participants—“suggest that O blood type appears to be protective.” Specifically, people with type O blood were up to 18% less likely to test positive for COVID-19 than those of other blood types."
none of the above info is true...as they have burned and buried the bodies we will never know...
the CDC paid the hospitals $39K per "covid" death...
Yes, I posted that thread and deleted it when I found the CDC data used in this thread.
(I thought "deleted" meant "deleted".
I guess not.)
However, the NYC data in that thread did make an additional point about pre-existing medical conditions, so I guess it's good it wasn't actually deleted. [grin]
Spot on blarman!
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