jlc
Total Points: 10,270
Location: Val Verde, CA
Landed: 13 years, 2 months ago
Last Seen: 2 months, 1 week ago
- 51Posted by $ jlc 6 years, 2 months ago to Is "Medical Martial Law" the only way to prevent millions of deaths from COVID-19?Please do NOT pass that advice on - about half of it is incorrect. Most importantly, while fever is an important symptom of Covid-19, it may or may not be accompanied by symptoms such as a runny nose. Having a 'runny nose' does not rule out Covid-19; while statistically, the lack of a fever is a counter-indicator, some individuals with no fever have tested positive.
The virus loves to live in a human whose body temp is 37C (98F) - How can it be killed by temps of 26C???!! Think about it!
We do not know how long it is viable on most surfaces. Comparisons with other coronaviruses may not apply due to high variability.
The precautions and advice in the above missive are dangerously wrong, with the exception of 'wash hands' and 'drink water'.
Please be careful about passing along such missives.
Jan - 52No, wmiranda, it is not the flu - though some types of flu are due to a related species. We know this because we test for the genes of the virus...that is what the Covid-19 test kits to: they test for unique genetic sequences that this particular virus has.
Whatever other decisions you make, please do not base them on the idea that this 'may be just the flu'
Jan - 53As you also probably know, I am a Medical Technologist - though I have not worked at the bench for ~27 years now. I started working at home and self-isolating this Monday past. Here is what I know:
-Every carrier infects X number of other people (and we do not know what X is yet or what all of the means of transmission are)
-Of those X people, Y become sick enough to go and be tested and turn out positive for Covid-19. If we artificially make Y = 100...
-Then, of that 100, ~20 become significantly ill
-And between 1-3 people die
We originally hoped that the X population was not infective, but it looks like many of them are. That means that the community contagion is spreading rapidly through our general population: your own immune system, age and general health will determine your personal risk.
H.sapiens is actually making a surprisingly good showing of rationality in terms of low-granularity decisions to self-isolate and to close public events. People are not waiting for the authorities to do this, eg HIMSS (big medical show) voluntarily canceled last week.
I admit that I have felt a bit like Cassandra, talking to my co-workers about this, though I was able to get some of them to a position of less risk.
Jan - 54I have heard this info too - but not from a good source, so it is one more thing to add to the 'hearsay' pile of info.
One of the factors that could make a huge difference is if we find an effective antiviral. Many are currently being tried, but I have not heard anyone shout, "Bingo!"
Jan - 55The genetic evidence indicates that the transmission path was originally from bats to pangolins to humans.
The salient factor in the spread of Covid-19 is that 80% of the people who get it are non-symptomatic. The bad thing about this is that we do not know what portion of the virulence is due to the patient's genes vs the virus' strain. The good thing is that if the virulence is related to the strain of the Covid-19 and NOT to the patient's genes, then catching the virus from a non-symptomatic carrier means that you have caught a less virulent strain and therefor there is less of a chance that it will do significant harm.
Since Covid-19 is an RNA virus, it mutates rapidly and there is no guarantee of immunity any given strain if the strain you caught was genetically different. There will probably be cross-reacting immunity of some degree...this is on of the things we don't know yet.
Since the virus is transmissible both before the symptoms are evidenced in the symptomatic- now cases and - now probably - by the non-symptomatic carriers, it is spreading through the population and it will eventually be present on a friend, co-worker, or cashier near you.
Jan - 56Posted by $ jlc 6 years, 3 months ago to IN THE MEME TIME: Why Trump Was Elected Edition and random acts of stupid statements.The gulags/guns one was frightening in its accuracy - right on target. The Russian agent/Communist nominee is very funny.
Thanks for the Monday morning humor.
Jan - 57Posted by $ jlc 6 years, 4 months ago to IN THE MEME TIME: Random News Edition and a few random acts of funnieness.Once again, thank you for a providing a small oasis in the day.
Jan - 58Thank you, dino.
Jan - 59Posted by $ jlc 6 years, 6 months ago to Another unconstitutional law to encourage federal government meddling - Trump signs federal ban on animal crueltyYou might want to read the actual text of the law before you comment. I have exercised self-control and not Pasted the entire text of the new law here, but for your ease of access, here is the first clause. (The rest may be found at: https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bill...
48.
Animal crushing
(a)
Offenses
(1)
Crushing
It shall be unlawful for any person to purposely engage in animal crushing in or affecting interstate or foreign commerce or within the special maritime and territorial jurisdiction of the United States.
(2)
Creation of animal crush videos
It shall be unlawful for any person to knowingly create an animal crush video, if—
(A)
the person intends or has reason to know that the animal crush video will be distributed in, or using a means or facility of, interstate or foreign commerce; or
(B)
the animal crush video is distributed in, or using a means or facility of, interstate or foreign commerce.
(3)
Distribution of animal crush videos
It shall be unlawful for any person to knowingly sell, market, advertise, exchange, or distribute an animal crush video in, or using a means or facility of, interstate or foreign commer - 60It will be interesting to see what you say when we do not keep interrupting you with our comments and jokes...:>)
Jan - 61Bought it.
Jan - 62I would agree with 'they do not want to'. There is nothing implausible about calculating how much they would need to charge for a procedure in order to maintain the burden of non-payers. Upcharging for aspirin is not the right way to do this.
Every one who sells something has the problem of needing to increase base prices in order to compensate for non-payers and problem-children. It can be done, and it would benefit the patients, but it requires Change...the dreaded Change!
Jan - 63You really need to have some concept of 'healthcare as a right' in a civilized society. Let's say that a poorly-dressed, dirty person is found passed out on the sidewalk. What do you do? Well, you take her to the hospital and treat her.
Is this pro-bono healthcare? Not really, because that dirty poorly dressed person is hypothetically 'me'. Maybe I was replacing a fence on my property (hence poorly dressed and dirty) and I have to make a trip to Home Depot to get something I inevitably forgot or ran out of. I do not feel well, step out of my car (leaving my purse behind), stagger a couple of steps and then pass out. I have medical insurance, but I do not have it 'on' me at the time I am found.
So, in order for me to be safe in our society, I have to endorse that hospitals take care of homeless people...because they are indistinguishable from me-building-fences.
I actually think that there should be a minimal healthcare safety net, intended for people without insurance, and I would be willing to pay for that because it would also catch me under the abovementioned circumstance.
Jan - 64I have helped design (train, implement, etc) medical billing software. The hospitals have leveraged the fact that they genuinely do not 'know' how much a procedure will cost, into a system of deliberately concealing even a viable estimate. For example, the same procedure, requiring the same length of hospital stay, for two patients, may result in different amounts. The diagnosis, insurance company, age, and other factors can change the reimbursement. You can estimate it ahead of time (estimate because you do not know ahead of time if there will be complications) but you have to do it for each individual patient. Or, you can do what a business does and charge a flat fee and make more profit in some cases than in others...but hospitals do not want to do that...
Jan - 65I tend to agree with term2 and DrZ. The sweet spot for changing healthcare is slightly offset from your question: Posting prices allows a lower granularity of consumer choice - little decisions made by individual people to meet their own needs. With obscure pricing, you are 'buying' a black box of medicine. If you know what each part costs, you at least have the ability to select what you want and where you want to go. Without the prices, you do not have that information as a tool to use.
Jan - 66We agree on the essentials, we are just weighting things in opposite directions.
Jan - 67I am only on a few lists, but I do note that those few tend to a 'throw out the baby with the bathwater' approach. If someone who has 'cooties' (political, social, religious, whatever) makes a good suggestion, they lambast it because of the source.
So, while I understand and agree with what you said, in trying to avoid doing that, I state that it is fine to praise medieval Muslim scholarship. At that time, they (and the Song dynasty in China) were the socially progressive and scientific luminaries of the planet, and they should justly get credit for it. (Now they are not; and should not.)
Jan - 68I do not have any problems with the first part of that statement. Muslim mathematicians - Hurrah! Muslim terrorists - blam! blam! blam!
On the other hand, our advances in space are to our credit, not theirs, obviously: dozens of countries benefited from the intellectual achievements of Muslim mathematicians and scholars...but only Russia and the US went into space.
Jan - 69I love the "seeing eye captain"...
I will definitely think about what you have said.
Jan - 70You may be on to something there: spreading out more might make a discernible change in the social environment. I am really looking forward to the changes that autodriving vehicles and low level robots will bring.
We have 2 employees who always work remotely and one who does so one day a week. Almost everyone else does 'occasionally'. But. We also have at least 3 (brilliant) employees who cannot work without someone hovering over them.
Much of my management technique is 'managing by walking around'. What I find is that very often, someone is blocked by a problem that a different person can easily solve...but the threshold of 'getting around to asking for help' is so high (need I mention that we have primarily introverts in the CA office?) that the problem will go unsolved for weeks (or months). If I wander in and ask, "So. What's goin' on?" and I find out about something like this, I then wander across the hall, "Hey Joe: Can you call [yadda yadda] and get [this information]?" Problem solved.
So here are two instances where remote work does not...work. (And do not suggest that I call these people and talk to them every day when they work remotely. I too am a mega-introvert and I would find excuses for learning Egyptian hieroglyphics rather than do this.)
I too am looking for a location out of CA to move to when/if Schuyler House no longer needs me (ie if we sell the company). I think I have found a decent, though not perfect, location...but I am still monitoring it.
Jan - 71I think we are talking about different things. I am not talking about the Peyton Place of current politics. I am reflecting on the comments on this thread that Californians/Liberals are carrying their ideas to other areas and infecting them.
I think that, as our society becomes more technological and people move into cities, we become (as a culture, not a political party) estranged from reality. This is what has allowed the growth of many of the liberal doctrines and is justly associated with (a) cities, (b) places like CA where much of life is virtual, (c) our increase in technology. Thus it is not so much the movement of liberals to other states that are infecting those states with liberalism but the growth of cities per se that causes a liberal environment...and people from CA move there too.
If I am correct in the above assumptions, some of which I derive from reading, then the growth of liberalism is inexorable. While, historically, I see this pattern, I do note that it applies to social rather than economic patterns. So - if the conservatives get their act together - we may have a future that includes Capitalism but your grandchildren will probably not own guns, eat meat, or think of themselves as binary gendered.
I am not saying that I want this, nor that it is the fault of one political party or another. I am suggesting that this may be an aspect of being human, as all of the cultures that develop technology seem to go through this process (admittedly, that could be imitative). If this is an accurate perception, then we must include it in any vision we have of the future.
Jan - 72While I agree with a substantial portion of what you said and agree that your statements are historically correct, what I said about 'one generation' is also historically correct.
I know more than one person, of my father's generation, who was beaten with a razor stop - and in one case beaten so badly that he could not go to school for 2 weeks.
My paternal grandmother called blacks Niggers and thought they should not drink at the same drinking fountain that white folks used; one of my nun teachers mentioned that there were Negros in Africa who had no souls.
I have just unearthed a Reader's Digest article from the 1970's in which a woman said that she had no use for feminism and she was delighted to be known by her husband's name and to spend her life taking care of him and the kids and have him support her financially.
There was a cock-fighting ranch in my neighborhood that was raided and thousands of roosters removed. That was just a couple of years ago.
We are not arguing whether or not Conservatives should be saddled with the sins of our forefathers (but never with their virtues, one notes). What I am pointing out is that the liberals seem fore-ordained to win on a social level.
You and I agree on the granularity of decisions and the worth of freedom. D'souza is a force that may turn aside some of the steamroller of liberal economic planning (as may we in the Gulch) but there will be 'more' and 'virtually all' of our population who are distanced from reality because they never had to get up and feed the chickens in a thunderstorm. These people will keep voting for unworkable plans. And we are a democracy.
Jan - 73Let me start out by reminding everyone that I am strongly conservative.
That being said, I read a lot of Steven Pinker's books, and he laments that he expects - by the end of his life - to be forced to be vegetarian because, historically, the direction that liberals move now, becomes the culture of the future.
Think about it: The ideologies of what used to be termed "Bleeding Hearts" are now what we consider to be core values of our culture: We cannot overtly despise and discriminate against Negros, and Women, and Jews. It is not OK to bait bears and have dog fights or cock fights or light cats on fire. It is illegal to beat your child with a razor strop until his back is bloody.
All of these things have changed in a single generation! All of these things were also values that 'Liberals' fought with against 'Conservatives' who were trying to keep these as revered traditional values.
I do NOT agree with the touchy-feelie modern culture in California, but I am quite aware of what history shows. We cannot deal well with the future without cognizance of the past, and so far the past shows 'we lose; they win'. If we are to change this, we must understand it.
I agree with Blarman that the liberal tendencies are linked to a technological environment that is remote from reality. In 1900, 90% of the jobs in the use were related to 'agriculture'; now it is about 2%. Most of the current generation has not had to deal with the bottom levels of Maslow's pyramid. This is going to continue. Our culture is going to become more affluent and our next generations are going to be even further removed from reality.
Is there any way we can deal with this?
Jan - 74Posted by $ jlc 6 years, 8 months ago to Nathaniel Branden's remarkable and forgotten contribution for personal transformation - the sentence completion techniqueI have had a similar experience with his workbook, "If You Could Hear What I Cannot Say". It is a fantastic tool that a person can use - on their own - to discover hidden motivations and perceptions.
I endorse it for anyone who is interested in self-knowledge.
Jan - 75In an objective sense, we have eliminated much of poverty. Our 'poor people living in shacks' are better off than the chief of a Paleolithic village. Agamemnon could not eat ice cream. The poor people of the future will live in mansions, but will still be poor relative to the rich people. It is all a question of technology.
Now, that being said, I agree with the other posts on this page about the misappropriation of our taxes.
Jan