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And the Survey SAYS...

Posted by sdesapio 10 years, 11 months ago to Entertainment
233 comments | Share | Best of... | Flag

A few weeks ago we asked you, the Atlas Shrugged community, to fill out an anonymous online survey. Thousands of you responded and, while we will NEVER divulge any personally identifiable information about any of our members, following are some very interesting meta results.

Gulch, here's who we are...

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Sex
29% Female
71% Male

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Age
6% Under 30
26% 30-49
43% 50-65
23% Over 65

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Marital Status
15% Single
4% Cohabitating
66% Married
10% Divorced
2% Widowed

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Political Affiliation
2% Democrat
18% Independent
23% Libertarian
35% Republican
16% Tea Party

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Voted in the 2012 Presidential Election
93% Voted
3% Did not vote
3% Not registered to Vote

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All Comments

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  • Posted by BambiB 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.

    Correct. In point of fact, if you want to prove there's no such thing as flying reindeer, it does not suffice to say, "no one has seen one".

    And yes, if researchers are able to limit the universe of possibilities, eliminating each element in that universe DOES prove non-existence... within that universe of possibilities.

    The "proof" there are no flying reindeer does not hold - unless you can prove that if flying reindeer did exist, they MUST have been seen by biologists, aircraft pilots or naturalists.

    More to the point, is this a real species? http://english.people.com.cn/mediafile/2... How about this: http://images.nationalgeographic.com/wpf...

    Oh wait, prior to 2008, neither species had been observed by a biologist, aircraft pilot or naturalist. But they both been discovered since. Along with dozens of other species. So the "no one has seen one" argument doesn't... "fly".

    Regards the "Ace of Spades", assuming a fair deck, the universe of all possibilities is KNOWN. If someone could define 52 possible varieties of god, then it would likely be possible to prove (or disprove) the existence of god... that is if testable hypotheses are possible.

    In criminal justice, it's possible to prove something did NOT happen by proving a mutually-exclusive event DID happen. "My client cannot be guilty of a murder at midnight on New Years in Germany because he was in an interview on television in Times Square". Of course, this does not address the "absence of evidence" comment.

    In the medical case, the universe of possible reactions is not known. Therefore, the absence of evidence (in a subset of the population) is not (conclusive) evidence of absence. It may tend to make the likelihood of reactions more or less likely (the same as flying reindeer).

    Regards the existence/absence of a diety - it is ENTIRELY a personal belief - unsupported by objective evidence.

    "Logic fails where faith abounds." is equivalent to "faith is illogical".
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  • Posted by LeeCrites 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    This quote most likely is in reference to a statement in Carl Sagan's book "Science as a Candle in the Dark." If memory serves, he was actually quoting Martin Rees. He is speaking of the "Appeal to Ignorance" logical argument. This is the claim that whatever has not been proven false must be true and/or whatever has not been proven true must be false. Are there flying reindeer? Nobody has ever observed them, but that does not prove they do not exist.

    Irving Copi, in his book "Informal Logic" argued that there are circumstances where it can be assumed that if something exists or something occurred, evidence of it could be discovered by researchers who are qualified and knowledgeable. In those cases, it is perfectly legitimate to state that the absence of proof of the existence or occurrence is positive proof of the non-occurrence. Therefore, since no biologist or aircraft pilot or naturalist has ever observed a reindeer flying about, denying the potential of flying reindeer is a legitimate deduction.

    At the same time, James Randi's assertion that "you cannot prove a negative" slaps both of them in the face. Neither the Sagan/Rees or the Copi statements can be true in Randi's paradigm. His assertion is that unless every single reindeer on the planet has been personally checked and proven incapable of flight, it is never a legitimate claim to say a flying reindeer does not exist. This is the train of thought BambiB used above -- unless every single potential construct of anything resembling a god has been tested and found to fail, it cannot be asserted that there is no god.

    All three have very limited application, though. In probability theory, for instance, the Sagan/Rees comment is false. If you are playing cards, just because you have not seen the ace of spades does not mean it has not been played.

    In criminal justice, just because there were no witnesses to an event does not mean the event did not happen. It is, however, quite possible to "prove" something did NOT happen. Thus all three are potentially wrong.

    In medical research, just because no patients had a particular reaction does not mean that reaction does not mean it is not a potential risk. It can, however, be proven that a particular regimen will not perform, thus Randi's assertion is false.

    And, finally, when it comes to deity, there is, by definition, a personal aspect to the belief. If one chooses to not believe, there is no proof which will be persuasive. If they choose to believe, there is no proof which can be dissuasive. Logic fails where faith abounds.
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  • Posted by BambiB 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    So your argument is that for 100-150 years American men were unable to figure out that they could vote bread and circuses, but within 10 years of women getting the vote, everyone figured it out? That in states where women did not have the vote, no one figured they could vote for bread and circuses even when those in neighboring states (where women had the vote) did figure it out? Really? For 50 years that went on? As soon as women got he vote, the men also suddenly voted for bread and circuses, though they'd not done so for 150 years prior? Really? Think all the women were telling the men, "Now that we can vote for bread and circuses, you should too!"??

    I think it rather more likely that the men understood the consequences - while women, with vastly inferior knowledge of economics - did not. Thus women, in their ignorance, have set America on the path of economic destruction.
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  • Posted by BambiB 10 years, 10 months ago

    Your comments betray a lack of understanding of science as great as the lack of understanding of Mormons by those who say, "The only reason to be a Mormon is to shtup multiple wives". The two are equally valid.

    For openers, the greatest desire of most scientists is to discover something that no other scientist has yet revealed - and if it's something completely at odds with everything we thought we knew, so much the better. This is the absolute opposite of anyone in the clergy of any religion and in stark contrast to the desires of the devout. Sure, a lot of science is learned "using the same books" - but that's because it's not likely that the fundamentals will ever be overturned. 1+1=2. Fight that all you want, but you won't get far.

    The major difference between science and religion is HOW people know things. Religionists read things in a book and "believe in their hearts" that it's true. They never think about it. They're never critical. They just accept it. Dissent is officially discouraged, and if your theory doesn't fit official dogma, at some point, you're just cast out - regardless of the evidence.

    Scientists review (and perhaps repeat) experiments that explain aspects of the physical universe. A prime example of the difference between religion and science was the report a couple years ago that a project at CERN had detected neutrinos traveling faster than light. The commonly accepted science is that no physical object can travel faster than light - so there was a bit of an uproar. The general consensus was that IF it was true, it would upend much of what we thought we knew. http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/...

    And yet, the scientific community embraced the challenge. They tried to replicate the results. They analyzed the project and they hoped to learn the TRUTH. No one was punished or cast out for challenging the accepted standard.

    Compare that to what would have happened in any religious context. For centuries, anyone daring to counter the preachings of their church was labeled a "heretic". Many were torture, burned to death, crucified or cast out of their church. The Mormons aren't any different. If you stand up in church and make announcements that new evidence proves Joseph Smith was a con man, a horse thief and a liar, odds are, you WON'T be invited to discuss your heresy in a civil manner.

    Where are religions' repeatable experiments? There are none. Where is the proof of religion? There is none. There are only stories. You cannot validate any religion by doing the experiments yourself.

    Then there's the REAL appeal to ignorance: "Why do we have eyelashes? If you don't know, then science must be invalid and god must exist!" Hogwash! I can immediately think of one evolutionary advantage: The eyelashes are a "warning system" for the eye itself. Something touching the eyelash prompts one to blink, perhaps preserving the eye from damage. When did the first eyelashes evolve? I don't know. But I won't ask you to have faith that we will know some day, because it's possible we never will.

    I'm not jousting with your straw man.
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  • Posted by BambiB 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    "The statement "absence of evidence is not evidence of absence" was made popular by Carl Sagan. ... Sagan's general position was that "science is saying in the absence of evidence, we must withhold judgment"

    PRECISELY.

    Science (or religion for that matter) presents no evidence for or against the existence of god. Therefore, we must withhold judgment - which is what agnostics do. Another way of saying that is, "There's not enough evidence, so I don't know."
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  • Posted by BambiB 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    "I, personally, cannot argue with their education or their equations or their assessment of the data or their conclusions."

    100% agreement on that.
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  • Posted by BambiB 10 years, 10 months ago
    And yet, you have no evidence that god does NOT exist. Seriously. Let's see your case. Once again (and hopefully you get it this time) the absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. The fact that there's no proof that god(s) exist is not proof that no god(s) exist. You have to do better.

    The fact that the "other side" keeps coming up with hair brain "proofs" does not mean you are correct. As an (admittedly imperfect) example, suppose the religionists attempted to prove that pi was equal to 2, then 15, then 56... you could easily prove them wrong. But that does not mean that pi is equal to whatever number you say it is. If you say pi is equal to 3, and successfully prove that pi is not equal to the infinite number of real numbers that exist between 4 and 5, you're just as wrong as they are! You have to PROVE your case, or it has no more validity than the pro-god arguments.

    And that's my point. No one... Not the buddhists, or the christians or the shintoists, or the druids, or the atheists, or the satanists - have proven their case. None has evidence that is empirically better than the other. The most anyone can say - logically, rationally, honestly - is they do not know whether there is a god or not. My personal belief is there is no god. But I'm honest enough to say that belief is only a personal opinion.

    And yes, I understand and generally accept the premise of Occam's Razor. But it's not an immutable law of the universe. Take classical physics. It's very simple. You have electrons and neutrons and protons whizzing around making up matter... until some goofball named Richard Feynman comes along and makes the entire thing a lot more complicated with stories about quarks - and not just quarks - up quarks, down quarks, strange quarks with color and spin and charm (oh MY!) Was the simpler explanation of classical physics correct? Yes. As far as it went. But the more you look at it, the more complex the question becomes.

    We pretty much know everything there is to know about classical physics. But there are still some very critical question about quantum physics that remain unanswered. I submit that had we stopped with "the simplest" explanation, we would have missed the entire picture... and so it is with the "god" debate. The fact that all of your opponents are wrong is not proof that you are right. To think otherwise would be a logical fallacy that assumes that the set of positions so far advanced was in fact the universe of all possible positions. Until you've defeated every single version of "god" that can be proposed (my personal favorite is that "god" is a purple dinosaur who runs around singing, "I love you, you love me" - but who didn't have the foresight to get his book out before the other guys), you have NOT proven your case.

    Let me make that even more clear: In order to prove there is NO god, you must prove that every single possible god construct is FALSE. Not just today's established religions. Not just belief sets that may have fallen into disfavor. Not just the individual personal belief sets of every person on the planet, or who has every lived in the history of the planet, but every conceivable (and perhaps even inconceivable) description of god that anyone (including life forms on other planets, or in other universes) might have of god, including the idea that "god" may simply have created our universe with no more concern than someone tossing an apple core out the window of a moving car - that the seeds sprouted and we now enjoy the benefits of what (to god) was inconsequential act of no importance.
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  • Posted by LeeCrites 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    There are two axioms I work with in relation to your comment: "Statistics are generally worthless and can be spun to mean everything and nothing."

    1) Figures never lie, but liars can figure.
    2) There are three kinds of lies: white lies, damn lies, and statistics.
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  • Posted by LeeCrites 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    So? What makes us think the "evidence" we see is reflective of reality?

    Let me try to put it another way: If the universe is as old as they say, and the total time humans have been in existence is as short as they say, then every bit of data we could possibly have been able to accumulate is like seeing one single frame, somewhere towards the end of the massive "Lord of the Rings" trilogy, and trying to guess what happened in the previous 9 hours of the movie.

    Some very smart (meaning highly educated) people are looking at the data they have in front of them, and making what to them is a highly educated guess as to the meaning of that data. Their "scriptures" are the numbers and equations and various data points, as well as the training they received and statements of previous, highly educated, individuals.

    I, personally, cannot argue with their education or their equations or their assessment of the data or their conclusions. But I *can* see that with their limited vision of what has happened in the past, that in order to truly come to those conclusions, they have to take an awful lot "on faith."

    You mentioned the sun. The problem with this one is that nobody knows how or why the sun does what the sun does. What made the sun form? What made it "kick on" so it started the nuclear reactions? What makes it maintain those reactions? There are guesses by highly educated individuals, but, again, we are left looking at "other evidence" and trying to formulate in our mind a logical reason for them to exist. It is "faith" in the minds of the ones doing the formulation that makes the rest of us believe them.

    But we don't understand any of it, really. There is still argument as to whether ray of light is a wave or a particle. Sometimes it "acts like" one, and sometimes it "acts like" the other. Is it that the ray of light changes? Or is it our ability to measure it is totally inadequate? Is it our ability to look at the evidences we have and reach a correct conclusion? The "greatest minds" are still debating the true existence of light, and we see it every day.

    If we truly reach down to the guts of most "scientific truths," we will see initial assumptions which have been "taken on faith" as axiomatic.
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  • Posted by khalling 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    we are not assuming something for which there is no evidence FOR. whenever religion has tried to define a testable hypothesis for what God is, it's proven wrong. Then other hypotheses are brought forward. Intelligent design, anyone? I have never seen gravity, but I know it exists. There is no testable hypothesis for God. As soon as you come up with one, I will prove it wrong with science. OA always reminds us, Occam's Razor. Postulating a God to solve a question when it is not necessary not=r adds anything to understanding. atheism simply rejects that premise. Mostly ignores it.
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    • BambiB replied 10 years, 10 months ago
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  • Posted by BambiB 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    I don't disagree with any of that. But an atheist makes an assertion for which there is no supporting evidence, that being, "There is no god".

    My scientific side revolts at such bald and unsupported gibberish, in large part because it's the exact analog of what religionists say about their religion, that is, "My religion is true" - without any proof or ability to test the hypothesis (or as you point out, without even a rigorous, testable definition of the hypothesis).

    That's why I consider atheism another religion: The secular religion of the "un-god". It has no more (or less) basis in fact than ANY religion that relies upon the existence of a god, because (without any proof whatsoever) it rests on the requirement that no god exists! This, whether you care to admit it or not, is "belief in things not proven" which is typically the definition of "faith".

    So you have an unprovable hypothesis (and one that isn't well defined or testable) and an act of faith that the hypothesis is true to the exclusion of all competing hypotheses.

    How is that different from religion?
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  • Posted by khalling 10 years, 10 months ago
    I'm permalinked here. which means I can't see all that I am typing so please bear with me. Big Bang: we do not have to have been there to have evidence.We have never been inside the Sun to physically see nuclear fusion but we know it exists based on other evidence.
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  • Posted by LetsShrug 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Probably didn't miss them....just don't remember them. I didn't swallow mine... I was with a bunch of kids...the parents were nearby but in another room...finally one came in...noticed me turning blue probably and wacked me on the back. SCARY! Those esophaguses can come in handy.
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  • Posted by BambiB 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    The difference is that every scientist is on the hook to explain his methodology and demonstrate his results. When reaching conclusions, repeatable experiments are key. Of course, this doesn't apply to areas where there are only hypotheses - as in "what happens inside a black hole?" But for areas considered "settled" in science, the entire road map of how to replicate the experiments is available.

    In addition, theories change and improve as our knowledge gets better. Newtonian physics is pretty good as far as it goes, but it doesn't describe what happens at the atomic level. For that, greater understanding is needed. So science is constantly improving.

    Religion? Not so much.

    If anything, the superstitions of another age wear thin as mankind becomes more knowledgeable. Heinlein said that any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic - but it goes the other way too. The "miracles" of an earlier time is often indistinguishable from thread-worn parlor tricks and comic book versions of reality.

    My favorite example of that sort of stupidity is placing Galileo under house arrest and condemning him for saying that the earth revolves around the sun instead of vice versa. Any scientist who made such a monumentally-stupid statement would lose all credibility. And yet the inspired-by-god Catholic Church keeps chugging along with the same fools believing in its "infallibility".

    The Mormon religion hinges on the book of mormon - touted by Joseph Smith as the "most perfect book on earth", chock full of errors: Jesus was born in Jerusalem, Over 4000 grammatical and spelling errors, and a litany of factual errors (Benjamin got the magic glasses? Or Mosiah? The angel who delivered the plates: Nephi? Or Moroni?) Some critics view the writing as "immature" as in when the armies of Shiz and Coriantumr fought until everyone was dead - except the two leaders. Really? When has THAT ever happened, except in comic books?

    And bear in mind those are just a few of the INTERNAL flubs- mistakes that are observable without subjecting the entire belief system to the additional burden of repeatable experimentation.

    Religion has none of that. There's no accountability in religion because there are no reproducible results. It may all be true, or all be false, or some true or some false, just like any tall tale. But the thing religion is not is this: Verifiable.
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  • Posted by LeeCrites 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    I don't want to argue the whole one-mans-fact-is-another-mans-fiction topic -- that is far to difficult to discuss face to face; typing in a blog just wouldn't work.

    But I'll counter with my question: What faith base questions are scientists asked?

    Lots.

    The difference is that scientists have numbers and figures and equations instead of chapters and verses.

    We take the "big bang theory" on faith. Faith that people have a clue when they look at signals received in a telescope from "out there" that they are interpreting it correctly. Nobody was there when it happened and there are no records from eye witnesses to tell us -- we have a consensus of folks who were virtually all trained using the same texts, so look at things in the same way. Hence consensus is relatively easy to get. But since they have numbers and charts and pictures, it is somehow considered "factual."

    We take certain points in the "theory" of evolution on faith. Some of the points are provable, hence, by faith, the rest are assumed. Arguments which deny evolution are simply discounted as "some religious fanatic" -- even when "intelligent design" (originally used to support evolution and counter creation) is used.

    Why do we have eye lashes? Easy answer: millions of years of evolution. But who were the first ones to have them, and why does everyone have them now? Easy answer: we don't have that information yet, you have to take it on faith...

    ...faith that some time, somewhere, someone will figure it out and have proof for you.

    You see, we take a LOT of scientific "knowledge" on faith. There is no proof, only theories which cannot be proven right or wrong, and which are generally accepted by those who pronounced them in the first place.

    Back in the 80's, I wrote a syndicated monthly op-ed article. It was only a couple of years, but still, it was something I did back then. I wrote a piece called "The Faith All Scientists Need" where I listed all of the things modern science must take on faith. Meaning things "known to be true," but for which there were no sure, empirical proofs available.

    My conclusion was that atheist scientists had to live by a greater degree of faith than the most devout Christian ever did.

    Enjoy your weekend...

    BTW: I love Nauvoo!
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    • khalling replied 10 years, 10 months ago
    • BambiB replied 10 years, 10 months ago
  • Posted by khalling 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    the christian god was an example.
    a lack of facts is not evidence that something exists either. There is absolutely no facts to support god exists. ultimately, god is not defined in a way provable. Belief is based on faith. faith, by definition, is belief in something for which there is no evidence.
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  • Posted by khalling 10 years, 10 months ago
    wow, you missed some of the finer points. I, too, have choked on a butterscotch candy, Brachs. traumatizing as it made its way sl-o-w-l-y down the esophagus
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  • Posted by BambiB 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    And yet, if the majority is stealing your property, how will you get them to vote to stop? (The Founders had a pretty good idea. They did it with guns.)

    While I think I've said I believe the 19th Amendment is the greatest legislative mistake in the history of America (and if I haven't, I say it now), I believe the greatest judicial failure in our history is Wickard v. Filburn (and its ilk). Of course, there are many judicial blunders to choose from, Wickard seems to have had the longest lived and most pernicious effect on America.
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  • Posted by BambiB 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Once again, absence of evidence is NOT the same as evidence of absence.
    And I don't consider the only "god theory alternatives" to be christian versus atheist.
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  • Posted by LetsShrug 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    I was in Nauvoo when I was a kid. Jumped on a hotel room (or Nauvoo guest room...not sure) bed while sucking on a butterscotch disk and almost choked to death on it. That's about all I remember about the whole trip.. I remember hearing "Zion" and "Independence MO". It was a family church group trip of some kind.
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    • khalling replied 10 years, 10 months ago
  • Posted by khalling 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Lee, what questions of fact are religionists asked? Faith based arguments and revealed truths are not fact based discussions. I agree that a religionist has an uphill battle answering all the myriad reason based questions people come up with. Pray for a miracle. lol. I'm sorry, it's friday afternoon and I'm ready for a little joking. This does not mean that we can't live side by side and agree on much. You're certain I'm wrong and I'm still waiting for rational scientific answers. I do not care about your lifestyle.
    OK, that said, I grew up across the river from Nauvoo. Most polite, well-groomed, well -spoken couples and families ever. and very interesting town and museums to visit.
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  • Posted by LeeCrites 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    When folks ask a scientist for a reason, he gives them his best shot. Is he right? Who knows. Nobody expects a scientist to have every answer to every question, so when they don't, nobody walks away saying "science is the opiate of the masses." Plus, nobody looks at the scientist and judges him for his lifestyle or any mistakes he makes in his life or his personality quirks. He is, after all, a scientist.

    When someone asks a religionist a question, he gives them his best shot. Is he right? Who knows. But everyone expects the religionist to have every answer to every question, even the trick ones, and he can never be wrong. If he is, then people abandon religion as false. Furthermore, if the religionist turns out to be human, with the foibles and quirks of fallen man, then people use that as an excuse to reject him and religion.

    Be careful, my friend, how you judge. Your judgment is an open reflection of your heart. Seeing how people judge others and events and situations tells us everything there is to know about that person. Probably a good many things they would rather not have everyone else know.
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  • Posted by LetsShrug 10 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Also...if the LDS church will let in Jodi Arias....one has to wonder what the screening process is like. (BTW I grew up heavy in the RLDS church...I have zero use for organized religion. It's just another form of collectivism which replaces logic with "faith". If you ask questions that can't be logically answered...THAT IS the answer "you have to have faith that Heavenly Father has a reason...." blaht!)
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