Hillary dumped by big money left. Dem vote to be split. Gallup Poll independents 42% ahead of 29% Dinos and 26% Rinos AND % breakdown of Liberal, Moderate, Conservative
Three stories in one. Hillary loses Big Time Support and a Gallup poll shows two major parties are second and third behind independents and splinters and disenfranchised. The last is in Comments on percentage of liberals, moderates and democrats.
Major Progressive Group http://MoveOn.org Endorses Sanders By Record Numbers
Cortney O'Brien
http://townhouse.com
http://Moveon.org the primary action arm of George Soros is officially dumping Hillary and going for Sanders. Soros was a bit miffed at his bought and paid for sock puppet the Wicked Witch of The left. Iowa and New Hampshire showing Sanders ahead of Hillary.
That would be the Secular Progressives.
Ain't It Grand!!!!!
With the vote split for the left wing of the left the right wing of the is catapulted although the 29% available to Dinos won't accrue to the right wing of the left's candidate.
Still it solves one problem . You don't have to choose the lesser of two evils and lose your vote to winner take all by....supporting evil.
Now it depends on who the Right wing of the left chooses unless Webb steals even more Demo votes from Hillary.
the thick plottens!.
Opportunity time splinters opportunity time
When i wrote that Gallup hadn't chimed in. in the main area and all with links
http://Townhall.com for the above.
"Democratic, Republican Identification Near Historical Lows
by Jeffrey M. Jones
Story Highlights
42% identify as independents, 29% as Democrats, 26% as Republicans
Independent identification at least 40% for fifth consecutive year
Democrats maintain edge over GOP in party identification and leaning
PRINCETON, N.J. -- In 2015, for the fifth consecutive year, at least four in 10 U.S. adults identified as political independents. The 42% identifying as independents in 2015 was down slightly from the record 43% in 2014. This elevated percentage of political independents leaves Democratic (29%) and Republican (26%) identification at or near recent low points, with the modest Democratic advantage roughly where it has been over the past five years.
U.S. Party Identification, Yearly Averages, 1988-2015
Since 1988, when Gallup routinely began conducting polls by telephone, there have been many years in which more Americans have identified as independents than as Republicans or independents. But the percentage of independents did not reach 40% until 2011, and it has stayed at or above that level for the past five years.
As a consequence, the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Democrats is now at the lowest point in the past 27 years, down from the prior low of 30% in 2014. Gallup's shift from in-person to telephone interviewing in 1988 complicates the ability to directly compare party identification data collected between the two methods. However, Gallup data from 1951-1987 collected in person never found a yearly average Democratic identification less than 37%, making it safe to conclude that the current 29% is also the low point in Gallup polling history.
The percentage of Republicans is now just one point above its recent low of 25% in 2013. Before 1988, there were several years when the average percentage of Republican identifiers in Gallup polls was lower than 25%.
The rise in political independence is likely related to Americans' frustration with party gridlock in the federal government. In the past several years, dissatisfaction with the government has ranked among the leading issues when U.S. adults are asked to name the most important problem facing the U.S., and was the most frequently mentioned problem in 2014 and 2015. Also, Americans' favorable ratings of each party are on the lower end of what Gallup has measured over the past few decades.
Democrats Maintain Edge When Independents' Leanings Are Factored In
Although political independents lack a strong enough attachment to either party to say they identify as a Republican or a Democrat, most are inclined to favor one party over the other and generally vote that way. After initially asking Americans if they identify as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent, Gallup then probes independents as to whether they lean toward the Republican or the Democratic Party. The combined percentages of party identifiers and leaners give a sense of the relative strength of the two major parties in the U.S., because in most elections, voters are asked to choose a candidate from one of the two parties.
Last year, in addition to the 29% of Americans who identified as Democrats, another 16% said they were independents but leaned toward the Democratic Party, for a combined total of 45% Democrats and Democratic leaners among the U.S. population. Likewise, 26% of Americans identified as Republicans and an additional 16% identified as independents but leaned toward the Republican Party, for a combined total of 42% Republicans and Republican leaners.
That three-percentage-point Democratic advantage matches what the party enjoyed in 2014, but is down from 2012 and 2013. The high point in Democratic strength was in 2008, a time when President George W. Bush was highly unpopular in the midst of the prolonged Iraq war and the emerging economic recession. That year, Democrats had a 12-point advantage in party identification and leaning.
U.S. Party Identification (Including Independent Leanings), Annual Averages, Gallup Polls, 1991-2015
Democrats have had at least a slight advantage nearly every year since Gallup began consistently measuring party leanings in 1991. That initial year -- when President George H.W. Bush led the successful Persian Gulf War effort -- is the only time Republicans held an advantage in party affiliation. In four other years -- 2002, 2003, 2010 and 2011 -- the parties were essentially even.
Implications
Americans' attachment to the two major political parties in recent years is arguably the weakest Gallup has recorded since the advent of its polls. The percentage of U.S. adults identifying as political independents has recently reached levels never seen before. As a result, a new low of 29% of Americans identify as Democrats, and the percentage of Republican identifiers is on the low end of what Gallup has measured historically.
Given that 2016 is a presidential election year, and the percentage of independents usually declines in years when Americans are choosing a president, both parties have an opportunity to win back some of their lost support. But doing so partly depends on how appealing the parties' and their presidential candidates' messages prove to be.
Even if the parties win back some support, they still will probably be competing among an electorate that has a historically high percentage of voters who do not identify with either major party. And the lack of strong attachment to the parties could make candidate-specific factors, as opposed to party loyalty, a greater consideration for voters in choosing a president in this year's election than they have been in past elections.
Major Progressive Group http://MoveOn.org Endorses Sanders By Record Numbers
Cortney O'Brien
http://townhouse.com
http://Moveon.org the primary action arm of George Soros is officially dumping Hillary and going for Sanders. Soros was a bit miffed at his bought and paid for sock puppet the Wicked Witch of The left. Iowa and New Hampshire showing Sanders ahead of Hillary.
That would be the Secular Progressives.
Ain't It Grand!!!!!
With the vote split for the left wing of the left the right wing of the is catapulted although the 29% available to Dinos won't accrue to the right wing of the left's candidate.
Still it solves one problem . You don't have to choose the lesser of two evils and lose your vote to winner take all by....supporting evil.
Now it depends on who the Right wing of the left chooses unless Webb steals even more Demo votes from Hillary.
the thick plottens!.
Opportunity time splinters opportunity time
When i wrote that Gallup hadn't chimed in. in the main area and all with links
http://Townhall.com for the above.
"Democratic, Republican Identification Near Historical Lows
by Jeffrey M. Jones
Story Highlights
42% identify as independents, 29% as Democrats, 26% as Republicans
Independent identification at least 40% for fifth consecutive year
Democrats maintain edge over GOP in party identification and leaning
PRINCETON, N.J. -- In 2015, for the fifth consecutive year, at least four in 10 U.S. adults identified as political independents. The 42% identifying as independents in 2015 was down slightly from the record 43% in 2014. This elevated percentage of political independents leaves Democratic (29%) and Republican (26%) identification at or near recent low points, with the modest Democratic advantage roughly where it has been over the past five years.
U.S. Party Identification, Yearly Averages, 1988-2015
Since 1988, when Gallup routinely began conducting polls by telephone, there have been many years in which more Americans have identified as independents than as Republicans or independents. But the percentage of independents did not reach 40% until 2011, and it has stayed at or above that level for the past five years.
As a consequence, the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Democrats is now at the lowest point in the past 27 years, down from the prior low of 30% in 2014. Gallup's shift from in-person to telephone interviewing in 1988 complicates the ability to directly compare party identification data collected between the two methods. However, Gallup data from 1951-1987 collected in person never found a yearly average Democratic identification less than 37%, making it safe to conclude that the current 29% is also the low point in Gallup polling history.
The percentage of Republicans is now just one point above its recent low of 25% in 2013. Before 1988, there were several years when the average percentage of Republican identifiers in Gallup polls was lower than 25%.
The rise in political independence is likely related to Americans' frustration with party gridlock in the federal government. In the past several years, dissatisfaction with the government has ranked among the leading issues when U.S. adults are asked to name the most important problem facing the U.S., and was the most frequently mentioned problem in 2014 and 2015. Also, Americans' favorable ratings of each party are on the lower end of what Gallup has measured over the past few decades.
Democrats Maintain Edge When Independents' Leanings Are Factored In
Although political independents lack a strong enough attachment to either party to say they identify as a Republican or a Democrat, most are inclined to favor one party over the other and generally vote that way. After initially asking Americans if they identify as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent, Gallup then probes independents as to whether they lean toward the Republican or the Democratic Party. The combined percentages of party identifiers and leaners give a sense of the relative strength of the two major parties in the U.S., because in most elections, voters are asked to choose a candidate from one of the two parties.
Last year, in addition to the 29% of Americans who identified as Democrats, another 16% said they were independents but leaned toward the Democratic Party, for a combined total of 45% Democrats and Democratic leaners among the U.S. population. Likewise, 26% of Americans identified as Republicans and an additional 16% identified as independents but leaned toward the Republican Party, for a combined total of 42% Republicans and Republican leaners.
That three-percentage-point Democratic advantage matches what the party enjoyed in 2014, but is down from 2012 and 2013. The high point in Democratic strength was in 2008, a time when President George W. Bush was highly unpopular in the midst of the prolonged Iraq war and the emerging economic recession. That year, Democrats had a 12-point advantage in party identification and leaning.
U.S. Party Identification (Including Independent Leanings), Annual Averages, Gallup Polls, 1991-2015
Democrats have had at least a slight advantage nearly every year since Gallup began consistently measuring party leanings in 1991. That initial year -- when President George H.W. Bush led the successful Persian Gulf War effort -- is the only time Republicans held an advantage in party affiliation. In four other years -- 2002, 2003, 2010 and 2011 -- the parties were essentially even.
Implications
Americans' attachment to the two major political parties in recent years is arguably the weakest Gallup has recorded since the advent of its polls. The percentage of U.S. adults identifying as political independents has recently reached levels never seen before. As a result, a new low of 29% of Americans identify as Democrats, and the percentage of Republican identifiers is on the low end of what Gallup has measured historically.
Given that 2016 is a presidential election year, and the percentage of independents usually declines in years when Americans are choosing a president, both parties have an opportunity to win back some of their lost support. But doing so partly depends on how appealing the parties' and their presidential candidates' messages prove to be.
Even if the parties win back some support, they still will probably be competing among an electorate that has a historically high percentage of voters who do not identify with either major party. And the lack of strong attachment to the parties could make candidate-specific factors, as opposed to party loyalty, a greater consideration for voters in choosing a president in this year's election than they have been in past elections.
Conservatives Hang On to Ideology Lead by a Thread
Conservatives Hang On to Ideology Lead by a Thread
by Lydia Saad
Story Highlights
Conservatives in U.S. are largest ideological group, at 37%
Moderates close behind at 35%
Liberals remain at high of 24%, first reached in 2014
PRINCETON, N.J. -- Americans' political ideology remained essentially stable in the past year, with conservatives retaining the barest of advantages over moderates in Americans' self-identified political views, 37% vs. 35%. Liberals held firm at 24%.
Americans' Self-Identified Political Ideology -- 1992-2015
Conservatives have outnumbered moderates as well as liberals in the U.S. population each year since 2009, coinciding with Barack Obama's presidency. Before that, spanning George W. Bush's presidency, from 2001 to 2008, the two groups were about tied. Through most of Bill Clinton's presidency, from 1993 to 2000, moderates had a slight edge.
The 2015 results are based on interviews with roughly 12,000 national adults conducted between January and December 2015 as part of Gallup's monthly Gallup Poll Social Series surveys.
There was a one-point drop in the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as conservative between 2014 and 2015, from 38% to 37%. While not statistically significant, it does continue the narrowing of the gap between conservatives and moderates Gallup has seen since 2011. Meanwhile, with the percentage identifying as liberal increasing from 21% in 2011 to 24% in each of the past two years, conservatives' advantage over liberals has been cut sharply.
Gallup measures ideology by asking Americans to say whether their political views are very conservative, conservative, moderate, liberal or very liberal. The total of 37% calling themselves conservative today reflects 28% calling themselves "conservative" and 9% "very conservative." The 24% who are liberal includes 18% who are "liberal" and 6% who are "very liberal."
Democrats' Shift to the Left Continues
The expansion in the percentage of liberals over the past five years has been most evident among adults who identify with the Democratic Party, rising from 39% in 2011 to 45% in 2015. Longer-term, the percentage of Democrats calling themselves liberal has climbed 16 percentage points from 29% in 2000, while the percentages who are "moderate" and "conservative" have both declined.
From 2000 to 2003, moderates were the largest ideological group among Democrats, followed by sizable proportions identifying as liberal and conservative. Since 2012, however, liberals have been the largest group, with a sizable moderate component and a significantly smaller conservative component.
U.S. Political Ideology -- Recent Trend Among Democrats
Republicans Remain Mostly Conservative
Over the past two decades, Republicans have consistently been a more homogenous party than the Democrats, with the majority calling themselves conservative and most of the rest identifying as moderate. No more than 6% in any year has self-defined as liberal.
The conservative faction within Republicans swelled to 70% or more between 2008 and 2014. While not statistically significant, the drop to 68% in 2015 is nevertheless notable for breaking the pattern and bears watching in 2016.
U.S. Political Ideology -- Recent Trend Among Republicans
Independents Still Diverse, but With Dwindling Moderate Faction
Independents are naturally the most diverse of the three main political groups, with the bulk (41%) calling themselves moderate and substantial segments identifying as conservative (32%) or liberal (22%). This has largely been the case since 2000, but some shifts began to occur in 2009. After hitting a low of 18% that year, a steadily rising proportion have identified themselves as liberal, and fewer as moderates, while the percentage of conservatives initially grew from 30% to 36%, but has recently slipped back to 32%.
U.S. Political Ideology -- Recent Trend Among Independents
Bottom Line
The ideological bent of U.S. adults changed little in 2015, although Democrats continued to inch to the left. This continues a significant long-term trend, with a slight increase in Americans favoring the liberal label, mostly at the expense of conservatives. While conservatives still outnumber liberals by a healthy margin in the U.S. population, the gap is narrower than at any point in Gallup's 23-year trend. It is also possible that after several years of heightened conservatism among Republicans and independents, this is moderating somewhat, but it is too early to say for sure.