17

Shocker on CBS: Earth 'Not As Warm...As the Climate Models Predicted'

Posted by $ nickursis 9 years ago to Science
92 comments | Share | Flag

Well, it seems that not everyone is sure that "climate change" is really "climate change". Maybe they just need to admit they really do not have enough data to say, and approach it from some other direction if it is really a concern. Not being a scientist, I can be open to a discussion about why increased CO2 may be a problem, since it also goes in hand with wiping out the worlds largest carbon sink (amazon basin forests). There may be issues that could need addressing, just not at the point of a spear, screaming in rage and fear..take note climate change aficionados..your approach needs some tweaks.
SOURCE URL: http://newsbusters.org/blogs/matthew-balan/2015/04/24/shocker-cbs-earth-not-warmas-climate-models-predicted


Add Comment

FORMATTING HELP

All Comments Hide marked as read Mark all as read

  • Posted by DrZarkov99 9 years ago
    I've learned not to try to argue facts or logic about anthropogenic induced climate change with a true believer. The following proposition does meet with at least silent shock:

    Regardless of whether or not you believe that humans can actually change climate, let us assume that the nation decides to undertake a Manhattan style project to move to clean energy as fast as possible (this, of course, assumes the unending stream of agencies that make life miserable can be swept aside). The Earth's power supply currently comes 70% from carbon-based fuels, 20% from nuclear sources, 7% from hydroelectric, and 3% from "clean" sources (wind, solar, geothermal). An effort to accelerate the installation of clean energy will require the use of enormous amounts of energy for development, construction, transportation, installation, and distribution. Since most energy currently is supplied by carbon fuels, more of those fuels must be expended in the near term to meet this need. Efforts to reduce the use of carbon fuels will therefore make it impossible to move to clean fuels faster, and will actually slow any effort to increase those power sources.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by $ WilliamShipley 9 years ago
      We did have a Manhattan style project to develop clean energy -- it was called the Manhattan project. Nuclear power is clean, proven, and non-polluting we need to upgrade reactor design and keep building.

      I would like to see serious investigation of thorium reactors. They were a working option back in the 60's but not followed up on because we WANTED plutonium. Now, not so much.

      If you really want low CO2 (and why do you hate plants?) go nuclear. It works.
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by KevinSchwinkendorf 9 years ago
        Some European countries (e.g., Italy) are now renewing interest in Molten Salt Reactors (MSRs). There is also growing interest in the USA too. Small Modular Reactors (SMR) based on MSR technology have many advantages over more conventional solid-fueled reactors, including real-time separation of fission products from the fuel circulation loop, and with online addition of fissile fuel, and fertile depletion, you can effectively use all the uranium you mine, not just one half of one percent (natural uranium is 0.71 wt% U-235, the rest being U-238). This puts energy reserves for nuclear power into the millennia, not just decades.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by $ jlc 9 years ago
      I think you are spot on. If we encourage the use of carbon fuels as an intermediary step to re-developing nuclear power we are on the right track. There is enough carbon based fuel for the world for a century - probably for 2 centuries. The key is 'sweeping aside the regulatory agencies' so that we can move ahead.

      The whole Copenhagen Consensus Center platform is directed at doing an end-run around the power structure that is at the heart of global warming - and its real raison d'etre.

      Jan
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by plusaf 8 years, 11 months ago
        Well, if history or economics or engineering has any opinions, humans tend to use whatever's cheapest and most (currently) available until it runs out, and then we (they?) move to whatever's next.

        England deforested their country because wood was abundant; when the woods were gone, they developed coal (with a boost, literally, from development of the steam engine to pump water out of mines.)

        When the coal was depleted, they turned to oil, hydro and wind.

        You can advocate 'jumping to the Next Big Thing,' but if it's not commercially economical, you ain't gonna convert enough people into "believers" to make dat happen!

        But good luck trying!
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by woodlema 9 years ago
      At what cost? I have done some extensive research on this "renewable" stuff. The long and short boils down to one factor.

      Currently, given current technology, approximate 15x more energy in creating these sources, that is ever "saved" by them. The energy and pollution costs to create one hybrid auto battery is well above that, not counting the hazmat suits you need to clean it up after an accident.

      The is no doubt that the cleaner the energy is the better, pollution is bad, however the discussion is on 'MAN-CAUSED" global warming/climate change which is a bunch of hooey.

      Changing the topic is not appropriate in a discussion on Man-Caused Climate Change. That is what the liberals do.
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by DrZarkov99 9 years ago
        I don't think I changed the topic. I simply introduced some "unpleasant" facts into the discussion. You can argue the credibility of weather modeling until the cows come home, and it won't make a convert out of the climate change believers, but when faced with real numbers they can confirm themselves, some have actually revised their position.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by $ Thoritsu 9 years ago
      Clearly engineers are not being consulted to work the problem. If people want clean solar power, vegetable oil in diesel engines works just fine. It is the highest energy per acre, by a huge margin, and it is almost carbon neutral. Ethanol is no substitute.

      Solar cells are a not ready yet, and wind is a joke. Nuclear is a great transition, but imaginations stand in the way of solutions.

      We have blown untold sums of socialist monies on what the cartoon-watching crowd consider "green" technologies.
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by DrZarkov99 9 years ago
        There is a reason that nearly all of the biodiesel companies are out of business, and it's the simple fact that none of them have been able to beat the cost of regular diesel. The self-deception was a result of looking at "home brewed" biodiesel made from used cooking oils, where the food preparation establishments welcomed someone hauling away their trash. The concoction was easily made, and naturally cheap.

        Mixing agriculture and energy sciences hasn't worked out so well. While the theoretical BTU production of oils like canola looks good on paper, the raw product isn't a perfect substitute for regular diesel, and the added post production processing is what breaks the bank.

        Ethanol is a putrid substitute, allowed because the toxic aldehydes that are a combustion product, while harmful to people, aren't in the government list of pollutants. Like all of the "clean" energy sources, ethanol production is heavily subsidized. There's a good reason Brazil is reverting to gasoline, now that it's found a rich oil supply off its own shores.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by $ Thoritsu 9 years ago
          Agreed.

          My point was if one wants renewables, one should want vegetable oil based diesel engines. (Assuming one is not an ignorant zealot, seeking solar, wind or wave power because it is "cool") Economies for all other forms pale by comparison. Of course fossil fuels are cheaper, but not by that much. Vegetable oil is ~$4/gal, not too far behind diesel, and you don't need to desulfurize it.

          The problem with vegetable oils is the injectors, particularly the new direct injectors. They rely on the much lower viscosity of diesel fuel to get good atomization. However, there is no problem with a diesel engine running on straight vegetable oil (SVO), if the injector is tweaked for it.

          If one was to really believe fossil fuel needed replacement, an investment in this technology is far superior to $400M in solar panels, or worse yet, wind turbines.
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
          • Posted by DrZarkov99 9 years ago
            The problem with "tweaking" everyone's diesel engines to run on vegetable oil is the cost of making these alterations to a very large number of existing vehicles, and getting the alterations approved by the DoT (emissions check, and with the new truck standards that will be expensive). You may get by with changing your pickup to run on this stuff, but the biggest users of diesel are the enormous trucking fleets, and there's no way this change can be accommodated cheaply. In all probability a blend of diesel and vegetable oil might be given a pass. One other point is that it's very unlikely that enough vegetable oil can be produced to completely replace the supply of diesel now being used.

            Ethanol has had an impact across the agricultural spectrum, and pumping up vegetable oil production to divert even enough to be used as a supplement will likely have a negative impact on everyone's grocery bill as well. Your figure of $4/gal tells me that the market isn't going to induce farmers to get into the game against diesel at $2.50/gal, and I don't think any in Galt's Gulch would be screaming for a government subsidy.
            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
            • Posted by $ Thoritsu 9 years ago
              I think we agree, though I would not look at is as a Makers/Hacker "tweaking" engines to run on SVO. If you do this, you sell it, and have real engineers doing the injectors for it. (note - plenty of people run SVO successfully presently by modifying the viscosity with waste heat from the engine.)

              Not sure about being able to produce enough. That is probably something to look into.

              Still think you are still missing my point. I am NOT advocating replacing diesel with SVO. I am simply pointing out its technical feasibility and low cost / very modest technical hurdles to implement, at least relative to any other renewable. My point is that the renewables zealots refuse to advocate simple options because they are not sexy, in favor of wind turbine, solar farms and electric cars. None of which is practical in a comprehensive manner.

              They are just a bunch of argumentative hand-wringing zealots who want to claim everything the present establishment has is bad to get their undeserving hands on the steering wheel.
              We need wind power - what about the birds
              Hydroelectric is clean - what about the fishes and rivers. Release the Waters!
              Solar is the answer - Don't cut down any trees for the farms, and you cannot shade the desert!
              All rely on electric vehicles for transportation, with an order of magnitude battery problem, and zero infrastructure. You point out the need to change diesel engines. Yes; however, SVO-diesel does not require any substantive infrastructure change to fuel distribution, the grid, the vehicles or how we operate the vehicles. Again, I am not advocating to do this, only the ignorance of the zealots pining away for esoteric options.
              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
              • Posted by DrZarkov99 9 years ago
                We definitely agree on the impractical nature of how so called "clean" energy sources are promoted. The greenies get extremely uncomfortable when you point them to the horrific videos that show the toxic waste generated in production of wind and solar systems. I am a fan of one form of hydroelectric power that's easy to install and "fish-friendly," and that's free stream microturbines.

                As I recall, the glitch in SVO fuel was engines that wouldn't start at low temperatures, even with the proper injectors. The solution was relatively simple: carry a small amount of diesel to get the engine started, and use engine heat to warm the SVO fuel lines.

                A more exotic approach to the diesel substitution idea is the use of butanol (heavy alcohol) as an additive. Even though of SVO-like viscosity, butanol allows engine start even in temperatures that are difficult for straight diesel. Butanol is practically the ideal fuel, with energy content near that of gasoline, and raising both the octane and cetane numbers, making it a friendly additive for either gasoline or diesel engines. The challenge is getting production cost down.
                Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                • Posted by $ Thoritsu 9 years ago
                  Yes, SVO becomes think, even solid at low temperatures, and the solution is to start with diesel/biodiesel, heat the SVO and switch over.

                  Will Butanol run in both Otto cycle and a Diesel cycles, or is it more of an additive? I am unfamiliar with its use in internal combustion engines, but understand what it is.

                  Free stream turbines seem like a pretty good idea. The waterways are very well understood and mapped, making the power predictable, and fresh water is a lot more benign than seawater. Water density makes it a whole lot better get power out than wind. A 1 MW free stream turbine is ~9ft in dia., depending on the water speed. A 1 MW wind turbine is enormous. We did some work designing generators and/or converters for Free Flow Power and two other free flow turbine companies a few years ago (names escape me). They all seem to have run into capital problems. Still a lot of equipment for utility-scale power. Not sure if any municipalities have looked into it. Their price point is consumer-use, not generation-level, and a lot easier to show a return.
                  Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                  • Posted by DrZarkov99 9 years ago
                    Yes butanol will run in both Otto and Diesel cycle engines. It works well as a primary fuel in Otto cycle, but better as an additive in Diesel.

                    Hopefully, some of the ideas like free stream river power and small modular reactors will get a push from a renewed interest in distributed power. My military background made me uncomfortable with the idea of an ever broadening, linked power system, as that makes the entire nation vulnerable to sabotage. It looks like some people in the power industry have the same concerns, and are now leaning more in favor of a more distributed power network.
                    Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                    • Posted by $ Thoritsu 9 years ago
                      Yes, the grid is susceptible. One thing keeping it from being compromised is much of the technology is so old, it lacks the hooks to tamper with it.

                      SMRs are a good idea. I wish people could understand how many operating hours the Navy has on reactors, and how few incidents (none), even after a 688 ran into an undersea mountain at speed. .
                      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by philosophercat 9 years ago
    Where I sit was under a mile of ice 13,000 years ago. the sea level was 260 odd feet lower and Mammoths roamed what is now under the sea. We are in a "interglacial warming period" which has thousands of years to go before the ice sheets return and grind Montreal and New York into glacial debris. I like climate change and hope for more soon. Increased energy means more life forms spread over more of the earth. Science is discovering that life forms which lived through the last interglacial cycle have genes adapted for warmth. When Darwin sailed across the Pacific he sailed over villages on submerged islands and saw climate change.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by $ allosaur 9 years ago
    So volcanic emissions have a cooling effect.
    Well, la dee da. How about that?
    Here in Alabama, the EPA recently closed down some plants that make electricity by burning coal.
    What does the EPA want us to do?
    Gag due to the EPA's man-made heat while jobless?
    Oh, I forgot. I never believed in man-made global warming.
    As for "climate change," I've heard of massive volcanic eruptions temporarily disrupting "the weather" and ruining crops due to clouds and cold for a year or two.
    The climate (that does gradually change) generally snaps back to its current normal after the volcanic clouds clear.
    I do believe that's history.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by khalling 9 years ago
      hey dino, we are thinking of setting our third novel in Alabama. Whereabouts are you? It's going to be all about black ops EPA. got a location suggestion for us?
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by $ allosaur 9 years ago
        I live in Pleasant Grove. The tornado of April 27, 2011, that also wrecked Tuscaloosa, missed my home by a quarter of a mile.
        If you scroll around on the Google map link you'll find me close to Birmingham on the right.
        I have not read your novels. So what kind of settings do you need? For landscapes, Alabma has a bit of a Southeast state's everything. It's hilly in the north and flat past Montgomery to the Gulf.
        City scenes? The Southside of Birmingham is hip. Nearby Bessemer is a run-down mess.
        Plenty of Mayberrys down here.
        Centreville in Bibb (dry) County where I was stuck too long back in the 70s should still be one.
        There's a lot of great river scenery especially north of where I live.

        https://www.google.com/maps/place/Pleasa...

        Oh, I like this map better than what I thought I had.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by khalling 9 years ago
          also looking for an old camp that has been shut down but not re-developed.
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
          • Posted by $ allosaur 9 years ago
            There are various camps for kids about Birmingham and along the Coosa River you may want to research to find one that's closed.I do not know of any though.
            I spent three days at Camp Cosby by the Coosa River with my kid and others as a supervising adult on a school outing back in the 90s. Nothing looked new there but it wasn't closed.
            Creating a fictional camp may be an option for you.
            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by khalling 9 years ago
          I am looking for rural. I have spent some time at a friend's family horse farm outside of Talladega. yes, I will research the river situation. any white water?
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
          • Posted by $ allosaur 9 years ago
            Of long heard of folks riding white water on the Cahaba River. Be wary of riverbank sand between rocks you can walk on. I almost lost a boot to quicksand and dented a camera on a rock I managed to wrap an arm around while falling in. Camera still worked and I didn't drown when the band Blonde was popular. Ha! Ha!
            Thank God for that blessed rock!
            There's a Coosa River White Water Festival.
            Below is a helpful start for Bama white water research.

            http://www.bing.com/search?q=alabama+whi...
            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
            • Posted by khalling 9 years ago
              thank you very much. I like the quicksand concept
              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
              • Posted by $ allosaur 9 years ago
                The quicksand I stepped into looked deceptively dry and exactly like the solid sand I stepped off of over a rock.
                The sand was sort of off-white in color.
                The rock that may have saved my life was where I fell to the right when my right leg got sucked in just over the knee.
                Those could not be just loose rocks on top of the sand.
                They must have been projections from a rock mantle with sediment sand on top of it.
                At least that's my theory about an incident way back in the 70s.
                Yikes! I just looked at the start of my last post.
                "Of long heard of--" That's "I've," of course.
                One day there may be spell checkers that catch typos of bad grammar.
                Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by $ jbrenner 9 years ago
    The only shocking thing about this is that CBS acknowledged that A = A.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by $ 9 years ago
      After all the singing of "we are damned" it is amazing they allowed the NASA person to "ooops" it.
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by $ jbrenner 9 years ago
        The NASA scientist they quoted is not the only NASA scientist who acknowledges that A = A. Remember that Rush Limbaugh's official climatologist is at NASA in Huntsville, AL.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by coaldigger 9 years ago
          Maybe so but Obama has Bill Nye, the science guy. So there!!!!
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
          • Posted by $ 9 years ago
            Wow, there is high quality reference if ever there was one...although Obabam may actually be able to understand him....
            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
            • Posted by coaldigger 9 years ago
              There is an article about Nye in today's Washington Post. I thought it interesting that he was an engineer at Boeing and inspired by Steve Martin, started doing stand up comedy. This led to his position at PBS explaining simple science to children. The WP reported this with a straight face, praising him and Obama for using him as an authority.
              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
              • Posted by NealS 9 years ago
                We could control the warning and cooling of the earth. Simply set off volcanos when it gets too hot, and line the deserts with green backs to absorb the sunlight when it gets too cool. Or perhaps line some of our flat open (desert) spaces with flipable blinds, dark on one side, bright and reflective on the other. Could maybe even stick in a probe somewhere to control them. How's that for a science project Bill Nye?

                California had better be thinking more about water instead of `Climate Change' right now. We up here in the Northwest do not have an abundance to pipeline down there because we don't collect all our rain. We too depend on snow melt. Our water problems are more about the people that decide when and how much to dump to prevent flooding if we get a big snowfall. This year they made the correct decision not to dump it.
                Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by $ jlc 9 years ago
        Allowed? If not, this may unpleasantly alter her career path.

        If NASA did in fact secretly endorse this 'slip' it could be the start of the disintegration of the academic-political-warmist-block.

        Jan
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by Temlakos 9 years ago
    CBS had to admit this or lose their last viewers.

    People die of the cold. In the United States today, people do not die of the heat--at least, not in such numbers.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by ProfChuck 9 years ago
    Anthropogenic climate change is questionable science but it is an excellent political tool. The politicians most powerful tool is fear and inducing fear of a global catastrophe provides considerable political leverage to those that seek to establish a world wide collectivist society. Whether or not climate change is a real threat is completely irrelevant. As a scientist I know that there is no such thing as "settled science". Newtonian gravitation theory and Einstein's relativity are firmly established as fundamental scientific principals but no scientist considers either of them as "settled". There are simply too many places where they don't work. If these powerful theories cannot be considered as settled how can anyone with a straight face claim that climate science is? Rule number one "Always be skeptical when a scientific 'finding' supports a political ideology".
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by Technocracy 8 years, 11 months ago
      "Settled Science" is a political term used for forcibly marketing an unpalatable, unsubstantiated program for exerting control.

      Facts have absolutely nothing to do with it.
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by woodlema 9 years ago
    http://www.galtsgulchonline.com/posts/2c...

    Bayesian analysis is somewhat controversial because the validity of the result depends on how valid the prior distribution is, and this cannot be assessed statistically.
    Every global warming model, and analysis, I have been exposed to in personal research for not only myself but for college papers I have had to write over the past two years, indicates that Bayesian Analysis is the approach used to “prove” Man Caused Global Warming.
    1st It is important to note that temperature measurements which include C02 have only been going on for the past 40 – 50 years depending on who you ask.
    Next we have only been documenting temperatures for approximately 170 years.
    Considering the earth is estimated at 4.5 billion years old, this is too small of a statistical sample to come to any conclusion, unless you use Bayesian Analysis.

    Now to explain how this form of analysis works I will give a layman’s approach to this.

    First is to formulate a theory.

    Theory:
    Water boils in 10 minutes.
    Experiment 1:
    Place 1 gallon of water in standard stainless steel pot.
    Turn on burner, and time until water boils, when water boils look at your clock.
    Result: 5 minutes.
    Ignore Experiment, decrease heat on the burner, and time:
    Result: 10 minutes.
    Theory Proven.

    Next someone says what if you use 5 gallons and a copper pot.

    Theory:
    Water boils in 10 minutes.
    Experiment 2: Place 5 Gallons of water in copper pot on stove.
    Turn on burner time and wait. Result 20 minutes.
    Ignore result, increase heat to max and re-time.
    Result Water boils in 10 minutes.
    Theory proven.

    So we now extrapolate:

    Theory:
    Water Boils in 10 minutes and our experimentation we document proves this beyond a shadow of a doubt.

    Experiment 1, 1 gallon of water stainless steel pot burner on low, water boils in 10 minutes.
    Experiment 2, 5 gallons of water copper pot burner on max, water boils in 10 minutes.

    Theory proven...

    THIS IS HOW GLOBAL WARMING SCIENCE WORKS!!!!
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by $ jlc 9 years ago
      Actually, both CO2 and temp for past ages can be estimated in soil and/or ice cores using captured air and pollen...I mean, we have two ice ages that are named for an alpine flower! So we are not completely without data.

      However, that data shows that many of the recent past eras were warmer than we are today; many were colder. The theory that industrial CO2 makes that much difference to Earth is just another version of geocentricity - we want to think that we are more important than we are.

      Jan, important enough
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by walkabout 9 years ago
    Human kind has historically and prehistorically done well when the earth warms a little. It's cooling that is hard to deal with. Until we have a meaningful distribution of average and standard deviations of the temperatures for a couple of thousand years, we don't know if today is aberrant of not. My guess is not, when you consider the Medieval warming period and the Mini-Ice Age.
    In any event, humans will adapt, adjust and overcome.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by $ WilliamShipley 9 years ago
      This is one of the things that the AGW cult is so blind to -- warm is good. They want to blame a few degrees of potential warming (assuming it really happened) on all sorts of disasters.

      Never do you see an article about the benefits of global warming -- which would probably outweigh the negatives, at least for a few degrees. Warmer is better.

      Sadly, it's probably going to be cooler.
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by Non_mooching_artist 9 years ago
        The cycles have also coincided with fierce creativity or dire calamity in relation to human beings. The Renaissance occurred during a warming period, the Dark Ages during a cooling period. People's energy is increased in warmer temps, stimulating the brain's activity. The whole cult of GW'ing though, is just a matter of control over the populace.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by walkabout 9 years ago
        A few more volcanoes in quick succession and you might be right about the cooler. Another Mini Ice age? More need for nasty ole fossil fuels and more haze for solar to fight it's way thruogh (thou hopefully some producers would realize the volcano hot spots can be tapped for heat and energy).
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by $ WilliamShipley 9 years ago
          Actually I was referring to solar cycles. It has long been observed that there was a linkage between Sunspots cycles and climate. William Herschel first observed that in 1801.

          When sunspot activity is low, temperatures seem to be lower. No one is quite sure why, since the measurable intensity change isn't sufficient to change Svensmark postulates that lower activity allows more cosmic rays to strike the Earth and that that increases clouds and reflectivity. A recent experiment at Cern supports that.

          Solar cycle 24 is the weakest in 100 years. So if the solar theory is valid we may be seeing 20-30 years of cooling -- which would actually BE bad.
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by walkabout 9 years ago
          So I think we all agree there are a lot of "serious" factors. Man's piddly little re-injection of CO2 is insignificant. While the wienie boys/girls are currently running a lot of things, my bet is on the producers to figure it out and adjust, adapt and overcome.
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by wiggys 9 years ago
    maybe cbs has just thrown up their hands and is now admitting that gore was wrong, as are all the other people who have followed his lead. they are all lemming.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by term2 9 years ago
    I think that the earth has heated and cooled for millions of years, all on its own for many factors, and the earth is so BIG that its just hard to believe that this warming trend (if its happening at all) is due to something that a carbon tax will fix.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by MagicDog 9 years ago
    Global warming believers are the true deniers. They deny that the world’s temperatures have ever changed. They deny that there have been Ice Ages. They deny that there have been inter-glacial warm periods when crocodiles, elephants and lions roamed in Europe. There is plenty of evidence that Neanderthal men lived among hippopotamus, African elephant, spotted hyena, lion leopard, etc. during interglacial warm periods. Paleolithic plant studies have shown that global warm periods produce more rainfall and lush vegetation. The opposite is of course true of ice ages. In other words, warmer leads to more food and colder leads to less food. Do the climate change controllers think that they can keep global temperatures from changing forever? During recorded history, there have been many warm and cold periods. Vikings colonized Greenland during a warm period and had to leave 100 years later because of cold. There was a mini-ice-age during the nineteenth century. Plants rely on CO2 for growth and convert it into O2 and H2O. The climate change worriers are using several logical fallacies in their arguments. The fallacy of distraction from ignorance. Reducing CO2 emissions is not known to reduce global temperatures so it must be true. The slippery slope of increasingly unacceptable consequence is drawn, most of which are figments of someone’s imagination. The proposition is argued to be true because it is widely held to be true. The person’s character is attacked in the false dilemma that skeptics believe in a flat earth.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by samrigel 9 years ago
    We the humans need to leave Mother Earth alone. She is quite capable of taking care of herself. If we the humans ever actually become the problem that is purported by the teeth sucking Liberals Mother Earth will shake us off like a hand full of ticks!
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by BradSnipes1 9 years ago
    Climate change is not really a science at all. It is a religion. Climate is always changing.
    I have evaluated the present and historical data sets and I find it to be very meager and hopelessly inadequate to substantiate their claims. Please look at my several posts on LinkedIn and my website www.texanhomeenergy,com
    Man Caused Climate Change is a fraudulent science designed to implement the governmental control of the energy sectors of our economy. Cap and Trade will give the government control of energy. If it succeeds we will have lost the last remaining vestige of our freedom.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by $ jdg 9 years ago
    The whole history of the environmental movement is one phony emergency after another, made up to give government more power. This is just another, and there'll be plenty more.

    The principle we need to follow is, "Extraordinary demands on other people require extraordinary proof." (With apologies to David Hume.)
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by $ Snezzy 9 years ago
    Almost nobody seems to address what I would think is a fundamental question: Is there such a thing as a global temperature? If my mouth is at 104 Fahrenheit and my toes at 93.2, the average is 98.6, so I'm not running a fever, right?

    Is an average of several temperatures itself a temperature?

    I think that it is a false concept that is being sold to us for some purpose, perhaps as an article of faith for identifying and destroying nonbelievers.

    Anyone have further thoughts?
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by BradSnipes1 9 years ago
      Scientists do not have sufficient temperature data to support their theories. They are creating a problem so that they receive their sustenance from the governments. Climate science is political science. It is science with an agenda.
      The agenda is for governments to gain control of the energy sector.
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by BradSnipes1 9 years ago
        A primary requirement to be considered a "climate Scientist" is that you agree with and support their agenda. Climate deniers are excluded from this group. You may be considered a climate scientist if you support and donate money to the cause. Many climate scientist, who comprise the "100% consensus among scientists", are not scientists at all. Many prominent climatologists like Patrick Michaels, who have dissenting views, are ridiculed and ostracized from this Man Caused Climate Change community. Hence, they claim a 100% consensus among scientists. That is a blatant lie.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by $ 9 years ago
          They do not tend to debate, rather they dictate. Also, they do not encompass the entire system, just that it is "man-made". Where is the pressure to keep the largest CO2 exchange system in the world intact (Amazon)? It is a lot more complex than their simplistic conclusions, and is not very scientific in that they do not test a hypothesis, they build a model.
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by $ Snezzy 9 years ago
        They do not even have enough scientists. The 97% number is from a group of about 76 scientists selected to to "answer" a question. One of them didn't agree with the "correct" answer.

        It seems that much of the temperature data is adjusted or selected to give the desired result. Hence they have plenty of data. Too much, in fact, so much that they throw away the "bad" data. Oh, and they sifted through about 10,000 scientists to find their agreeable 76.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by $ WilliamShipley 9 years ago
          There are a number of sources for the 97%, the most documented one is a study by Cook who's part of the Skeptical Science website (which, in true liberal Newspeak fashion attacks skepticism about global warming).

          They looked at the abstracts of several thousand papers which contained phrases like "global warming" and "climate change". They tried to categorize them in terms of whether they indicated man was involved.

          Only about 34% of the cherry picked papers indicated human causation in the abstract. Of that 34%, 97% (yes, there's the 97%, indicated that it was caused by humans).

          So it was 97% of papers, not scientists and they were cherry picked.

          From the study you could also accurately say that: "In a survey of papers with the terms 'climate change' and 'global warming' only 33% of the abstracts expressed an opinion that it was caused by humans."
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by $ jlc 9 years ago
      Good point, Snezzy. Any article that deals with global climate shifts in any accurate detail will talk about a change in weather patterns as one area becomes colder and drier and another area becomes warmer. You are right in that the global temperature is a mathematical fiction used for discussion. I mean: each layer of the ocean is a different temp, so you cannot even say that 'one spot, in the ocean is 22 degrees'...because 50' down it is something else.

      One of the reasons I keep an eye on the icer news is that there is some indication that the Younger Dryas occurred very suddenly: Perhaps as little as 3 years, certainly as little as 30 years. (I think we are talking about a 15 degree drop in temp.) So while I am not an icer, if I am wrong and I have made a bad decision I will be very quickly in deep kimchi.

      Jan
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by RonC 9 years ago
    IMHO we have always had climate change. When I was a kid we called it weather.

    I believe it was Will Rodgers that said, "Everyone is talking about the weather, but no one is doing anything about it!"

    Now the progressives have figured out what to do with weather, TAX it.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by johnpe1 9 years ago
    these climate models are subject to tweaking, and
    like East Anglia, it has been done. . this whole area
    is a big worldwide scam to tear down the first world
    to do a Cloward-Piven reshuffle of power, IMHO. -- j

    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by Turfprint 9 years ago
    It’s true the left beat people in the head with climate change to sell their message of The Evil American. And if we just turn the country over to liberals, actual worthy people, things would be okay.
    But…
    1 gallon of gasoline weighs around 6 pounds or about the same as a gallon of water or, 2 average sized textbooks or, a basket full of kittens. The United States uses 375,000,000 gallons per day or times 6lb. is 2,250,000,000 pounds of gasoline. Since I spent 18 years teaching science I keep thinking about all that weight on top of me. The principle of mass conservation implies that mass can’t be created or destroyed so in a reaction starting materials must be equal to the mass of the products. So by converting 2,250,000,000Lbs of liquid gasoline into gasoline combustion gas vapor, give or take the efficiency of the burn, the result is 2,250,000,000 pounds of gas vapor into the atmosphere. Or 1,125,000 tons or around the weight equivalent of 3 Empire State Buildings or roughly 2 Pentagons (not including the hot air) Around 5,500,000lbs is the most humans have ever been able to lift and that was by Industrial Steel Inc. (USA) and Buffalo Hydraulic (USA) on 23 January 2004.

    That 2,250,000l,000bs times 365 days equals 821.25 billion lbs of gas vapor into the atmosphere. Small compared to the weight of Lake Erie, 762,000,000,000,000lbs. In 50 years however the gasoline vapor weighs more than Lake Tahoe, which is only a mere 39 trillion pounds compared to the 41 trillion pounds of gas vapor from the gasoline emissions.

    Now in conclusion, if you are driving south from San Francisco on Highway 101 at evening rush hour leaving the elevated area around South San Francisco you can see cars bumper to bumper all the way to San Jose. After you have been teaching science to kids all day and there you are stuck in that traffic you ask yourself, “Why aren’t I being crushed?” and allow your eyes to grab a glimpse of the thickening smog.


    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by plusaf 8 years, 11 months ago
      And, Turfprint, ALL of that immense weight is fairly quickly and evenly distributed over the Entire Area of the Earth's Surface... amounting to ... how much, roughly, per square inch?
      :)
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by katiegail 9 years ago
    I watched a documentary that said the Amazon Rain Forest is an ecosystem that sustains itslef but does not effect any place else as has been assumed. The sea and sea life connect the globe more than any surface plants.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by SaltyDog 9 years ago
    Well now maybe Mr Obama will snap into action signing an executive order (by autopen from his golf cart of course) outlawing volcanos! And about time!
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by plusaf 8 years, 11 months ago
    I'm collecting some graphs and cartoons at http://www.plusaf.com/global-warming/glo... for your information and amusement.
    I find the ones on the Milankovitch data to be the most interesting... they show some interesting correlation with cyclical phenomena that keep lining up VERY nicely... much better than anything Gore or any other Warmites claim.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
  • Posted by $ MichaelAarethun 9 years ago
    And once again those figures were

    a. bogus according to the original source.
    b. intentionally so to gain more funding for research according to the same source,
    c.Listed by one of the chief originators as not to be taken as factual without a huge amount of additional study.

    How much did Al Bore contribute?
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by $ jlc 9 years ago
    I have found another article on climate change - one that is worthy of its own thread. Please see Common Core and Climate Change.

    Jan
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  

FORMATTING HELP

  • Comment hidden. Undo