The Democrats’ 2016 mistake
Read this if you care about where we are going, because it does provide a chilling prediction of something I can point to in fact: We will soon have a country that will predominately elect Progressive Democrats. I cite Oregon as an example: You can run a criminal candidate (like the beast, but our was John Kitzhaber), who then immediately resigns to avoid prosecution (which worked) and then the unelected candidate sails into office with only 3 counties voting her in. The beast won Oregon because 3 counties went her way. 90% of the state voting for Trump. If you look at the voting map of Oregon, it should scare you, because soon, as soon as they wake up, they will take and seize power for good, as they gather more and more special interests groups. This guy has it right, when they get their act together, they will be able to consistently win, with it being a 52-48 vote and it will steadily tilt in their direction as more of the uneducated masses graduate High School and drink the Koolaid. The rural voters saved the day, because the cities failed to show up, maybe because they assumed she would win, but the system will still slowly turn to where you will be unable to assemble enough people with the ability to think things through, see beyond the smoke, and realize they have been had.Trump only won by a hair in some states, had they really gotten their vote out, he would have lost. As long as they use the populated areas to their advantage, a smaller (in area) group will start dictating to the larger (in area) part of the country, what kind of crazy stuff will happen, and then expect the larger part to pay for it. Like free college, paying off student loans, etc, they will be on the great giveaway in 4 years.
Two quotes from the article:
"But that’s making another dubious assumption — that because any bloc of voters is reliably in one camp today, they’ll still be there 10 years from now. "
"It assumes, too, that younger voters don’t grow more ideologically diverse as they age."
Obama lost 5% of the African-American vote in 2008 and 7% in 2012. By contrast, Hillary lost 12% of the African-American vote in 2016.while running against the alleged racist Donald Trump. A similar phenomenon played out with progressives' other "core constituencies".
The actual lesson here is that demography is not destiny. The progressives' political base is slowly waking up and turning on its leaders. It's not time to throw in the towel yet.
Trump was our last chance I thought to gain some time and slow down the process. Very few people in the future (if anyone) would risk their money and go through the torture Trump went through with the media and even his own party. Socialism will hve to play out and fail before people wake up. AS correctly portrayed how things will go over the next 40 -50 years in the USA.
Trump went through constant and unrelenting negativity for 15 months. I would have told the country to go fu&* itself, and certainly wouldnt have spend 50m for the privilege of being hassled continually. He is one of a kind, I think.
If the country is great again after 4 years, he has a chance for re-election. The liberals will pound on him unmercifully as long as he is in the presidency, and then full blown socialism will take over. Unfortunately.
Brexit and to some extent the Trump revolution were over free flowing immigration mostlly, not on individual freedom and rights.
Ahh, but for most of us that took life by the reigns and didn't cheat, lie or take the easy way out eventually gained a mind, principles and an appreciation for the opportunity to rule ourselves and our lives.
In short...we grew up and became adults.
As I entered the work force and started a family at 21. I also became self educated. I realized I was an independent as that was as far away from either party. I voted Trump to stop the Caligula and Nero of today. Also a benifit is he is an outsider. Who doesn't need the corruption to attain his wealth.
"It assumes, too, that younger voters don’t grow more ideologically diverse as they age. According to an analysis by the Democratic group Third Way, Gen Xers — my generation — grew markedly more conservative in the decade between 2000 and 2011. There’s not much reason to think millennials will remain stuck where they are, either."
This statement carries a double edged sword, the change in philosophy stems, IMHO, for the reality check that happens when you have to go to work, look at your paycheck, and see 30-40% gone to the state for all the happy crap. My concern is that The Beast counted on things she did not have a right to count on, but that the NEXT one will. The manipulative nature of Bernie should scare everyone, he had a Trump like appeal, and had he not been sabotaged by his own party, might have won. Both Hillary and Bernie engaged in one upmanship in promising the moon and beyond to the snowflakes, and only when Bernie went away tdid Hillary retire to her cave and think great thoughts on how great she is. That will not be the case next time, and they will have 4 more years of new snowflakes flopping around ready to feed at the trough. That may kill off any chances unless a lot of improvements are seen in the next 4 years. The power of corruption and the free giveaway is strong, especially to people to untrained in critical thought to ask how are you going to pay for all this. The greatest improvement could be to have a civics class that teaches TANSTAAFL and what it really means, that might help stem their influence. Thanks for the reply.
I agree with your basic comment though. As long as the young are brainwashed in statist biased schools they will vote more for socialism and the American experiment will end in failure due to domestic enemies.
If I had the time and resources, I'd redo the past half dozen elections to see how they would have turned out.
Similarly the incentive to vote in states where the conclusion is foregone is diminished. Here in California, I know my presidential vote was not going to affect anything and I got to choose between two Democrats for Senate. I did get to pick a representative, but it's a safe seat. If all states counted, either by total or district, there would be more incentive for people to vote in 'safe' states.
"The uneducated masses" often have more sense and better values than those who have been indoctrinated.
The changes have been amazing, perhaps even stupendous during that time, and I find myself now surrounded by people with whom I have difficulty speaking and conversing (and I do both well) because once the word Trump is uttered, the cascades of insult and denigration begin.
I have taken to flying the American flag from my porch in a community with strong CC&R's, and have not yet been advised that the flag is hurtful, which I expect soon.
I'm making plans for the getaway, but finding it difficult, so much of my intelligent conversation now takes place online and primarily in The Gulch.
And I used to be a huge liberal in California, but reality has a way of changing one's viewpoint, if one pays attention (a lost art).
It really is getting weird around here.
As Rand said, "One can evade reality but one cannot evade the consequences of evading reality."
And so, just as cancer "cures" smoking, bankruptcy will "cure" the profligacy of the delusional left. Great pain will follow when the music stops.
There is something to the notion that population density breeds greater "groupthink".
Let us hope people can learn and change, so that it is not as you predict.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NgqtL...
Respectfully,
O.A.
Capitalist Party, not so soon for President, but for
local and Congressional elections.
The more the Liberal parties rely on their lazy, mis-educated supporters, the less their chances of winning elections will be. I truly believe this is why the "Mother-In-Law from Hell" lost the election.
The Democrats will only retake the Presidency if:
1. Conservatives rest on their laurels.
2. The Trump administration really screws up.
3. The party somehow, magically, gets its supporters truly fired up (like Obama did).
or 4. The Russians do it :-)
I'll wait and see...
On the other hand, the Democrats appear to be headed toward becoming the Socialist party under another name. Following an extremist, radical path bent on promoting protest and lawlessness will further diminish their already shrinking influence.
All the article said was that despite demographics leaning in their favor, the Democrats would continue to experience failure if they continued to rely on treating different racial, ethnic, and religious groups as monolithic. I didn't see any alternative strategy laid out as to how to change that approach, so there's not much to panic over, yet.
As to your Oregon problem, it sounds like Mississippi fifty years ago, where finding a politician that wasn't crooked was rare. To change that the voters outside of Portland need to work at electing the right kind of state legislators that can throw a crowbar in the wheels of runaway statism.
A lot hinges on what can be accomplished during the next for years.
Should the debt bubble burst by year four, bye bye bad hair day for he will be blamed just for being in office.
Then we might as well start addressing each other as "comrade."
I think you are a little hysterical.