Carbon Dating Question
I'm highly skeptical when it comes to carbon dating. I'm hoping that some of the folks here can lessen or remove some of my skepticism.
My contention: Carbon dating is a measurement tool that has a flawed foundation and cannot be reliably counted on to accurately determine age.
Fact: All elements in existence come from stars, expelled at various stages in a stars death throes.
If the "birth" of elements being measured with carbon dating are unknown how can anyone determine half-life or set anything more than a best guess based on other equally flawed readings?
Even if we were to actually destroy an element in its entirety and conclusive establish its death, we still could not determine its half-life or its birth-date.
I know that there are scientists and science types here. What am I missing?
** this is not a faith or religious oriented discussion, lets not make it one.
My contention: Carbon dating is a measurement tool that has a flawed foundation and cannot be reliably counted on to accurately determine age.
Fact: All elements in existence come from stars, expelled at various stages in a stars death throes.
If the "birth" of elements being measured with carbon dating are unknown how can anyone determine half-life or set anything more than a best guess based on other equally flawed readings?
Even if we were to actually destroy an element in its entirety and conclusive establish its death, we still could not determine its half-life or its birth-date.
I know that there are scientists and science types here. What am I missing?
** this is not a faith or religious oriented discussion, lets not make it one.
Previous comments... You are currently on page 3.
In his book, he has an excellent discussion on carbon dating. I'll present it word for word:
"Radiocarbon years and real years are not the same thing, hence the calibration. When Libby developed the radiocarbon dating method, he assumed that the proportion of carbon 14 to other carbon isotopes in the atmosphere had been constant throughout the 50,000- year period that can be dated by his method. This assumption has since proven to be false. Radiocarbon experts such as Minze Stuiver, professor emeritus at the University of Washington, have used tree rings and carbon trapped in annual layers in lakes, oceans, and polar ice caps to demonstrate that the proportion of radiocarbon in the atmosphere has varied through time. Radiocarbon dates thus can differ from actual ages by more than 1,000 years. The reason for this discrepancy is primarily that the cosmic radiation striking the earth has not remained constant. During periods of high solar activity, the flow of matter outward from the sun - known as solar wind - increases and effectively blows the cosmic radiation away from the solar system. During these times, less carbon 14 is produced, so dates from these times are correspondingly older than they should be. Likewise, when solar activity is low, radiocarbon ages are too young. By dating hundreds of samples of known ages, Stuiver and his colleagues have produced a calibration curve for radiocarbon ages that now extends more than 14,000 years into the past. The curve is not smooth, however, so that some radiocarbon ages correspond to more than one calendric age. Thus the radiocarbon age of Kennewick Man - which turned out to be 8,410+/-60 B.P. - is actually between 9,330 and 9,580 calendar years, or from about 7330 to 7580 B.C. Throughout the rest of this book, I will give ages in calendar years, not radiocarbon years."
Amazing!
Measurement standards had to be recalibrated as are any measurement standards are as new data are discovered. Standards are not arbitrary. Much work goes into them and they get more and more precise. Some, like the speed of light, are determined to be a constant or set to be a constant. Then other constants are recalculated using that value. They usually are composed of measured values of other constants. As better measurements are made the constants are adjusted. There is no absolute revealed data in science. It all has to be discovered and non-contradictory with all other data or it has to be discarded.
Jan
Good article: http://c14.arch.ox.ac.uk/embed.php?Fi...
Jan
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponen...
A friend of times long ago used to say, "It stands to reason that ..." and then introduce some cockamamie theory he'd just invented. He was certain that because (1) he used the word "reason" and (2) HE had thought of it, that it was true. Was it Mark Mark Twain who said that only in science can you reap such a wholesale return of conjecture from such a tiny investment of fact?
Many errors can occur, for example if the biomass sample was found in any place which has (or has ever had) water contamination, then the water will have introduced fresh atmospheric carbon into the sample since its death. Any fresh carbon will then reduce the resulting age. Also, with any age more than a few multiples of the half-life, the result should be quoted with a very wide margin of error. If it does not, then don't trust the source.
C14 is 'manufactured' starting from Nitrogen in the atmosphere. The rate of production is essentially constant within a small range.
The rate of decay is a statistical issue. We call it half life and it's a rule... Statistically a C14 atom has a 50% chance of decaying back into Nitrogen every ~5700 years.That doesn't guarantee that any particular atom will decay, just that after 5700 years about 1/2 of them will have decayed.
Carbon dating is only useful for dating living things after they've died. Living things take up carbon. Plants from the air, animals from the plants. While the thing is alive the ratio of C14 to normal Carbon is in equilibrium with the environment. When the thing dies the carbon it holds stops moving and the C14 that's trapped decays without being replaced with fresh atoms.
By measuring the amount of C14 in the unknown sample and comparing it to the amount in a series on KNOWN samples, a timeline of C14 intensities is established.
That's the important part that is usually glossed over. It's not one test, it's based on the tens of thousands of tests that various researchers have made! Every test adds to the database. making individual lookups VERY reliable.
For the most part, C14 dating is considered 'reliable' for measurements at least 50,000 years into the past, and indicative for twice as long. C14 dating is not used to measure the drift of continents, but it's a great tool to learn when a campsite was abandoned.
However, new understanding is always possible. There have been some measurements that suggest that solar activity alters the weak force in some as yet not understood manner. It is suggested that somehow neutrino emission has some previously unknown influence on the behavior of the weak force and thus could alter radio isotope decay rates. While this remains to be confirmed it is an area of active study. If true it would require a significant modification to the standard model of quantum physics.
Thanks AJ - that is one of the questions that have been wandering around in my mind for some time as well, but I couldn't think of a good way to present it. When it gets answered (hopefully) I have a number of more questions to sneak in as time and patience permits.
Maybe if we were going in the right direction as a country there would be time and energy to work on things like this. Unfortunately a lot of things like this are relative wastes of time right now.
Well,...Gamma rays from the sun continually create new C14 by converting some of the Nitrogen in the atmosphere to Carbon-14 Plants and animal then ingest the mildly radioactive C14 and it becomes a part of them. The percent of C14 in the living plants and animals reflects the percent of C14 in the atmosphere. But once they die, they stop ingesting new C14 and the C14 in their system begins to decay away. The decay 1/2 life of C14 is 5730 years, so after an animal is dead for 5730 years it will have 1/2 the C14/C12 ratio of a living animal. Since we can measure the percent of C14/C12 very accurately in living and death organic matter, we can estimate the date of death fairly accurately. Does all that make sense?
So here is my question about C14 dating,...Are we sure the percent of C14 in the atmosphere has been constant over time? Because if 10000 or 20000 years ago it were higher or lower, than would create errors in the C14 dating results.
Sincerely,
Scientist of the Gulch.
significantly enhance the accuracy of C-14 dating during this (last 10,000 years) period.
No, no, that's not what 'half life' means. If you have a sample containing C14, then after 5700 years half of the C14 atoms will have decayed into N14. In another 5700 years half of those atoms remaining will also have decayed. The process continues until the number is statistically unverifiable by experiment.
How do we get the starting point from which the C14 decays? That's the incorporation of ambient carbon into the growth of a living thing. Once the carbon is stuck into some wood or a piece of leather or whatever, the fraction of the original C14 in the sample can be determined with an instrument that is sort of like a Geiger counter but sensitive to the particular 0.156476 MeV beta decay.
That's just touching the surface. Go hunt up material written by physicists to get the full details. The basic physics was done by Kamen and others over 60 years ago.
I remembered an article from the 1990's and I actually found a link to the article. GG Internet.
http://www.nytimes.com/1990/05/31/us/...
Half-life quantifies the rate of decay of a system that undergoes exponential decay. It is the time it takes for half of the sample to decay.
It is a statistical concept so an exact time for 'life' is not implied.
Radio carbon dating gives good results for up to about 50,000 years ago. It is used only on organic remains,
C-14 decays with a half-life of 5,730 years.
C-14 is an isotope of carbon, a constituent of all living things - as we understand life. organic, organism.
A mathematical formula can be used to calculate the half-life (of say C-14) from the number of breakdowns per second in a sample. At higher cost, accuracy is improved by using longer periods and larger samples.
A claim that half-life has varied over time is made by creationists to try to discredit radiometric dating. Measurements of radiation from supernova, 100,000 years distant, suggest no change in decay rates over 100,000 years.
Here, we call that a furthy, there are many others. An old colleague used to say 'One fool can throw more stupid objections than ten of the wise can quelch".
Different results between radiometric dating and other methods are known. Of those that were significant, the 'known history' method has given way, eg whether megalith building came later in Europe than in the middle east.
see also:
http://chem.tufts.edu/answersinscienc... and
https://www.boundless.com/physics/tex...
So, an appreciation of what exponential decay means, and knowing that half-life is not half of a life and does not depend on knowledge of some creation date, should resolve the difficulty.
http://phys.org/news/2010-08-radioact...
vary-sun-rotation.html
Still looking for a recent article- past 5 or 10 years that stated that 14C has increased substantially and the Periodic table had to be adjusted also. We expect that this may be a cycle. Also noted: Many things about the planets in our solar system changed also: Venus has increased it's rotational rate and many of the other planets have change their identifying signatures. We might understand that the current sun cycle, going into a grand solar minimum may have something to do with these occurrences.
http://science.howstuffworks.com/envi...
It still raises the question, even though we know how C14 is created how can someone say conclusively that its half-life is 5,700 years (making its entirely life cycle 11,400 years)?
I suppose one could examine the last moments of a C14 life and then, knowing the rate of decay, mathematically work backwards until the C14 is at its fully potential (aka new). And if C14 is known to last 11400 years how can something be said to be 50-60K years old or more with any degree of certainly?
Also, I'm sure that there are factors that influence the rate of decay adding a variable to the theory.
Interesting stuff
1. An alternative method of dating is used to establish milestone markers. This means that an artifact or item is dated using a well-known well-established method to determine the age then the amount of carbon 14 in the sample is determined. This provides a marker. This process is repeated until several markers are made so that the basic carbon-14 dating process has a known basis.
2. A new sample or unknown sample is then examined to determine its carbon-14 levels. These carbon-14 levels are then compared to the “known sample” and the age established.
3. This method clearly has some issues because the further back you go the less certain the alternative scientific methods for determining age are.
Carbon-14 dating has known issues some of which you indicated. I have read that anything more than about 5000 years is moving into larger and larger uncertainty. Unfortunately I can’t remember where I read this. Hope this helps a little bit.
If I’m wrong and I certainly could be feel free to knock my silly ideas down.