A Constitutional Solution

Posted by Wanderer 7 years, 9 months ago to Politics
90 comments | Share | Flag

A Constitutional Solution
Don’t like Wallbuilder Donny or Lying Hillary? There’s a way out. It’s called the Electoral College.
The Democrat Machine got its way and, Democrats are left standing at the altar, staring at a bride most of them don’t want, in spite of her gender.
The brick (and punch) throwers got their way and, Republicans are left standing at the altar, staring at a groom most of them don’t want, in spite of his vast knowledge and quiet eloquence.
If you’re less than thrilled about the choice you’re facing, there may still be time to avoid your vows. It depends on a seriously flawed third party which has fielded an accomplished and acceptable candidate who, even if he doesn’t receive many votes could, if he plays his cards right, stop both Donny and Hillary from winning.
What? They can both lose?
Yes, they can both lose. Our Constitution requires a Presidential candidate receive a majority of Electoral College votes; not a plurality, a majority. The same straightforward, established Republican Party rule that Trumpites refused to acknowledge or understand in the primary process. To get the Party nomination a candidate had to receive more than half the available votes. To become President, a candidate has to receive more than half the 539 available Electoral College votes.
If neither Donny, nor Hillary receive 270 Electoral College votes, they both lose.
Feeling flushed? Pulse quickening? Wondering if this can really happen?
It’s happened twice, once in 1800, when Thomas Jefferson and Aaron Burr got exactly the same number of Electoral College votes, allowing the House of Representatives to select Jefferson as the next President.
It happened again in 1824 when, because there were four candidates running for President, none received a majority of the Electoral College votes. The Twelfth Amendment limits the House’s choices to the three candidates who received the most popular votes, Andrew Jackson, John Quincy Adams and William Crawford. The Congress picked Adams, even though he’d received far fewer popular and Electoral College votes than had Jackson.
So, you see, it could happen, the House of Representatives, your Congressmen could pick someone besides Donny and Hillary, someone like Gary Johnson, Libertarian Party candidate and former governor of New Mexico...
…as long as neither Donny nor Hillary get 270 Electoral College votes. But, it will only happen if we make it happen. Here’s a possible scenario:
Sanders and Cruz between them took more than 60% of total primary votes cast in the following states: Alaska, Idaho, Kansas, Main, Utah and Wyoming. That’s a lot of votes for someone besides the two front runners and, if they could be convinced to do it again, vote for someone besides the two front runners, like Gary Johnson, that would be 26 Electoral College votes neither Wallbuilder Donny nor Lying Hillary would get. If they roughly split the remaining Electoral College votes, they both come up short of 270.

The House could then choose “Neither Of The Above”, ending our electoral nightmare and, giving us a caretaker President, Libertarian Gary Johnson who remains popular in his home state, New Mexico, where he’s thought to have done a very good job. Instead of the usual wild-eyed, bomb-throwing Libertarian, Johnson takes a much more practical, evolutionary approach and appears to have none of the character flaws belonging to the front runners.
Just a thought, Alaska, Idaho, Kansas, Maine, Utah and Wyoming, you could save us. Just a thought.
SOURCE URL: https://medium.com/@Penseur/a-constitutional-solution-2d451d33a8fb#.2vlhv4puj


Add Comment

FORMATTING HELP

All Comments Hide marked as read Mark all as read

  • Posted by jimjamesjames 7 years, 9 months ago
    If it goes to the House, they will select Bill Clinton... or Al Sharpton..........
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by rbunce 7 years, 9 months ago
      The new US House only chooses between top 3 EC vote receivers for President with one vote per State presumably determined by the States delegation although State Constitution may have something to say about it. US Senate between top 2, most likely the R and the D, for VP with all 100 Senators voting. Likely the new House will still have Rs in the majority of the delegates in the majority of States. Do not dismiss Gov Weld possibility of bringing in a State or two in the NE even though he would not be a factor in the US Senate vote for VP.
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by Animal 7 years, 9 months ago
      You do know that Bill Clinton is ineligible, yes?
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by jimjamesjames 7 years, 9 months ago
        Yes, but presidential directives overrule the Constitution.......Hell, with this Congress, anything overrules the Constitution.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by Animal 7 years, 9 months ago
          Since when?
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
          • Posted by jimjamesjames 7 years, 9 months ago
            November 8, 2008. Just ask the President.
            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
            • Posted by Animal 7 years, 9 months ago
              Whatever the current resident of the Imperial Mansion may think, it doesn't change that Bill Clinton can't be President again. Whatever happens, it won't be Bill Clinton, and it sure as hell won't be Al Sharpton. If Her Imperial Majesty is indicted and shamed (ha!) into dropping out, look for them to pick someone like John Kerry or some other old proggie retread.
              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
              • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
                Is this some kind of fixation, that the Congress can choose whomever it wants to be President? You continue ignoring the Constitution, which says it has to be one of the top 3 vote getters from the election process. Misusing tax dollars, trying to legalize illegal aliens, spending us slowly into the poorhouse, these things all irritate the public but, Violating the 12th Amendment and installing a king would start the uprising everyone's been talking about.
                Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
        Only the top 3 vote getters are eligible thus, the field is narrowed to Hillary, Donny and Gary, unless someone's write in campaign beats the Libertarians. I guess I shouldn't dismiss that possibility.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
      Jim;

      This is not some weird thing I made up. It's happened twice; once in 1800 and once in 1824, the House or Representatives chose the new President and, neither time did they choose the most popular candidate. Both times they chose the best candidate.

      The 12th Amendment says when no candidate receives a majority of the Electoral College vote, the House of Representatives is free to choose the new President but, its choices are limited to those who came in first, second, or third in the national popular vote.

      They are not free to choose Bill Clinton or Al Sharpton or any other frivolous name you can come up with. Given that Johnson's name will be on the ballot in all 50 states he will receive more of the popular vote than any write in or 4th party candidates so, the House will have to choose from between Hillary, Donny and Gary Johnson.
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by rbunce 7 years, 9 months ago
        Not the National Popular vote, in the EC vote.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
          Wrong, 12th Amendment, the top 3 popular vote getters, not Electoral College vote getters. Check out the election of 1824.
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
          • Posted by rbunce 7 years, 9 months ago
            You need to read the 12th again. They are obviously talking about EC votes in that entire paragraph. Popular vote is meaningless in Presidential elections.
            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
            • Posted by rbunce 7 years, 9 months ago
              12th Amendment Text

              "The Electors shall meet in their respective states, and vote by ballot for President and Vice-President, one of whom, at least, shall not be an inhabitant of the same state with themselves; they shall name in their ballots the person voted for as President, and in distinct ballots the person voted for as Vice-President, and they shall make distinct lists of all persons voted for as President, and all persons voted for as Vice-President and of the number of votes for each, which lists they shall sign and certify, and transmit sealed to the seat of the government of the United States, directed to the President of the Senate.

              The President of the Senate shall, in the presence of the Senate and House of Representatives, open all the certificates and the votes shall then be counted.

              The person having the greatest Number of votes for President, shall be the President, if such number be a majority of the whole number of Electors appointed; and if no person have such majority, then from the persons having the highest numbers not exceeding three on the list of those voted for as President, the House of Representatives shall choose immediately, by ballot, the President. But in choosing the President, the votes shall be taken by states, the representation from each state having one vote; a quorum for this purpose shall consist of a member or members from two-thirds of the states, and a majority of all the states shall be necessary to a choice. And if the House of Representatives shall not choose a President whenever the right of choice shall devolve upon them, before the fourth day of March next following, then the Vice-President shall act as President, as in the case of the death or other constitutional disability of the President.

              The person having the greatest number of votes as Vice-President, shall be the Vice-President, if such number be a majority of the whole number of Electors appointed, and if no person have a majority, then from the two highest numbers on the list, the Senate shall choose the Vice-President; a quorum for the purpose shall consist of two-thirds of the whole number of Senators, and a majority of the whole number shall be necessary to a choice. But no person constitutionally ineligible to the office of President shall be eligible to that of Vice-President of the United States.
              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
              • Posted by rbunce 7 years, 9 months ago
                Generally Gov Johnson must win at least one electoral vote to be in play AND Sec Clinton and Mr. Trump (or whoever the D and R nominees end up being) must not get 270 EC votes. The more EC votes Gov Johnson gets the more likely it will be that nobody gets to 270. IF Clinton v Trump is a very tight race then perhaps just a vote or two EC votes for Gov Johnson could make that happen... and there is Maine and Nebraska that are not winner take all for EC electors. In each of those two States two electors are elected Statewide but the remaining electors are elected by US House District. So Gov Johnson winning just a couple districts in NE and ME could get him in the US House election for President.
                Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by jimjamesjames 7 years, 9 months ago
        Wanderer, I am not disparaging the process or your suggestion. But "the best" candidate (and I would favor Johnson) would be Hillary because the Elite Cabal (GOP/DEMS) sees her as the candidate that will enshrine their power and the destruction of the USA most effectively.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by term2 7 years, 9 months ago
          I cant believe the GOP republicans in the house would ever vote for Hillary if they had to make the decision. I cant believe the dems in the house would ever vote for Trump OR Johnson. Stalemate !!!
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
          • Posted by jimjamesjames 7 years, 9 months ago
            I can't believe the American electorate would choose a Muslim-raised, communist-raised community organizer as President. But they did TWICE.......... The GOP, as they have demonstrated time and time again, they will do exactly what they want that advances their personal agenda to keep public's concerns out of their decisions. .
            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
            • Posted by term2 7 years, 9 months ago
              Political correctness and the fear of being racist got Obama into the white house. You can see Hillary plays the woman card for all its worth. She is pretty crooked, and its starting to come out. Being a woman hopefully wont get her the election.
              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
            • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
              Mostly true. The Freedom Caucus now has 42 members. I consider them honest, Constitution loving patriots.

              Re Barry Obama...what can I say? The electorate is a fool.
              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
          • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
            It only takes a majority in Congress so, in theory, the Republicans could win the vote. Would they vote Libertarian? I don't know. The Freedom Caucus might. Paul Ryan might.
            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
            • Posted by rbunce 7 years, 9 months ago
              The new US House votes by State, one vote per State decided by the States delegation (unless the State Constitutions have something to say about it) so it is not which party is the majority in the new US House it is which party is the majority of the delegation in the majority of the States. Lots of political reasons for Republicans in the US House to vote for Johnson. If things go well for 4 years he is a Republican really. If things go badly he is a Libertarian. If things go badly with Trump... it's on them.
              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
              • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
                The delegates elect whomever they want from the top 3 popular vote getters. Whomever gets at least 51 votes wins. I make no and have made no representations as to whom would vote for whom. I don't give a frig for party politics and choose not to decide which party is more corrupt. I just posed the possibility that someone besides Hillary and Donny could become the next President. It set off all you Galt loons on a seemingly never ending discussion about which party would vote for who.

                It's all immaterial unless Johnson gets his act together and wins some states which, looks improbable because instead he's trying to win the election outright, which won't happen.
                Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                • Posted by rbunce 7 years, 9 months ago
                  It's not the delegates, that is for the convention. It is no longer the Electors once the EC votes and nobody gets 270. It is the new US House voting, one vote per State... so only 26 votes needed.
                  Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by RobertFl 7 years, 9 months ago
    I agree. Congress themselves are split. I don't believe all democrats would vote Hillary, nor do I believe all republicans would vote trump. Johnson can reach across both aisles and those never trump, and never Hillary centrist might out number the lock-step party supporters.
    Until November, I will hold that out as hope.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
    • Posted by $ MichaelAarethun 7 years, 9 months ago
      It depends how far to the left they are. Plenty of so called Republicans (Trump for a prime example) are farther left than a Blue Dog Democrat. ) The lock step party is of course the Government Party comprised of Dinos (now socialists) and Rino's (now socialists by ill virtue of joining the left) or what one might call the Secular Regressives - if one were in a good moodful mode.As for me, today, I am in a very good mood finding out my cataract operation will be less money than a new pair of glasses. My how medicine has changed since I moved to FNA.
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by CircuitGuy 7 years, 9 months ago
    If Clinton or Trump has a major scandal, Johnson could win a majority. He would need to start getting more attention right now and the scandal would have to happen too close to the election for the parties' establishments to respond. This is my dream scenario.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by LibertyBelle 7 years, 9 months ago
    I don't think any of those people in the House
    would vote for a Libertarian, regardless of how
    they regard the other two candidates. --(Also, I
    have reservations. I understand that Ayn Rand
    repudiated the Libertarian party. Although, if faced with this alternative, it's hard to tell
    what she would say).
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
      I fear you're right because, a Libertarian President would work against their selfish interests. There are currently 247 Republicans and 187 Democrats in the House (and 1 vacancy) 42 of the Republicans are Freedom Caucus members. They consistently vote the conservative side of fiscal and social issues, usually against the House Republicans and always against the House Democrat. The House really breaks down into 205 Republicans, 187 Democrats and 42 Freedom Caucus.

      That makes the Freedom Caucus kingmakers. If they could talk the Democrats into voting for Johnson because of his liberal social policies, and they voted for him because of his attention to fiscal conservatism and the Constitution, then they could outvote the Republicans.

      I think it depends on Trump's end game. If he pivots after a hung election and toes the liberal Democrat line then, I'd say he wins on a bipartisan vote. If he zigs right, to win over the Republicans I'd say Johnson has a chance.
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by LarryHeart 7 years, 9 months ago
    So Sorry Charlie. You are not correct other than in a fantasy football election.

    This is not the Arron Burr, Thomas Jefferson type of electoral college or election. Then there were multiple candidates from which the one who attained the most electoral votes became President and the next became Vice President and congress picked the winner in a tie race.There were also many less states.

    http://www.archives.gov/federal-regis...

    THERE WERE NO POLITICAL PARTIES until after that election. Aaron Burr, Traitor to our country organized the first one, contrary to the instructions and warnings of George Washington. Then Jefferson organized his own to combat the power of Burr's.

    An amendment changed the way voting was carried out so that President and vice President would be chosen separately and then specifically so that both Potus and VIce Potus would be of one party .

    That was the beginning of the end of the United States Constitution and yea the United States itself as the Parties seized control of the Federal government from the people.

    Today, There are only two choices - Democrat or Republican. There are no other electors to any other party of any significance. One or the other of Democrat or Republican will get a majority and if tied Biden will vote Democrat.

    That's it no soup for you.

    Here is the ONLY way to fix this country. Control the government Not the people via the amendment process. www,TheSocietyProject.org If you read it all you will never be the same again.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
      Larry;

      Your facts aren't material to this conversation. If neither candidate wins a majority of the Electoral College vote then the House of Representatives chooses the next President from the top 3 popular vote getters.

      The 12th Amendment was the result of the election of 1800 and, in 1824 allowed Adams to become President even though he had fewer popular and Electoral College votes than Andrew Jackson.

      The Senate has nothing to do with it so, Biden gets no vote. The new President is determined by majority vote of the 435 House members.

      Should neither Hillary nor Donny get 270 Electoral College votes, 218 House members could vote for Gary Johnson.

      Time for you to buy yourself a better history book or, read the Constitution again.
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by $ CBJ 7 years, 9 months ago
        RE: "The new President is determined by majority vote of the 435 House members." Actually, the House members from each state vote separately and then each state gets one vote. The vote from the Wyoming delegation is equal to the vote from the California delegation. A majority of states is needed to elect a President. The 12th Amendment spells this out. If the election does get thrown into the House of Representatives, I believe enough states are majority Republican that Hillary has no chance. This opens up the possibility that the blue states will vote for Johnson in order to block Trump. The questions then becomes whether enough red states are sufficiently anti-Trump to put Johnson/Weld over the top.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
          It would be worth it, no matter who wins, just to see my state cancel out California or New York.

          You're right, Hillary's got most of the big states but, most small states are Republican so, a coalition of Dems and Libertarians and defecting Reps might work. You just cheered me up.
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by LarryHeart 7 years, 9 months ago
        Yes I know on Biden. I was trying to make a funny. "No soup for you" from Seinfeld might have clued you in to the light hearted comment But maybe you don't have a sense of humor. So you found something to nit pick and you ignored everything else. Congratulations.

        Guess what, the House consists of only Democrats and Republicans. They will Never Ever, ever, ever (So it gets through that thick ego of yours) vote for Gary Johnson. Get real.

        Democrat and Republican is all you will ever get. Period. Until and if the corrupt system is fixed and Political parties eliminated. So instead of defending your fantasy how about reading the link I gave you, get educated to what is, and do something that actually might make your fantasy come true.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
          Actually, nothing you wrote was germane to the conversation. I posited my premises and the possibility that a Libertarian could be selected as our next President follows. If your argument to every proposition is "I don't think it will happen and I can shout louder than you" then life must get pretty lonely.

          I'm working with Coburn on the Convention of the States. We'll not get everything we want but, if we can get enough states on board to call a convention, we'll have a chance to get some of what we want. Term limits should be easy. The Fair Tax should pass. Those are two big improvements. After that, we keep pushing for whatever we can get.

          BTW, I don't buy into your "funny". I think you honestly had no idea what you were talking about. :)
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
          • Posted by LarryHeart 7 years, 9 months ago
            Still defending and not learning. And you still have not gone to that link and read how to implement the Fair-est tax. The fair tax has a fatal flaw , the money goes to the federal government. It should only go to the states to fund from the bottom up.

            There are many other things at that link, and all the amendments necessary to fix the country, reviewed by 600 people. Something you should know about, if you can get off your sneering high horse.

            We have the same goals but you have a major chip on your shoulder that will hinder any progress, if egos get in the way of fixing the country.

            Oh and term limits for politicians are useless because the parties do not have term limits. Another warm body just replaces the cog in the Political Party wheel when a Politician's term ends. Read at that link what will actually work or your efforts will be wasted. Unless you are too close minded to bother. If that's the case go spin your wheels and we will get a new boss same as the old boss,even after you implement any amendment or change. You have to think out of the box that propaganda has put you in. Don't believe me, look for yourself www.TheSocietyProject.org
            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by ycandrea 7 years, 9 months ago
    Every time I have seen and/or heard Gary Johnson speak, I am less than impressed. He comes off as an airhead and a doofus. I would rather have Trump win than him.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
      I hate to agree with you but, I agree re Johnson. He came across on the CNN Town Hall as though he hadn't really thought about the issues and didn't have a definite plan. I was shocked and dismayed.

      As far as Trump, after going to several Trump events and watching and listening, I'm never Trump. I see him as very dangerous, more dangerous than Hillary so, I'd take Johnson for 4 years and work hard to help a Constitutionalist win the next election.
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by starznbarz 7 years, 9 months ago
    Two thoughts leap to mind - It`s a very different group of Americans than in 1800 & 1824 and, based on recent history, what makes you think this(or the last few) congress would even acknowledge, let alone follow, the Constitution?
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
      I agree, our population has changed but, I believe it has changed less in the 6 states I mention than in most others.

      The key to the Libertarians being spoilers is concentrating on states they can win, not just show.

      I also agree, Congress is fishy these days but, the 12th Amendment is in black and white. They could choose only from the top 3 popular vote getters. Should they choose to do something besides that, I'd say we'd have brought on the long awaited Constitutional crisis.

      I'd say their most likely course is to choose either Clinton or Trump, no worse than the situation we're now facing and it would have shown the Libertarian Party now has the power to sway elections.
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by starznbarz 7 years, 9 months ago
        One of the more despicable actions Obama has demonstrated is that the Constitution can be ignored, actions can be taken to forward an agenda and by the time a court decision has been rendered, it is a moot point, witness the recent ruling on immigration. Congress is no different, we have taught them there are no consequences to not only their lack of enforcing written law, but they know the population is powerless to stop anything they do. Realistically, if it should come to a house choice and they choose Ryan, along with the establishment majority of delegates to back them on a second ballot, what would we, as a people do to stop it before it was a done deal? We have simply lost control of our Nation.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
          Time for it to come out, either we have a Constitution or, we're under martial law. If they chose anyone besides Hillary, Donny or Gary Johnson, it's martial law.
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
          • Posted by starznbarz 7 years, 9 months ago
            Martial law... those are the words Obama has longed to put into an EO, that is what the Mrs. probably whispers in his ear on those romantic nights in Hawaii. It is to our high credit we have not taken the multiple baits he has put out over the years, although, as his term ends, we may yet see just how much of an American enemy he truly is.
            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
            • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
              Starz;

              Every domestic decision he's made has weakened us as a nation and as a people.

              Every international decision he's made has weakened us as a nation and the western world as a cultural unit.

              He's supported the overthrow of every secular Middle East leader by violent Shias. He refused to support either of the popular uprisings in Iran against its Shia theocracy.

              He purged all knowledgeable Muslim experts from the FBI and CIA and Defense Department. He refuses to acknowledge Islam as the source of terror, even though American Muslims are 35 times more likely to commit murder than are the rest of us. He maintains Islam is the religion of peace, no matter what Islam says.

              Ocam's Razor says he's a Shia Muslim engaged in strategic war against we infidels and hiding it behind Islam's taqiiya veil.
              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by Eyecu2 7 years, 9 months ago
    Sorry but if that were to happen there is no way that I trust Congress to not then just select Hillary. Or even Obama trying to hold Office longer even though it would be Unconstitutional.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
      Please see my above answer to Jim. Congress is not free to do whatever it pleases. The 12th Amendment lists the rules for doing this. It's happened twice before, in 1800 and again in 1824.
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by Eyecu2 7 years, 9 months ago
        I saw that and as you mentioned they selected John Adams, who had the least votes, that gives me no confidence that the bought and paid for crooks currently in office wouldn't just select Hillary.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by $ CBJ 7 years, 9 months ago
    Hypothetically, if the Green Party tops out at 5%, Gary Johnson could carry a swing state with as little as 32% of the popular vote. Realistically he would probably need about 35% to do so. With a bit more exposure, and with Hillary and Trump driving up each other’s negatives, this goal might be attainable.

    If the election does get thrown into the House of Representatives, I believe enough states are majority Republican that Hillary has no chance. This opens up the possibility that the blue states will vote for Johnson in order to block Trump. The questions then becomes whether enough red states are sufficiently anti-Trump to put Johnson/Weld over the top.

    This article says as many as 99 electoral votes could be in play. https://libertarianvindicator.com/201...
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by freedomforall 7 years, 9 months ago
    MichaelA and I have posted this theory several times in the past few months. The author's suggestion runs into problems with the states he picks for Johnson. Most of them are winner take all states and Johnson would have to poll more votes than Hillary and Trump to get any electoral votes except for Maine and Nebraska. Johnson could get electoral votes without winning the popular vote in those two states only. Maybe he can win his home state New Mexico if Hillary is hated enough there.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
      Freedom;

      I'm the author and I chose those states for specific reasons; they're the ones with the highest degree of demonstrated antipathy for Donny and Hillary. If the two major parties approximately split the herd then, the Libertarians need only come up with 34% of the popular votes in those states to win their electoral college votes.

      I've spent lots of time in several of those states and, believe the voters would respond to such a suggestion. I believe the Libertarians should concentrate ALL their efforts on these and a few more states where the population would be receptive to the idea of voting Libertarian once, to avoid ending up with Hillary or Donny.

      I know some of those people and, I believe they are approachable as spoilers. However, in all his televised statements, I hear nothing from Gary Johnson except gripes about how unfair the two party system is. Instead of pursuing the spoiler policy, he seems to be pursuing the same fantasy the Libertarian Party has pursued all of my life.

      Oh, well. What will it be instead, a personally and politically corrupt woman or an astonishingly ignorant, unprepared psychopath?
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by freedomforall 7 years, 9 months ago
        Johnson's campaign so far is anything but the normal libertarian approach. I think he is following a plan to get enough polling strength to get in the debates. After that, I wouldn't be surprised if your idea is a possibility for Johnson, but based on the people I have discussed things with, its like pulling teeth to get people to accept their past mistakes and break away from the DemReps. That is less an issue with younger people, like Bernie's supporters. I think that's why Johnson has said he has similar views to Bernie (but doesn't mention his very different solutions.)
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
          I think you're missing my point which, I must not have made well because, everyone else is missing it too.

          Sorry. I'll try again.

          These states have small populations of very independent people, many of whom feel oppressed by their Federal Government and the liberal states around them. The idea is not to struggle once more to gain traction on the national stage. The idea is to address the voters of those states directly and tell them they hold the country's future in their hands, they, if they so choose, can, by voting for a caretaker Libertarian president, override the foolishness of the liberal states around them and the rigged two party system. They, if they so choose, can prevent us all from having to step on one of the two landmines the rest of the country has set for us.

          You win these people over not by appealing to the country at large but, by appealing to them, by telling them it's in their hands, that they can save the country if they're brave enough to go another way. You appeal to them by making them special, important, brave and patriotic.

          Appealing to the entire nation leaves no one feeling special, leaves everyone wondering which of the two leading candidates is least bad and, guarantees the Libertarians will receive popular votes in the single digits nationally and no Electoral College votes and, one of the two major candidates will win, again, as they have for over a century.

          Johnson's deluded if he thinks he'll look good on the debate stage. I've watched the Libertarian Party convention and their town halls. These guys haven't figured out their first concrete policy on anything. They can't answer any specific questions with specific answers. I'm a libertarian by nature and have voted Libertarian my entire life but, these guys are so bad, in the weeks they had between their convention and their first CNN town hall they did nothing about policy. All they have is vague "intentions" and "philosophical leanings". They will be made jokes of on the national stage because, they are jokes. They're not ready to debate on the national stage and won't be ready until they can answer specific questions with specific policies and proposals.

          I'm talking a hail Mary effort, followed, if it works, by a caretaker government, one that spends four years holding things together until the next election when, we can hope a majority of the population will have come to a better understanding of the future we face.
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
          • Posted by freedomforall 7 years, 9 months ago
            Thanks for the more detailed explanation. I think I understand your point of view. I doubt that is the approach they will take based upon what we have heard and seen to date. I agree Johnson's communication skills need serious work. I am continually frustrated by the lack of detail provided by all candidates.
            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by $ CBJ 7 years, 9 months ago
        "We have sources inside the Governor’s campaign that have suggested these western states we have highlighted yellow are the top priority for the campaign. This is where they believe they can gather electoral votes and possibly throw this election to the House of Representatives."
        https://libertarianvindicator.com/201...
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by freedomforall 7 years, 9 months ago
          Thanks for posting that CBJ.
          Ohio, Michigan, and Washiington? Unless there are a multitude of young people who will vote the first time, I don't see those as realistic for Johnson.
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
          Please read my above reply to freedomforall.

          I've just finished working on Jim Bridenstine's primary campaign against a small town Trump, named Atkinson, who was supported to the tune of $1 million by a John Boehner group.

          That's what you get for voting against the Speaker, retribution.

          However, we beat Atkinson 82% to 15%.

          Jim Bridenstine is much that Gary Johnson is not: Bridenstine is short of stature, has a nasal, high pitched voice and is ill at ease in front of a crowd. However, he's concrete on policy, knows exactly, down to the smallest detail what he wants to do and says so, up front.

          Gary Johnson is tall, has a good voice and relaxed manner before a crowd and - HAS NO CLUE WHAT HE WOULD DO IF ELECTED or, at least he can't seem to tell anyone what he'd do. He's been unemployed for almost a decade. With all that time on his hands, one might have thought he'd have sat down and worked out some concrete policy positions.

          I'd volunteer to work for him if he'd adopt my plan and forget whatever plan he has now. I'm from Wyoming and have spent time in Utah and Kansas and Alaska and Iowa. I know the people. they'd go Libertarian if anyone made my case to them.
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
          • Posted by $ CBJ 7 years, 9 months ago
            Gary Johnson’s debating skills need improvement. His policy positions, by and large, do not. His website is sufficiently specific that anyone reading it will come away with a reasonably accurate picture of where he stands and what he will do. https://johnsonweld.com/issues/

            On the national stage, this election will not depend on which candidate is the best policy wonk. If concrete policy positions were the criteria for electability, Trump would have been eliminated early in the primaries. This election is very much about cultural identity, and is occurring against a backdrop of huge voter dissatisfaction with the direction the country is taking, and strong voter aversion to both presumptive nominees. On the debate stage, Gary Johnson does not have to be perfect to win. He can make a huge positive impression merely by being seen as reasonable and trustworthy in his manner and general approach to the issues, in contrast to Trump and Clinton who will likely be attacking each other tooth and claw.
            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
            • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
              His website...

              Machts nichts, as my German teacher used to say when I gave her an excuse. Cruz had a reasonably good website and, at the end of almost every debate answer he'd tell voters to go to it for a more in depth answer.

              Almost none of them did. Most voters are lazy. They won't work to educate themselves. They want to be spoon fed. In Cruz's case, even though I didn't care for his website, it didn't and wouldn't have mattered if it had been brilliant, he was judged on what he said on television that was Youtubed and tweeted millions of times immediately after he said it.

              So will it be with Johnson. His website won't matter. It's what he says in public, in front of the voters that will matter. So far, his public performance has been alarmingly directionless and apparently indecisive.

              To your point about voters not caring about policy; if it's true, as it appears to be, that many voters care only about who gets in the best verbal jabs then, Johnson stands no chance. Not only can he not take Hillary, Donny would and will pummel him with pithy jabs and nonsensical but catchy aphorisms from out of nowhere.

              I think (hope) Johnson can succeed on a small stage because I think (fear) he will fail grandly on the large stage.
              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
              • Posted by $ CBJ 7 years, 9 months ago
                Voters are swayed by “who gets in the best verbal jabs” only when those verbal jabs reinforce their views on issues they consider important. Trump’s Republican opponents hurled plenty of verbal jabs at him during the primaries, and they bounced right off because Trump was better able to tap into the beliefs, frustrations and enthusiasms of rank-and-file voters. Trump was very clever and successful in goading his opponents into playing on his verbal turf, then demolishing them. What Gary needs to do, in or out of the debates, is brush off any verbal jabs, remain “above the fray”, and behave in a manner befitting a future President. Projecting a positive and optimistic outlook, and focusing on the values he shares with most mainstream voters, will invigorate his campaign far more than laying out a detailed policy stand on every issue that comes up. His debating skills could use some brushing up, but he does not have to be perfect to win.
                Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                • Posted by 7 years, 9 months ago
                  If he employs your strategy he will lose. If he attempts a national campaign, competing directly against Clinton and Trump he will not obtain enough popular votes to win any Electoral College votes.

                  I spent lots of time and Republican campaign events last year and earlier this year and, disagree with your characterization of the campaigns. Half of the Republican candidates tried remaining above the fray and they lost. I witnessed voters weeping for joy at Trump rallies. They weren't and won't be swayed by Presidential dignity. They want a dictator, their dictator. I had people tell me the first thing Trump would do after he was elected would be to throw out everyone in Congress and put them all in jail.

                  There is no point in appealing to Trump voters. Johnson will only win by appealing to voters who rejected Trump and Clinton. That only happened in a handful of states thus, my original thesis; the Libertarians must concentrate on a handful of states and play spoiler then, try to convince Congress to select them as caretakers instead of selecting either of the leading candidates.
                  Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                  • Posted by $ CBJ 7 years, 9 months ago
                    There is plenty of point to appealing to Trump voters, especially those of the “hold your nose” persuasion. Same with Clinton voters. Support for both candidates is a mile wide and an inch deep, which is why there is so much variation in the polls and why the polls are so heavily influenced by the latest news. There are still a ton of “undecided” voters out there, and their numbers are likely to rise as the negative campaigning ramps up into high gear. These voters, along with disillusioned Sanders supporters, are fair game for the Gary Johnson campaign.

                    That said, I don't think my strategy and yours are mutually exclusive. There is quite a bit of overlap. But Gary Johnson needs to run a national campaign to be seen as a credible candidate and to poll high enough to be included in the debates.
                    Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by Herb7734 7 years, 9 months ago
        While your description of Mrs. Clinkton is semi accurate (you left out too much) I don't think Trumpeter is a psycho. Neurotic, perhaps Unprepared, no doubt. Ignorant? No. There is a sharp mind behind the bluster, but it may not be willing to learn.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  

FORMATTING HELP

  • Comment hidden. Undo