The bad news for Trump starts
For all the Trump supporters who say he will beat Hillary in the General election: a reality check. Trump has a long climb ahead. The fact that he starts out this far behind a serially corrupt person is bad news indeed.
1) Eminent domain. Trump ardently supports being able to take money from private individuals on behalf of the government to give to cronies who have friends in high places.
2) Government-run healthcare. On the one hand Trump claims he wants to repeal Obamacare, but on the other he says that everyone should be taken care of.
3) Taxes. On the one side Trump says he wants to do away with some taxes, but he supports higher taxes on the rich.
As for him being a Christian, I might actually consider him one if he had any idea what Christ taught. He doesn't. American-born? That's kind of a requirement, but what I want is an American patriot - someone who has read and reveres the Constitution. Donald clearly has no concept of the reason for separation of powers and I doubt he could name the contents of any Amendment past the First - which he wants to do away with so he can sue or incarcerate people who disagree with him. And I love the fact that he's a businessman, but that doesn't qualify one to be President.
I'd like to reflect on that statement for a moment.
How many D's crossed party lines to vote for him?
How many of those D's do you believe will remain loyal to him in the general election?
In my opinion, the Democrats took full advantage of the open primaries to skew the Republican vote -- and it has paid huge dividends to the Democratic party's chances of winning in November.
While I do not buy the theory that Trump is a Democrat mole, I do not believe for a moment that Trump is a tried and true Republican. His rhetoric far out-stretches his past. (E.g., his donations and contact with the Clintons just weeks before announcing his candidacy - source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politi...
What sort of things would Trump have had to converse with Bill just prior to announcing his run for presidency? Certainly Bill & Hillary would have known that Hillary was already going to be the Democrat nominee, all Trump had to do was garner some favors in the open primaries to secure the Republican nomination. For the millions Trump's donated in the past, this should have been an easy transaction to conclude.
All over the open primaries, you had countless democrats crossing over to vote for Donald. And, they ended up sounding precisely like the two Ted Cruz confronted in Indiana. And, that is precisely how Trump dispatched Ted in Indiana.
Those two were indeed "fired up". But, they could not argue a single principle except to spew out political slur after political slur at Ted. They epitomize(d) the typical Trump supporter.
The Clintons know darn well they can out-do Trump in general election. Just as they've taken care of the Bernie, so too can they dispose of any challenge from the Trumpster in the general election.
As things stand - Hillary Clinton will be our next president. Yes, she has fewer votes - at the moment - because a majority of those votes were going to prop up the Trumpster in the Republican Open Primaries. The Clintons know what they are doing.
He may have changed his tune, I'll give him that, but he's going to have to do more than simply talk about it.
"Why change Dicks in the middle of a screw?
Vote for Nixon in '72!"
Still makes me laugh.
Emotional decisions are the bane of a good debate because there is nothing the intellectual debator can say. If people are being driven by emotion, logic isn't the winning strategy. The Libertarian Party had decades of experience with trying the intellectual campaign - the "with the candidate" style. Whether it is fear, Hope and Change, or a shining city on the hill, emotional campaigns are hard to derail with logic.
By my count of the elections since 1984 only one non-emotional based campaign won. But in that one neither side was running an emotionally driven one. In every emotional vs intellectual campaign contest since 1984 the emotional one has always won. Reagan. Clinton. GWB. Obama. Note that each of them were double term POTUSes.
Of course that doesn't guarantee the candidate running an emotionally bass campaign will win, but it is pretty good indicator that as a basic campaign structure it is a more often successful one - If only because those who run intellectual campaigns don't know how to run successfully against an emotional one.
I liken it to talking to vegans and vegetarians about diet. If they think not eating meat or animal products is healthier, they can be educated in the falseness of that conclusion and a discussion might be productive. But if they say it is more ethical or more human there is no value in discussing it - they got there based on emotional reasons and only emotional ones could dissuade them from their folly.
Hillary knows how to debate someone on intellectual grounds. That doesn't mean she knows how to do the same with an emotionally driven one. Maybe she does, but I've never seen it and have doubts she does. The only time we see her play to emotion is when she talks about being the first woman POTUS. Even then she manages to turn it into being with her rather than actually about women in the Oval Office.
To the Democrats, this is 1964 all over again. "Vote for Trump and the sky will fall in!" To them, November is not a Clinton election but a Clinton coronation.
Both candidates are, of course, supreme egoists (or egotists, if you prefer). However, one is "owned" by others, and the other is "owned" by himself; one is a collectivist and the other an individualist.
Now there is the argument that he'll be able to attract Democrats and put states like Pennsylvania into play. That same line was used with McCain and Romney and they both failed. I'm not buying it with Trump any more than I did then. I might get proved wrong, but history tells me it's a long shot.
As to Trump being willing to admit he doesn't know anything, he's put his foot into his mouth too many times on policy issues to give much credibility to that statement. Even Trump's own advisers and insiders have admitted that Trump doesn't go looking for ideas from others. Half of the appeal I hear from Trump fans is that "he isn't afraid to speak his mind" - hardly the modus operandi of someone who values the opinions of others. After examining the bankruptcy judgments against Trump, I also find it interesting that the most common thread in all of them was that Trump himself had to be divested of any leadership role in the company for the judge to approve restructuring. That is hardly the mark of someone who is willing to accept ideas from others.
You also have to look at the two major ways Trump has to affect public sentiment: PSA's (public service announcements also known as advertisements) and debates. PSA's typically focus on the negative in one's opponent and contrasting it to one's own stance. His policies on many items there are identical, so his list of potential PSA's leaves little room to work with. And we saw in the debates that Trump fared poorly - and couldn't leave the jibes at the debate. Marco Rubio's jabs hit home hard and Trump was still talking about rebuttals to them for weeks, making him look thin-skinned and self-conscious - not Presidential and confident. Hillary is a seasoned debater and she'll have moderators willing to cover for her, so Trump is really going to have to outperform if he's going to beat her there.
There is a third way to change peoples' opinions, and that is to actually go out and meet them, but Trump so far has shown little willingness to engage in "press-the-flesh" campaigning. Fortunately, neither has Hillary, so while he won't necessarily receive criticism for not doing it, he's not going to win any converts either.
He's got an uphill battle. Time will tell if he's able to climb that hill despite all the boulders that are going to start rolling down on top of him.
I still hear, nowadays in Texas, a lot of "I may not like him/her, but at least I know what they'll do/be" sentiment expressed. I suspect that is one of the many driving forces behind Trump's success to-date.
It doesn't hurt him either when he says things like "I don't know, we'll have look into that". But you don't see the other candidates saying those types of things - likely ou of far of being viewed as not ready. But, IMO, it is just like interviewing a candidate for a technical job - we actually prefer people who are willing to admit they don't know something.
People in general don't seem to like either of them. Can't blame them of it either. Why do you think those trying to say Trump will get shellacked by Hillary talk about this negatives being worse than hers? Because her positives aren't that great either.
Just remember to "ignore the popular vote behind the curtain".
The same way being anti-Obamacare makes one a "anti-black". That is the mindset of the modern left. They are so stuck on their sense of self-importance and correctness that to even consider the possibility that someone disagrees them for valid reasons would cause their worldview to implode. Thus they drop to cries of racism, sexism, whatever-seem-to-demonize-opponentsism to avoid the cognitive dissonance and require application of brain cells to the discussion.
I'd say it isn't too bad for a campaign that hasn't really started yet, and has the electoral difference you mentioned which would apply to any non-D candidate. It would be far worse of a position had he spent a lot of time and money actually campaigning.
In alligators
It's difficult to remember
Your initial objective
Was to drain the swamp.
DOL
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