Add Comment

FORMATTING HELP

All Comments Hide marked as read Mark all as read

  • Posted by RonC 10 years ago
    In "Lead the Field", Earl Nightingale says, "Luck is when opportunity meets preparedness. Opportunity is always there. Without preparation opportunity makes us look like fools."

    Well, I guess that shows my age a little! In my opinion we could use a large dose of positive motivation these day. In these troubled times I have found it easier to advance my goals because most of the competition has called it quits.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by $ pixelate 10 years ago
    "Luck is a word that was invented by the lazy and the incompetent. It was invented for two reasons: The overt reason was to denigrate individual human achievement. The covert reason was to act as a salve applied to the self-inflicted wounds of the failures."
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by CircuitGuy 9 years, 12 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Science invites people to expose fraud. It loves data that upsets established models.

    Science is not taking issues far outside your expertise, deciding what you wish were true, and then looking for evidence to support it.

    The fact that science discovers fraud is actually a good thing about science. It invites criticism.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by Herb7734 10 years ago
    When the Mae West, who was outrageous for her time, was expounding her secret for success, one of the women she was talking to exclaimed, "My goodness!." Turning to the woman, without missing a beat, she said, "My goodness had nothing to do with it." in her famous Mae West cadence. When my son was being interviewed by a trade paper reporter, she exclaimed that he was lucky to have been so successful. Without missing a beat, he said that luck had nothing to do with it. Afterwards, I told him the Mae West story and we both got a chuckle. The secret of success, as far as I can tell, is to never give up and keep your goal in mind. Failure is often a part of that, and learning from the failure is very valuable.
    Here is an example of what some people call luck because it was so successful so quickly. We published biographical comic books. One day, my son was at a mall in San Diego and he noticed only one store that seemed to be very busy. It was a sports memorabilia store. He went to the counter and asked who was the hottest sports star. The clerk answered Nolan Ryan, who had just pitched his 7th no-hitter. That afternoon we got busy putting together a comic book about Nolan Ryan. We scoured the library and book stores and looked up newspaper sports pages. Wrote the story had it illustrated and printed within the month. Fifty thousand copies flew out our warehouse. The demand went on and on until we sold a record number. Were we ever lucky! No we weren't. You could say, insightful, smart and hard working, but luck? Forget about it!
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
    • Posted by Robbie53024 10 years ago
      Sometimes I think goals are overrated. My original life's goal was to be an astronaut. Along the way that has changed to astrophysicist, aero/astronautical engineer (which I am), to engineering Director/VP of a company, to the best damn DfSS consultant around. Each has helped to guide me and point out what preparation was needed to be successful and have provided opportunities that weren't available otherwise. Had I been locked in on one goal, I would have been frustrated and unhappy. As it is, as luck presented opportunities, they were evaluated and choices were made. I wouldn't change it for anything (but there are probably a million other paths that would have been just as satisfying).
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by Herb7734 10 years ago
        A.R. would most likely would have told you that you that you simply didn't want to be an astronaut badly enough. The very fact of your success is your justification for your decisions. You did set goals. Once achieved you set higher ones. Roark leaped to his goal getting bruised and battered along the way. You used a ladder. Both ways took effort and fortitude. Unlike the 50s & 60s your description of your progress would be incomprehensible to many of the so-called Millenial Generation.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
        • Posted by Robbie53024 10 years ago
          Well, having hay fever was the real problem. Seems a stuffed up nose results in balance problems. But that resulted in my going to West Point instead of the AF Acad, and I'm so very glad to have gone that route. One might say that bad luck (allergy) caused a more beneficial result.
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
          • Posted by Herb7734 10 years ago
            Oh my. Looks like you & I have something in common. I had hay fever so bad that it led to asthma in the summertime. The military didn't want me at all. A good thing, too, as I could never make up a bed, let alone a cot. I shouldn't say that, because I had a friend/mentor who would tell me "The Universe doesn't accept can't." West Point? But you didn't make the military your career. I always think that a West Point grad would be looking for a leut. 2 as the 1st step up the military ladder. But upon reflection, I realize that's not necessarily the case.
            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
            • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
            • Posted by Robbie53024 10 years ago
              '85 grad - so at the peak of the "big Russian Bear" build up of Reagan. By '90, when my commitment was up, things had started to ramp down. In fact, by mid '91, they were paying people to get out. As at that time I was looking at mostly staff work anyway, my thinking was why not go somewhere where I would make some money doing the staff work instead of the military where I would just need to kiss butt and not make any money. I've never regretted the decision.
              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
              • Posted by Herb7734 10 years ago
                Sounds right to me.
                After snoozing through my education, full of the Hank Reardon ethos, I went o work learning a trade -- photography which led to a studio and a retail camera store. After 20 years the
                profession(s) became unprofitable so I moved into publishing and finished with two more careers, selling software and playing music. I was fortunate to be able to go into careers that were fun and actually provided an income. Now as a retiree, I spend my time being a gadfly and inciter of discontent.
                Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
          • Posted by 10 years ago
            that's impressive, snotty guy ;)
            did you ever read Gus Lee's book China Boy?
            He went to West Point and part of the story surrounds a huge mystery that happened there in the 70s? It had to do with cheating but pretty suspenseful and fast read. I think it's also on audio-he is also Christian and his daughter runs the charitable arm of a big Christian band-I am not familiar with.
            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
            • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
            • Posted by Robbie53024 10 years ago
              No. Never heard of it. The reviews seem to indicate that it is mostly a book about his upbringing in San Fran.
              Are all us Christians supposed to stick together? It's a rather large club, you know. But you're always welcome to join. :-)
              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
              • Posted by Herb7734 10 years ago
                Don't want to be nosey, but I've always been curious as to how Christians reconcile their beliefs with A.R.'s atheism.
                Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
                • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 12 months ago
                  I don't have to. I can come to a rational position of there being a deity and still have the fundamental identity that I own myself.

                  I would rather you question how atheists can reconcile their position of no higher power with the existence of the universe, the fact that there is life in the universe, and sentient life as well.

                  Could the universe have popped out of nothingness? If not, then who created it?

                  Could life have occurred on it's own from basic molecules? And if so, then why doesn't it occur anymore?

                  And finally, how in the entirety of the existence of the earth has there only been one animal that has developed sentience? If it was merely a random mutation, then how come that mutation hasn't happened in other animals, or plants for that matter? Nearly every other mutation has occurred in multiple species, but not the ability to think - to have an ability to understand past, present, and future.

                  I have an answer to those questions to which atheists cannot provide a rational answer.
                  Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                  • Posted by $ Thoritsu 9 years, 12 months ago
                    You have faith, not answers. Nothing wrong with that, but it is invalid to assert to a person requiring the scientific method be applied to difficult problems, that you have something they do not.
                    "Atheist" is an interesting categorization of a non-homogeneous group who simply want evidence that the dogma variously championed by organized religion has value, and this value is adequate for them to vest power (directly or indirectly) in the religion.
                    Have you read Bart Ehrman's "Misquoting Jesus"? It quite powerfully debunks at least a literal interpretation of the bible, most certainly the New Testament.
                    A less arrogant belief in a greater power is at least plausible, which might turn out to be another door in Physics, or it might turn out to be a very old race of beings, who knows, maybe we are living in a computer program like Tron. I do not understand rational people specifically associating as "Christian", "Muslim", et al.

                    Separately, many elements of thinking and reason humans long-held as unique are in fact found in animals. Sentience is clearly present in animals. I think you meant a different word, but it is perhaps more arrogant to believe humans are so far above animals (from a capability perspective, not a animal rights/vegetarian perspective) than it is to believe humans and animals were not created by god.
                    Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                    • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
                    • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 12 months ago
                      To what question do you think that I do not have an answer?
                      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                      • Posted by $ Thoritsu 9 years, 12 months ago
                        My point it that to people who require rational argument before adopting facts, neither do you have an answer, because, a belief (faith) is not the foundation of an rational argument. The point is communication. Clearly you believe you have an answer.

                        BTW, I greatly appreciate this argument. Clearly demonstrated by your posts, you are a very learned and intelligent person that I quite respect, although disagree with in this area.
                        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                        • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
                        • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 12 months ago
                          And I appreciate the dialogue as well. Challenging my faith (logically and rationally as you have done) causes me to grow deeper in it by requiring me to understand just what it is that I do believe.
                          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                    • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
                    • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 12 months ago
                      Sentience in that only humans can conceive of a past, present, and future, and record the past/present and project the future.
                      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                      • Posted by $ Thoritsu 9 years, 12 months ago
                        These are not the definitions of sentience. Sentience is the ability to feel or perceive or said differently, responsive to sensory input or conscious. I understand what you mean, but lack the single word to describe it.
                        Animals do have a recollection of past, present and future. Animals understand causality. Animals can count. Other than the skill/facility in each of these cognitive areas, the main thing animals lack is written language (as we humans also lacked some 4,000 years ago) and abstraction (probably). What is quite arguable is whether a written language accounts for a majority of the shortcomings of animals cognitive abilities. If dolphins or apes could write, how quickly would they abstract and develop "standing on the shoulders of giants" as we have. If one were not taught to read and write, how sophisticated would this person appear above animals.
                        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                        • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
                        • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 12 months ago
                          I disagree. Animals cannot perceive the future. They behave only by instinct to put away nuts for the future - it is hard coded in their DNA. Some animals have means of communication between themselves, but again that is merely a mechanism that exists as a function of the survival mechanism. Show me the horse, dog, or dolphin that spontaneously counted without having been trained to do so. Or that once taught to do so derived higher order math. Only man's ability to reason (sentience) has done that in all of history.
                          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                          • Posted by $ Thoritsu 9 years, 12 months ago
                            Birds can count their eggs:
                            http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/200...
                            There are many other examples of untrained animals that can count and having a sense of numbers, including primates. One quick article:
                            http://www.newscientist.com/gallery/mg20...
                            As noted in the above article, animals with some counting ability can more readily sense the difference between numbers when the difference is large (e.g. 6 and 21). Humans also do this much faster than smaller differences (e.g. 31 and 45).
                            Animals clearly perceive causality, a near future. Animals also reinforce their own behaviors to develop positive outcomes:
                            http://io9.com/5828440/banana-hiding-wea...
                            I believe the gap you are identifying is Episodic Memory, which relates to recalling the specific episode in detail or making plans far into the future. Primates have rudimentary skills in this area, far inferior to humans. Clearly animals do not posses the ability to plan far into the future. However, 50 years ago people were largely unaware animals could count, use tools or do a multitude of things. For example, research to discriminate between culture and instinct among other examples has shown we had a "world is flat" view of animal cognition. Given how far this has gone, it seems quite unreasonable to assert they never will (over millennia not years); that they cannot be trained to and then pass it on to other animals or that there is some fundamental capability we have that they can never have.
                            Again, I'm not making some ethical argument here that animals are as important as we are. Any human has a wealth of learned information and understanding far in excess of any animal, and are at least that much more valuable. Setting aside any other moral distinction.
                            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                  • Posted by Herb7734 9 years, 12 months ago
                    I gave up on Judeo-Christian type religion when no matter how I looked at the old and new testaments they made no sense to me. After reading philosophy, and A.R., I got interested in quantum physics and its relationship to consciousness.I found the entire idea of the big bang to be almost as silly as a roasted ox being pleasant in the eyes of God. The whole of the quantum world is inadequately dealt with in Objectivism, in my opinion. There is something which we consider mystical today but may be explained in the future. It could be God, the universe itself or as some scientists postulate, us or the machines we create. Perhaps the Gulch is not the right place for this discussion -- or is it? In any case, I have been elucidated once again
                    Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                  • Posted by CircuitGuy 9 years, 12 months ago
                    "I have an answer to those questions to which atheists cannot provide a rational answer."
                    It sounds like your condemning people who admit they don't know those things yet and favoring just making up an answer out of whole cloth.
                    Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                    • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
                    • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 12 months ago
                      Not at all. What is your answer? I don't know is acceptable, but does not provide a rational basis to refute my answer. If you don't know, that is fine. But then you are not allowed to tell me that my answer is false.

                      My answer is not made up from whole cloth. It is based on an actual person and the teachings that he gave that have endured for over 2000 years. There are other signs (I'd point you to the Shroud of Turin, and the recent instance of a boy who knew things that he could not have known and claims that he learned those things in heaven) but usually atheists claim that these are fake or false, yet cannot explain them any other way.
                      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                      • Posted by CircuitGuy 9 years, 12 months ago
                        This is just argument from antiquity and starting with a desired answer and cherry picking any evidence to support it. Scientific evidence does not support religious claims. Our mythology tells us something about where we came from, but it is not good for scientific claims like under what conditions molecules can form into life.
                        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                        • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
                        • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 12 months ago
                          The typical answer from the atheist - you're just cherry-picking data, or that data doesn't meet my standard of substantiation. There have been entire branches of science that started with less evidence than I have cited. You merely don't like it, so you refuse to allow it.

                          Explain how the Shroud of Turin was created. Mere molecules thick of the essence that creates the image, and created in a fashion that it only makes sense when shaped as if draped over a body. Carbon dating has been contradictory and since this test consumes some of the fabric, it is unlikely to be allowed again.
                          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                          • Posted by CircuitGuy 9 years, 12 months ago
                            Are you saying scientific inquiry supports religion? Is it many religions or just yours? Are you eagerly inviting new hypotheses and tests to disprove your current understanding and create a new one? If so, this is inconsistent with my understanding of religion, which I think of as starting with faith in unfalsifiable claims-- not wrong or right claims but claims outside the realm of scientific inquiry.

                            The thing about the Shroud just seems like god of the gaps.
                            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                            • Posted by $ AJAshinoff 9 years, 12 months ago
                              Personally I think science is simply figuring out how things were made - reverse engineering. Whereas religions are setting the foundation without worry about the mechanics of how it came to be. The two, neither which will proven right while your still alive, have plenty of room to co-exist without animosity. My 2 bits.
                              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                              • Posted by CircuitGuy 9 years, 12 months ago
                                Yes. I've thought the same thing, esp about old religious debates, such as a heliocentric solar system. That really wasn't a religious question.

                                Also, sometimes people will talk about believing in things like evolution. We don't believe in scientific claims, we accept the evidence. We're open to new evidence. Religious claims, like the golden rule, is not something religious people want to disprove. It's an axiom, a starting point, a belief.

                                I agree religious beliefs and scientific claims are completely different things. They do not need to be nasty toward each other. I don't approve of the recent atheists who dismiss religion as stupid. I often do feel like religious people are arguing over their imaginary friend, but I try to be humble and accept I'm not theologian, and it's not productive for me to dismiss people out of hand. I known many very intelligent and scientific people who believe in religion devoutly.
                                Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                                • Posted by $ AJAshinoff 9 years, 12 months ago
                                  Unfortunately "we don't believe in scientific claims, we accept the facts" is belied by the FRAUD which is the manufactured scientific consensus behind man-made global warming. Each side has its full of sh*t aspects...neither will ever win everyones fidelity.
                                  Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                                  • CircuitGuy replied 9 years, 12 months ago
                      • Posted by 9 years, 12 months ago
                        In the case of the boy, it is information explained after the fact. His parents are the only witness. I think he and they completely believe . I respect their wonder in the events and their son coming back to life. I don't think there is evidence to prove he was in a place-heaven. Don't get me started on the shroud. I agree there was someone who likely taught a philosophy that was based on belief in God but separate and distinct from Judaism, and was very influential, with followers who also were influential and charismatic. Notice how there are never "miracles" where limbs are replaced.
                        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                        • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
                        • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 12 months ago
                          Ah, but the blind were made to see, and the dead were brought back to life. You can choose to create your own criterion, and that is for you to decide. I'm merely saying that your criterion do not need to be mine.

                          As for the child, again, you can choose to believe that they coached him and that he is lying. That is your free will to do so. You say that it is after the fact, but how else could it be? Can you describe your dream to me while you are still dreaming? He knew things that he could not have known. I choose to believe he is telling the truth. I may be foolish to do so, for there have been many charlatans throughout history. In any case, my conviction does not harm you - and in fact, benefits you immeasurably by creating myself and millions of others of like mind to be persons that do not seek to harm others with a desire only to live respectfully and in harmony with others. Isn't that the crux of Objectivism? The fact that we get there from a different place should not cause us to be in conflict.

                          You asked Herb to start the discussion. I did instead - yet few have decided to engage (and I put you and db in that group). There are those who think that Objectivism and Christianity are diametrically opposed on things like wealth/money. I do not believe so and have put forth my rationale for believing so. Heck, even CircuitGuy chimed in and seems that we actually have something in agreement.
                          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                          • Posted by 9 years, 12 months ago
                            I never said he willfully lied. I'm not sure the parents did either. That is not the same as reality.
                            I have mostly been tending my own posts and comments today. I'll get to it. :)
                            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                            • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
                            • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 12 months ago
                              I've not read the book, nor seen the movie, merely caught a couple of interviews. From what I gather there are things that this child reported that could not have been known by the child, nor would they have been things told to the child or casually overheard. For example, when the child was in a coma, each parent was in a separate place and the father was railing against God for what was occurring. That's not something that the child would know nor would it be something that could reasonably be expected to be unintentionally communicated. Either he was coached, or he had an out of body experience.
                              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                • Posted by 10 years ago
                  herb,
                  they see her philosophy and reasoning as flawed in the metaphysics and epistemology. Where Objectivism starts with A is A they start with God, God says A is A when I want it to be so.
                  Check out ChristianEgoist's site (by the same name). I think he very articulately discusses your question.
                  http://thechristianegoist.wordpress.com/...
                  Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                  • Posted by $ jbrenner 9 years, 12 months ago
                    Dear Khalling, While I agree with almost everything you, Robbie, and Herb said, there is the one great difficulty in Ayn Rand's lack of logic in coming to the "conclusion" of the rationality of atheism. On everything else, she must have proof for everything. She has no proof for the non-existence of God. She could have been logically consistent and have been agnostic, but atheism requires a leap of faith. It can be reasonably debated whether the leap of faith is bigger for the existence or non-existence of God, but either way, it is a leap of faith in either circumstance.
                    Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                    • Posted by 9 years, 12 months ago
                      "proof for the non-existence of God"

                      There is no evidence for a God. In fact, that is the only evidence there is or could be for there not being a God.
                      I have no evidence for the lack of existence of pink flying elephants. Show proof for the non-existence of pink flying elephants.

                      There is no evidence. Pushing an assertion that God exists and you provide no evidence. The lack of evidence IS evidence.

                      How is this different than those asserting man made global warming-providing little to no scientific evidence, yet those asking for scientific evidence are called deniers?! The lack of evidence rests firmly in the religious camp not Objectivism.

                      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                      • Posted by $ jbrenner 9 years, 12 months ago
                        What is easier to accept? Is it reasonable to accept a statistical impossibility of random occurrences just so that there would be a planet capable of supporting life, not to mention the evolution of that life into intelligence? Or is it easier to accept that a rational being chose to make such circumstances? I know I will be in a minority in this forum. This is the argument for deism, which is supported by a few around here. Undoubtedly a number of random occurrences have transpired for things to get to where they are now, but not that many. When someone proves the existence of life, regardless of how primitive, on another planet somewhere else in the universe, I will reconsider my position. Until then, I will argue that to deny an intelligence higher than our own is a far more reasonable explanation for intelligent life than life without any intervention by a more intelligent life form. The number of circumstances that would have to go correctly is beyond my ability to attribute it to luck.
                        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                      • Posted by $ jbrenner 9 years, 12 months ago
                        With plenty of due respect, as you are an excellent debater, Khalling, the probability that there is no God is so small as to be statistically impossible. In keeping with the thread, it really would take luck for any of us to exist here on Earth.
                        The proof that there is no god takes far more of a leap of faith than to believe that there is a god. I will continue to argue that agnosticism should be the correct stance for an objectivist, but the odds that life on Earth evolved without some external intervention is the argument that requires more proof.

                        Whether you agree with all that is in the link below, I would argue that the odds described therein are actually far longer than those cited in that link.
                        I do agree that evolution has happened, but the list of 322 items in the link below doesn't even begin to address the number of things that would have to go right for the formation of DNA in the most primitive of organisms, let alone intelligent life.

                        http://pleaseconvinceme.com/2012/evidenc...
                        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                        • Posted by CircuitGuy 9 years, 12 months ago
                          Isn't this just the anthropic principle? Obviously a universe with intelligent creatures wondering about it would be compatible with intelligent creatures.

                          I find this meaningless b/c the claim of existence of god(s) is not scientifically falsifiable. It's not in the realm of science.
                          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                          • Posted by $ jbrenner 9 years, 12 months ago
                            A universe with intelligent creatures wondering about it certainly does not disprove the existence of a god.
                            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                            • Posted by CircuitGuy 9 years, 12 months ago
                              Right. All universe with intelligent creatures would have wonder about creation. All universes w/o intelligent creatures would not have wonder about creation. So no matter how unlikely a universe with intelligent creatures may be, we can't say "isn't it odd that the people wondering about creation just so happen to be in a universe conducive to intelligent life?" It's not odd. It's the only thing possible.

                              As you said in your other post, this claim is not scientifically falsifiable. We can't make a hypothesis and do and experiment. We do not know.

                              I think you define atheist as asserting there's no god. I call that strong atheism. If you just have no reason to believe in gods, by my definition that's atheism.

                              Agnostic means someone on the fence about it, thinking maybe there is a god. It could also mean someone asserting the existence of a god is fundamentally unknowable.
                              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                              • Posted by $ jbrenner 9 years, 12 months ago
                                The strict term for agnosticism would be your latter definition that the existence of a god is scientifically unknowable. For someone who follows Rand's logic, this form of agnosticism is the logical conclusion because neither a god's existence or lack thereof can be scientifically proven.
                                Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                                • Posted by 9 years, 12 months ago
                                  no. the point is I do not have to entertain the concept. Or if I have examined, studied the concept, I can refute it. I do not need to leave the door open a crack to let a little light in.
                                  Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                          • Posted by $ jbrenner 9 years, 12 months ago
                            You are correct. It is not scientifically falsifiable. It is outside the realm of science. Some questions just cannot be answered via science or anything else. As a PhD, I know that I don't know very much, and compared to all that there is to know, neither does anyone else.
                            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                            • Posted by 9 years, 12 months ago
                              yes, but we must agree on some basis. or else, everything is meaning-less. Lack of perfect knowledge does not negate knowledge.
                              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                              • Posted by $ jbrenner 9 years, 12 months ago
                                This may be one of those rare times we disagree, Khalling. I have a tremendous amount of respect for you and all those in the Gulch. The number of things that had to go correctly for all of what we are and do to happen is just too many coincidences (luck?) for me to accept. There must be a reasonable explanation even if we are too primitive to understand what it is.
                                Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                      • Posted by $ jbrenner 9 years, 12 months ago
                        Actually the parallel to global warming is a poor one because there is plenty of historical evidence for the Earth having been much warmer and much cooler than it is now.

                        Actually there is a lot of evidence for the existence of the God of the Bible. The history of the Jewish people is quite remarkable, for instance. There were literally dozens of prophecies that Christians cited as having been fulfilled in the person of Jesus. Jesus performed many acts that were viewed as miracles at the time. Raising someone from the dead and then being raised from the dead himself from a guarded tomb are extremely outlandish claims. The Jews did not want to give Jesus' followers the opportunity to rob the grave and claim his resurrection and went to Pontius Pilate to insist on Roman guards being put at the tomb site. It is somehow fitting that this discussion should come today. In the Catholic Church, the Sunday after Easter is the day on which the story of "Doubting Thomas" occurs. Thomas refuses to believe unless he can probe Jesus' hands and his side - which he then did, before bringing news of Jesus' resurrection to India, where he was martyred.

                        The apostle Paul writes that Jesus appeared to over 500 people following Jesus' resurrection, and in quite a few different venues.

                        Consequently, there is actually quite a lot of evidence. It may not be enough to cause everyone to come to the conclusion that there is a god, but it is evidence.

                        There are but three responses to Jesus' claims. Atheists will almost assuredly say that he was a lunatic, but that cannot explain his miraculous powers. Some may call him a liar. That is a hard stance to take. Who would become a martyr to what amounts to a lie? Finally, some will recognize him as their lord. I do not see a fourth possible response.
                        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                        • Posted by 9 years, 12 months ago
                          *man-made* global warming. We know that the 4 books of the story of Jesus were written by many not 4. But that is a discussion for another post.
                          There are so many Jesus-like stories, based on heresay as well-that is not evidence. You choose which pieces of information to accept as factual without applying the same level of rigorous standards you demand in science.
                          http://www.nobeliefs.com/exist.htm
                          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                          • Posted by $ jbrenner 9 years, 12 months ago
                            Half of what gets published in scientific papers is not reproducible by other researchers, so I don't have much that I consider factual in any field outside of mathematics.

                            Regarding the heresay argument, I won't argue with you. All recorded history is heresay.
                            Indeed, the four books of the story of Jesus are composites. If Jesus had not resurrected from the dead, he would have been buried in the annals of history.
                            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                            • Posted by 9 years, 12 months ago
                              we don't need to authenticate a shroud as proof Aristotle existed. We have his writings. We have Plato's writings. I might grant you Socrates-but Plato was writing about him in his lifetime. I am not saying an evangelist named Jesus didn't exist.
                              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                              • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
                              • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 12 months ago
                                If you had absolute proof that Jesus in fact rose from the dead and you saw that resurrected body lifted to heaven would you have any difficulty in accepting in a God, and in so doing, know that you had to live a moral and just life otherwise you would suffer eternal damnation?

                                Of what use in such a situation would be free-will?

                                If you accept a creator who gave us free-will then all else is rational.
                                Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                          • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
                          • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 12 months ago
                            Written down by more than 4 perhaps. There are contemporaneous reports of the events of the crucifixion. There are no polaroids of the risen Christ, but there are again reports that more than 500 people saw him resurrected. It is part of the mystery that He is not revealed definitively to all. That would undercut God's plan. He gave us free-will in order to be able to choose the righteous path or not. If you had absolute evidence, such a choice would be easy. It is the making of the choice in a circumstance of doubt that makes it powerful.
                            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                            • Posted by 9 years, 12 months ago
                              no one asked for polaroids. Why is it we have so much more evidence of those who lived hundreds of years earlier and only eyewitness or hearsay about Jesus. A test? ahhh, yes, a test of faith
                              Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                              • Posted by CircuitGuy 9 years, 12 months ago
                                Yes. Why would god kill his/her own son, bring him back to life,, and then not leave us evidence as a test of faith. If the god did that, why wouldn't he come up with some really sick and twisted test of faith, like demanding someone kill his own son for no reason?
                                Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                              • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
                              • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 12 months ago
                                Well, I'm guessing that those people of whom you speak are much more prominent people at least in the aspect of the contemporaneous society. Jesus was the son of a carpenter in the society of the day. How many other Jewish carpenters from 2000 years ago do you know recorded in history?

                                And what do you call the Shroud of Turin? Pretty much a miraculous polaroid, if you ask me.
                                Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                                • Posted by 9 years, 12 months ago
                                  http://www.ibtimes.com/shroud-turin-wron...

                                  why is the "image" cut off at the neck? the carbon dating doesn't jive and the most recent earthquake stretch is psuedo scientific. The carbon dating does jive with a period in which christian relics were highly prized in Europe, following the Crusades' pillaging. and why does the image match perfectly with European drawings and paintings of Jesus in the early middle ages? It's not even likely a carpenter from that time and place looked like that.
                                  Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
                                  • Robbie53024 replied 9 years, 12 months ago
                      • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
                      • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 12 months ago
                        You keep saying that there is no evidence, but reject the evidence presented because you don't want to believe it. That is dishonest. You cannot say show proof and then say that you don't accept the proof.

                        To whit: Jesus caused a blind man to see. Brought a dead man back to life. Turned water to wine. Healed a leper. Caused a lame man to be able to walk. Fed 5000 people with 5 loaves and 2 fishes and had leftovers. Rose from the dead after 3 days and displayed himself to over 500 people. The Shroud of Turin shows a person scourged, exhibiting wounds on his head his side, hands and feet consistent with the story of the crucifixion and produced in a manner unknown (even today) with mere microns of artifact and in a manner that only represents the info when draped as it would be over a body. None of these things are possible by humans.

                        These are merely some of innumerable examples of evidence that I could cite. You will likely say that they don't rise to a sufficient level for you to accept. That is your right. But do not say that because you reject them, that they do not exist.

                        The most recent example is the boy that states things that he could not have known and says that he learned these things in heaven. Again, you can reject this evidence and claim that it is brainwashing, outright lying, or some sort of mass hallucination.
                        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
              • Posted by 10 years ago
                nope. I know him personally (we worked in a church together in Colorado) and he's a very interesting man. You are correct. Honor and Duty is about his time at West Point. sorry about that mistake, but China Boy is very interesting as well.
                Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by kwillia5 10 years ago
    I saw a quote form L. Pasteur on an archway inside the University of Rochester Library in the late 60's.
    "Chance favors only the prepared mind". I have lived by that ever since.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by $ jbrenner 9 years, 12 months ago
    Would you prefer the term "statistically improbable, albeit unlikely"? Twenty-five years ago, I used to do Monte Carlo simulations to predict the likelihood both to predict the products from liquefaction of hydrocarbon fuel sources and for the structure of amorphous silicon structures generated during microelectronics syntheses.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by 9 years, 12 months ago
      a 50/50 shot is predictive. For instance, if I have a 50% chance of getting breast cancer, I'm taking preemptive action.
      You seem to be making a point about luck vs statistical predictions. Can you expound?
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by $ jbrenner 9 years, 12 months ago
        The way that many chemical engineering problems involving many simultaneous reactions are simulated is to a) approximate the complex mixture with just a very few model molecules, b) go into the lab and carry out the reactions with the model molecules, c) create a Monte Carlo simulation that includes all of the model molecule reactions going on in parallel, and then d) comparing the results of the simulation with the products from the real feedstock mixture whose products are so numerous that otherwise it would be difficult to elucidate directly.

        Each reaction has a probability step.

        p = 1 - exp(-ksubi*dt)
        dt = differential time step
        ksubi is the rate constant, k, for reactant i.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by plusaf 9 years, 12 months ago
    Luck is like the very short discussion I once had with my mom, who kept blaming outcomes on "Destiny..." 'it was destined to be...'

    Mom, 'destiny' has NO PREDICTIVE VALUE. It only looks at past events and blames their outcome on 'destiny.' Quite useless in managing your life.

    I find that 'luck' is similarly backward-looking, or maybe post hoc, ergo propter hoc... a great explanation for what happened and useless for future decision-making.

    my 2c.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by $ jbrenner 9 years, 12 months ago
      There is a whole field of mathematics often used in several fields of engineering called Monte Carlo simulations that most people would call "luck" that is highly predictive. See my comment slightly further down in this thread for examples.
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by plusaf 9 years, 12 months ago
        Got it... but what you're describing does not predict outcomes; it predicts the probability of an outcome or outcomes... High probability for the desired outcome is still just that, but not 'luck' or 'destiny.'

        Oh, and in a tiny way like the Global Warming 'models'... lousy models make for lousy Monte Carlo results, too! :)
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by $ Stormi 10 years ago
    Seems like an odd source, but Rose Kennedy used to say that Luck was something you made. That can mean a variety of things. Hard work brings good results, and can be called luck. Politicians spread lots of money, then others call the results good luck. Rarely does luck just descend without some prior action of some sort. By the way, nice photo of Fallingwater on the linked site!.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
    • Posted by 10 years ago
      ? In the article Stormi? I didn 't see it. Somewhere else on the site?
      Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
      • Posted by $ Stormi 10 years ago
        No, Rose Kennedy was not mentioned, but came from my history reading. The article talked of "luck" and how people approach it, and the posts were giving their opinions.That triggered the quote I had read, from Rose Kennedy, which shows how far to the left the Democrats have moved since then. It mirrors the article in that she, as did the author, linked luck to human action, as opposed to inaction.
        Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
        • Posted by 10 years ago
          yes, I meant the picture of Falling Water. Are you sure it wasn't Wright's rendering of AR's home? (It was never built)
          Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
          • Posted by $ Stormi 10 years ago
            No, it was definitely Fallingwater, scrolling across the top of the page with unrelated photos. It was the same as a photo I have hanging on my dining room wall. We have been there several times and have numerous photos, some of which I have enlarged for hanging. He may have let Rand down (I have a small print of her planned FLW home, which was not built on the wall also), but his independence of spirit and design still stand out. Rand just did not think he lived up to her ideals as completely as the hero in "The Fountainhead".
            Reply | Mark as read | Parent | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
  • Posted by Robbie53024 10 years ago
    While the sentiment is a good one - hard work and preparation are good - there is often an element of luck in many aspects of our lives. It is just that one shouldn't base one's entire success/failure on happenstance. For example, my current job as a consultant was pure luck, but that luck was enabled by years of preparation and experience. Had I not been laid off, and had I not worked with another person who also had been laid off who had a connection to our current boss, I wouldn't be doing what I'm doing now - that was pure luck. But the fact that I had the knowledge, experience, and capability to do what I'm doing was not luck -- it was a damn lot of hard work.

    Hard work and preparation allow instances of "luck" to occur, but "luck" can never take the place of hard work and preparation.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by $ jlc 10 years ago
    I wish someone 'Luck' when I wish to express a positive, encouraging sentiment and there is nothing I can otherwise do to influence the outcome. It is my agnostic version of "God bless you."

    So when someone is going in for an operation or is moving to a new state, I can wish them "Good Luck" or "Bon Chance" (or "Bon Adventure" in the case of the move). It is a useful word, but should not be used as a substitute for 'work'.

    Life is a crapshoot, however, and I do not mind hoping that 'forces beyond my control' positively affect me or people I like.

    Jan
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by SRS66East 10 years ago
    I am really glad he took the moment to reflect and then give himself credit for his hard work. Too often people summarily dismiss their hard work when receiving credit, and this never imparts to other who would follow their path that "building that" wasn't easy.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by MrSankey 10 years ago
    I absolutely avoid use of the word. As a coach for our schools basketball team I have no appreciation for the one that wishes us luck. There is no luck involved, and likewise I never wish another team or player luck, I usually say hit em hard. And the guy is right the word cheapens the sacrifice of those making the effort.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Comment hidden by post owner or admin, or due to low comment or member score. View Comment
  • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 12 months ago in reply to this comment.
    The carbon dating has been shown to be contradictory (as discussed in the article). Since each sample is destroyed in the process, it is unlikely that more attempts to do such will be allowed.

    It's not cut off at the neck. It is a full body "picture" showing a scourged body with a piercing in the side and holes in the hands/feet, and wounds such as would be created had one been forced to wear a crown of thorns.

    If you go to this link http://shroudstory.com/2010/10/23/shroud... you will see a 3-D sculpture of the data encapsulated in the shroud. This data only makes sense when draped in this topographic fashion. Read the article on the right side of the page, it's very intriguing.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  
  • Posted by tdechaine 10 years ago
    Luck is chance; some things happen independent of how we "prepare" for them. Thus, there is nothing bad about the word. Everything resulting from hard work should not be called luck. Taking advantage of opportunities while earning the rewards should also not be called luck.
    Reply | Mark as read | Best of... | Permalink  

FORMATTING HELP

  • Comment hidden. Undo