What Could Have Been?
I have been wondering about our civilization and its trajectory throughout History. What if the Industrial Revolution occurred in 500 AD rather than 1800. Wasn't our main limitation between that time period a lack of science, reason, and freedom and property rights? From a research point of view, we are way behind on China (historical context here not scientific research)-but what if Rome embraced these concepts? What if the entire world adopted them in 1800? Imagine our wealth, including in knowledge. I was wondering if any of you think about that. I am inundated by news, the net, our own government that I should limit how I create by my use of resources, expect less from systems, plant my own food...in case California dries up and can't do that job for me. hmmm. How much of our history were the creators and dreamers and doers told to stand down and expect more shortages, learn less?
[edited for clarity on China comment ]
[edited for clarity on China comment ]
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Yes, you did answer my question this time.
I wholeheartedly agree that we mast oppose statists with all the means at our disposal. My view is that until we change the composition of Congress, petitioning them is a waste of time.
If Snowden had not sold out to Russians and Chinese, I might not consider him a traitor. How is it rational to fight statists, by helping the two most monstrously statist regimes on the planet?
I lived for 21 years under Hitler and the communists. I know what statists do.
The fundamental problem for us here is the irresponsible and uneducated "we the people".
We have seen leaders in virtually all areas making compromise after compromise and the result has been more and more government.
I think that more compromise gains nothing.
We must oppose statism, not compromise with it. Would a petition have any effect?
Until someone does it, how can we know what the immedaite effect or the more important long term effect will be. Would it merely mean a replacement of management under pressure, or would it be the first crack in the dam of state? Did anyone expect Solidarity to succeed against the regime in Poland?
I do think of Snowden's act as an ethical response to statism, and I think the only realistic hope for the republic is for many leaders to stop compromising and act ethically for individual liberty. There is no liberty without risk, and the days of avoiding all risk are past.
If this is not an answer to your question, please restate it ;^)
I think that Snowden has nothing to do with what we are discussing. He is not a heroic figure in my estimation. Let's put him aside.
Instead of the answer to my question, you gave me another illustration of your passionate beliefs. Please notice that I am not criticizing those beliefs.
Should Edward Snowden have remained quiet because it was convenient and safe?
BB&T management are looters. Without the federal reserve act to virtually guarantee profits they and the entire current banking industry leaders would either collapse or learn to produce a real service of value.
Evil men will triumph if they are unopposed by good men.
I hear you.
My problem is that it seems to me that to know truly everything about another person would require my brain to become a carbon copy of that person's.
The other problem I have are those multiple interconnections that are not permanent and change according to multilayer set of criteria of which we know virtually nothing.
I am sure that you are right that we can build machines and program them to do some narrow segment of what we do. But to clone a human mind electronically to a fully functional normal human being I think is science fiction. Would that clone have sexual drive? How would they mate? Would their sexual intercourse risk a short circuit if particularly vigorous? I am having fun here!
What bother me the most in what you say is the denial of free will. I think that leads directly to collectivism, supernatural designer and denial of individuality. All these, in my mind, are horrendous threats to humanity.
Thank you for replying.
You praise BB&T for their training.
I condemn them for their business practices.
If they believe and act objectively they would petition congress to repeal the federal reserve act, convert all federal banks into S&L's without the ability to create legal tender from nothing. Actions in the marketplace speak louder than words in seminars.
We certainly have the appearance of free will but whether we actually do has long been a matter of debate. The more you know about someone, the more likely you are to be able to predict what they will do, and if you can predict it, then are they really acting on free will or coming to a predictable conclusion? If we knew everything about them would we be able to perfectly predict what they would do, thus revealing free will to be an illusion? Can we know ‘everything’ about someone?
As we study the human brain, we are developing mechanistic explanations for how neurons work, how they interconnect, how learning is accomplished by creating interconnections, strengthening ones that are deemed useful and removing the ones that aren’t. The network of neurons is vast but not infinite, with 100 billion as a good upper bound. Of course these can be interconnected in many ways as well, so understanding how it works is daunting. Nevertheless, one can imagine that it is possible at some point to understand how a single neuron works and then how ever larger groups of them work when connected. There is no conceptual barrier to being able to eventually understand the complete functioning of the human brain. And if you completely understand how the brain functions, do you then have the ability to perfectly predict what it is going to do in response to a set of stimulations? If you can, there goes free will.
There are those who believe that random effects at a quantum level play a part in the decision of individual neurons to trigger which would make the process theoretically impossible to actually predict. This randomness could reintroduce free-will. It’s possible that exactly the same inputs might generate different results. We can’t really tell whether we will need cat food until we open Schrodinger’s box.
From another perspective, we do not have to recreate a specific human perfectly to meet the requirement of having a creation with at least as much appearance of free will as we have. We simply have to construct a system of sufficient complexity that we are unable to practically predict what it is going to do. We can even introduce some physical randomizer into our design to provide a quantum input into the process. It’s easier than you think; we actually work rather hard to make computers predictable.
Most of computer programming is designed to generate expected outputs to your inputs. You don’t want your accounting system to generate different numbers based on ‘free will’. But that’s just because it’s what we want to have them do. There are also types of software which has sets of rules and mechanisms to balance which decisions to make based on relative inputs. In short they start to look like what a neuron does. And as you connect them together you will have systems that are practically impossible to predict, which could be considered free will.
So, we can make computers unpredictable. Can we make them creative? Once again, we are dealing with something that we don’t entirely understand. Computer programs have been able to find correlations that no one knew existed, so is that creativity? If a human found a new way of combining two pieces of data we would call it a creative solution to a problem, can we not extend the same word to the same deed if done by complex silicon based algorithms?
In the end, we must fall back on Turing’s test: if we cannot perceive the difference between the actions taken by an algorithm or by a human, then essentially there is no difference.
Jan
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