Pensions: too big to NOT fail

Posted by $ blarman 9 years, 5 months ago to Economics
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This is why retirement plans should NEVER be administered by government.

And the shocks to the economy to come out of this will be staggering. Mark my words, this could be the piece of straw that breaks the economy's back.


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  • Posted by $ jlc 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    So, what I am saying, blarman, is that your own individually controlled savings should be as...discrete...as possible. Not labeled as 'retirement' in in official (401K) manner. And perhaps saved as assets rather than as money - eg rental properties.

    Jan
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  • Posted by $ 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    In a rational world, yes, we'd still own our assets. You point out the reality that rationality is only clinging by its fingernails in today's world. Sigh.

    And Cyprus was a frightening example of what could happen, I agree. I would like to think (especially given the shift in power after the last elections) that it wouldn't happen in the US, but Obama could always order it by executive fiat, and I doubt Boehner would object.
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  • Posted by edweaver 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    While I agree that much of the waste is due to politicians I'd be willing to bet there is significant waste inside the military. It is the nature of the beast when anyone is spending money they don't own.
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  • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Most of the waste that you cite is not created by the military itself, but via political concerns. Politicians that demand weapons systems that the military has said they don't want nor need but because the vendor is in a politicians district, they get forced to accept it anyway. As for the VA, that's totally outside the military, it is it's own bureaucracy. A travesty coming out of the Civil War.
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  • Posted by edweaver 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    I'll give you that one. The only thing is if it were privately run we would either do a better job for less or get twice as much for our money. So much waste that could be used in better ways. We only have to look at the VA scandel to see they can do better.
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  • Posted by edweaver 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Personally I don't believe there is anything that is run by government that won't fail at some point. Governments don't have the forces working for them that are necessary for long term success. The single most important force being competition.
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  • Posted by $ nickursis 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Right, but in this case it is not a probability. It is physically impossible, unless you think 5 million immigrants the Obamanation is allowing will all pay in willingly. Otherwise the numbers around today guarantee failure. They can only slow the time down if they took action, which they never will.Raising the age just gets them a couple of years more, which is nothing. SS=CA+Water.
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  • Posted by plusaf 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Exactly! Thank you!
    Now help me find a way to get that idea into more minds! As too many managers have told me in the past, "You're just not saying it right..."

    After a while, I just concluded that I was trying to transmit an FM signal to a bunch of AM receivers. And you know the output of an AM receiver when subjected to an FM signal, right?

    Silence.
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  • Posted by Im_J-hnG-lt 9 years, 5 months ago
    Our saving grace is high productivity through hi-tech. The individual in our hi-tech environment hardly needs to lift a finger to sustain himself.
    There are no 'real' shortages. Disruptions are result of dysfunctional government or occasional natural disaster.
    A breakdown in socio-economic structure or hi-tech failure is the biggest threat to our future.
    It's the manipulation of the ignorant masses by the psycho-elite that bring chaos to an otherwise stable environment. Here in the U.S. it's a 2-Party Turf War. Both sickened with their self-delusion of importance. Both causing more harm than good, seeming to enjoy the pain inflicted on others.
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  • Posted by j_IR1776wg 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    +1 for you. "Any REAL plan to correct the deficiencies should and must be phased in over at least one entire working lifespan... 40 years or more. " I fully agree. The only sane way out of this Ponzt scheme is for America to walk our way out of it over the next 30-40 years. If you are 65 this year, you'd get 100% of promised benefits, If 60, 90%, 55, 85%, etc. At the same time start a massive education campaign to teach people on how to plan for and be responsible for their own futures. At the same time start chopping government agencies and programs, such as, Department of Education, Department of Energy, EPA, Obamacare, and the IRS for starters.
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  • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Like I said, if more paid in, and less was paid out, it would work. But that's not happening. Thus, yes, it will fail, but it didn't have to.
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  • Posted by teri-amborn 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Actually I can see a day coming (and soon) where you will be taking a little pill instead of going to a nursing home.
    I plan on working until the day I die.
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  • Posted by plusaf 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Hate to sound like a broken record... oh, hell, I don't care... but for years I've been trying to point out that the 'problems' with SocSec have developed over the Entire Span of Time that it's existed, but pols and stupid voters ALWAYS are trying to figure out how to solve the inevitable problems during the next election cycle.

    Which is 'frutile,' as an old college bud used to put it... a combination of futile and fruitless.

    Any REAL plan to correct the deficiencies should and must be phased in over at least one entire working lifespan... 40 years or more.

    I've suggested converting to an Opt-In Or Opt-Out choice for everyone newly entering the workforce... a decision to own all of your retirement savings and manage them yourself, OR let the bumblement manage it for you, OR split the percentage between the two.

    With MAYBE the chance to modify those percentages a little through your work life.

    Hell, the SocSec numbers haven't been modified to follow life expectancy over it's own lifetime! What was it at the start? 63-64 years? Retirement at 65 meant a negligible payout period, easy to cover with taxes and contributions. Today, with life expectancies a decade or two longer, the contributory rates make no sense at all, but they've hardly, if ever, been changed to match.

    And everyone wants a Fix that Will Work in the next two to five years...

    Utter stupidity and unreality, but hell... So Popular... Makes me sick.

    But I've been very lucky in my life. Mom beat "self-reliance" and "stay out of debt" into me at a very early age, so I've saved every penny I could, with the assumption that SocSec would be the icing on the retirement cake, but I'd sure as hell try to maximize the cake _I_ was baking along the way.

    Today, SocSec accounts for maybe forty-something percent of our annual 'burn rate' of cash outlays, so if even if it collapses, our end-of-life won't be destitute, though a bunch of downsizing will probably be needed.

    People that think their financial needs in retirement will be a lot lower than before retiring are dreaming. Look at your fixed expenses and day-to-day living costs. You'll probably need around 80-90% of your net income At Retirement to live on After Retiring. Food, shelter, misc. insurance costs, rent or mortgage costs don't drop. Clothing? Did you spend all that much on ties and suits that you only wore to work? Those kinds of 'uniform costs' might be the only costs that disappear when you retire.

    Did your mom point that out to you? Do you think there's any truth in what I just said?

    Good luck, one way or the other!
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  • Posted by $ nickursis 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Armored wheelchairs, electric carts with machine guns, rifled canes, there are always options. Wait until you see something incredible like the Seniors March on Washington sponsored by Viagara. "Give a boner to Obama!"
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  • Posted by $ nickursis 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Robbie, I disagree. The number of eligible workers has continued to fall, and the number of eligible recipients has continued to rise and they live longer. Since there is not 1 penny in real money left, and the SS started to try to collect on the IOUs last year and were not paid, the system must crash as soon as the amount coming is exceeded by the amount going out, which will be very soon if not now. At that point the fed would have to start paying it as apart of the budget annually and that won't happen because it will cut money to the special interests who don't care if grandma starves, unless it is part of their special agenda.
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  • Posted by johnpe1 9 years, 5 months ago
    for decades, the dept of energy has been sneaking
    around, trying to find a way to get at the money set
    aside for manhattan project workers' pensions +
    benefits since ww2. . now, they are hitting the new
    Pantex and Y12 prime contractor with a mandate
    to reduce the costs of pensions and benefits, with
    the explicit claim that infrastructure must receive
    improved funding as a result.

    we in the worker group are griping and protesting,
    but they may get away with it. . these are fenced
    dollars intended only for workers, since the inception
    of the project. -- j

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  • Posted by gwynmarilyn 9 years, 5 months ago
    The banks are not going to lose they will Bail in your saving. Now the government will take over the pensions. So what do you plan on. Gold and sliver not in bank box but hidden in some safe, under your control. Buy food and water containers. You see what Detroit going threw.

    If you do not do this then you better have move to another country. Ayn Rand wrote what life would be like. All we can hope is there are the people she wrote about as well.
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  • Posted by $ jlc 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    And, from what I have read, if these individual plans are labeled as 'retirement plans' and thus distinguishable from other investments, they may be more subject to seizure by the government. (That is what happened on Cypress...do not recall if it has happened elsewhere.) I was all in favor of 401K's...but now I am not so much...

    Jan
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  • Posted by JanelleFila 9 years, 5 months ago
    My dad and I were just talking about how "retirement" was the most genius thing the government ever designed. They tax us, take money out of our paychecks week after week with the "promise" that they'll give us that full amount 40 years in the future. And who is using that money for the last 40 years? Earning interest? Genius.
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  • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Actually, someone already got that money, and money that you will pay in for several years. You merely want there to be some poor sap still paying in when it's your turn to start drawing out. Your money is long gone.
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  • Posted by Robbie53024 9 years, 5 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Who do you expect politicians to support - the dupes who lent them money, or the saps who keep voting them in to office?
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