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  • Posted by CircuitGuy 12 years, 7 months ago
    We may be close to replicator technology. A 3D printing revolution _may_ be coming, but it's not here yet. If production technology keeps improving, the cost of giving people some minimal amount of basic needs will be trivial. We'll pay for it as we pay for bubblers in the park. Just taxing people to pay for them is more efficient then excluding those who failed to pay a parks maintenance fee.

    A good recent book on this is "Makers: The New Industrial Revolution"

    I believe there is a slow automation revolution happening, but I'm not sure if 3D printing will play a huge role. I think so.

    If technology ever makes the cost of production trivial, we'll need a new law for rightwing ideologues: "Any sufficiently complicated form of schadenfraude is indistinguishable from defending freedom."

    If we must shoehorn this issue into left/right, we could say what Seth Godin (a top author on marketing online) says in Linchpin: Karl Marx was right that a free market for labor would never distribute things produced to those who do the work of producing them, but maybe new technologies will result in a fairer distribution by lower the cost of the means of production. '

    http://www.element14.com/community/commu...
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    • Posted by khalling 12 years, 7 months ago
      "the cost of giving people some minimal amount of basic needs will be trivial. We'll pay for it as we pay for bubblers in the park. Just taxing people to pay for them is more efficient then excluding those who failed to pay a parks maintenance fee."
      the actual "cost" for feeding the poor should be quite low in the first place. The point never was do we have the technology to distribute and feed the starving, house the poor or heal the sick. We get exponentially more advanced at this all the time. Then why doesn't the number of people in poverty go DOWN exponentially as well? No, instead it increases. 1. governments poor policies, graft and gratuity 2. government's inefficient distribution 3. people who want some things for nothing
      The idea that technology will give us the solutions to these problems at some future date completely ignores that technology has far surpassed these problems NOW. Where might technology be TODAY if we had not focused on a welfare state. If we didn't just believe food grew on trees but actually planted the orchards, watered the trees, maintained their health, harvested the fruit, distributed the fruit efficiently, ensured storing the fruit properly. NO! it's whole society's yelling Give me the fruit! I need it! I shouldn't have to pay for it! vote for me-You shouldn't have to pay for it! if all of this upside down thinking were gone we would have had 10 things like the power of the internet and personal computers over the last decade! we'd all be flying to work instead of scratching our heads over why the interstate infrastructure is crumbling. Millions would survive cancer. but no. we have to nit pick around with bumbling idiots administrating every aspect of our lives and taking our money which could have been invested a thousand times more soundly.
      you go ahead and wish for 3D capabilities for butter-I'm sticking with the 3D guns

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      • Posted by CircuitGuy 12 years, 7 months ago
        We can't make something for no work, but I claim we may be heading to a time when we can have something for almost no work. We're not there yet. Suppose it happens and poverty decreases; fewer people lack their basic needs. Some people would be angered by such a development out of a perverse desire to see others suffer.
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        • Posted by khalling 12 years, 7 months ago
          and who is that? strawman that some like to see poor people suffer. Throughout the history of the world, technological advances incorporate creating "some things for almost no work." but creating and having are not the same thing. we have ratcheted up the definition of what it means to be poor and continue to do that. for all practical purposes we are well past the point of requiring large amounts of resources to get out of poverty compared to historical standards. the problem is an immoral attitude that Thomas Jefferson refers to:

          "The mass of mankind has not been born with saddles on their backs,
          nor a favored few booted and spurred, ready to ride them legitimately,
          by the grace of God."


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          • Posted by CircuitGuy 12 years, 7 months ago
            I thought you were saying originally that you were angry at the notion of society becoming so wealthy we can provide for people's needs as easily as we can provide drinking fountains. I thought were you saying, "Yeah, but I wanna see some people really miserable, not see problems _solved_." Now I think you're saying that what constitutes basic needs is unclear and opens to door to and an ever increasing "basic" lifestyle. Your apparent anger and talk of guns is because you think misguided efforts to provide "basic" needs end up slowing the very march of technology progress I think will solve some of our problems.
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            • Posted by khalling 12 years, 7 months ago
              I was making a nod to the classic economic debate guns or butter. I am not angry. I was making a point about protecting myself against government force taking away my means to thrive to give it to another group to thrive. it is an intellectual argument. why do you infer anger when I bring up guns? You and I disagree about technological progress solving the problem of starvation, etc. We have had the technological ability to help those out of the malthusian trap for over 150 years. Governments and anti-reason are responsible for for the starvation of people in the broader sense-I am not talking about those who do not choose life.
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              • Posted by CircuitGuy 12 years, 7 months ago
                When I think of guns or butter, I think of it meaning the gov't taxing your butter away to buy guns.

                Technology will not overcome anti-reason. If you say "people should do something to help the needy," and half the people perceive themselves as needy, that's a problem. I don't know how it was years ago, but I imagine most people would hear that and disagree about how/whether to help the needy. If most people think they're needy, no technology in the world will solve the problems.
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            • Posted by Hiraghm 12 years, 7 months ago
              It boils down to the old adage, "give a man a fish, feed him for a day; teach a man to fish, and he'll steal your markets".

              Give kids the basic education for taking care of themselves, and as adults fewer of them will need from others, and those who do will need less.
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              • Posted by CircuitGuy 12 years, 7 months ago
                Yes. They'll steal your markets and sometimes "disrupt" the market, i.e. make a product/service available to a new market for whom it previously was too complicated, expensive, or unreliable. Not only is that good for the economy, but it means people enjoy life, enjoy making something.
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  • Posted by $ rockymountainpirate 12 years, 7 months ago
    So true. This invocation of the Star Trek replicator reminds me of Arthur C. Clarke’s Third Law: “Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.” We’re going to have to add Tracinski’s Corollary to Clarke’s Laws: “Any sufficiently advanced economy is indistinguishable—in the minds of the left—from magic.”
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  • Posted by Zenphamy 12 years, 7 months ago
    Hi guys: I've been off the site for a while, but glad to see the discussion continuing.
    As regards this thread, I'm not sure that the points being made really reflect the fallacies of the ST vs ASE analogy. Picard's explanation misses the point of someone having to design and build the Star Ship, the replicators, and input some type of energy and materials. Picard also seems to forget, conveniently, that his own brother owns and operates a vineyard.

    For our actual world, 3D printers are going to change everybody's lives. We're not at the atomic or molecular level of ST replicators nor anywhere close yet, but the recent advances in the growth of specific organ and body materials on designed matrices will be combined with 3D printers for replacement organs and limbs. We've even progressed to growing brain cells that are functioning, from manipulated stem cells on a matrix. The advances and progressions beyond today staggers the imagination.

    But with all of that said, capitalism and AR's objectivism will remain active, more vital, and more necessary for continued advancements. Can you picture the difficulties the Human race will face at that point, between the makers, the takers, and the communitarian equalizers? Think of the pure terror in the hearts of the control freaks of the bureaucracies trying to satisfy the needs of their defined poors with those types of technologies spreading like tsunamis throughout their constructed equal realities based on some concept of a human right to food, housing, health care, a cell phone, internet connectivity, a living wage (whether earned or not) cable TV, transportation, on and on. I'm sure that they'll try to control it. If they can't figure out how to give it to everyone, through their collectivist control, they'll try to deny it to those that can obtain it. They're already discussing the controls they'd like to implement. 3D printer technology truly frightens the collectivist.

    Thinking of why the number of 'poor' not only doesn't go down, but actually increases as our technical advances make it more and more obvious that we can feed the approximate 6.5 billion gaping maws of our world really points out even greater fallacies in the ST economy. It's not really about feeding the disadvantaged (through luck of birth place or abilities), it's about growing a more and more dependent populace while decreasing the productive individualist. In the last 50 years, we've set African Americans and Latinos back generations through program after program and concentrating those programs into urban areas that leads to soon overwhelming the available tax base, and have now gone after the rest of the population. That's not only the US, but more-so Europe, those Europe has chosen as their own minorities to start with.

    I can't find the link today, but within the last two weeks an article discussed recent findings that we have just passed the tipping point of the number of Americans working vs. those receiving some form of government support. The sad issue is that I haven't found a 'Galt's Gulch' yet. I fear that it may not exist or even be possible on our world today. Maybe that echoes the 3D gun reliance. It really is a frightening world we find ourselves in, isn't it?
    KYFHO
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  • Posted by $ MikeMarotta 12 years, 7 months ago
    I am copying and pasting the tet-a-tet between CircuitGuy and KHalling. It is very revealing of personal differences expressed as philosophy. The argument cannot be won.

    Long ago, I posted several essays about Star Trek and Economics on the old WELL: Whole Earth 'Lectronic Link (now owned by Salon). The only capitalists are the Ferengi. (Quark of Deep Space Nine was played by Armin Shimerman, Dr. Ferris in Atlas 1. He is a bit of a Rand fan.) In ST:NG, Picard's crew rescues some 20th century humans frozen in a spaceship including a "businessman." Picard has to explain that we no longer pursue the acquisition of -things-, but work to improve -ourselves-. The Ferengi use "gold-pressed latinum" for money, but never in any series does any Federation Starfleet person actually buy anything.

    The disconnect is with that set of Hollywood writers who never learned economics. The Star Wars franchise has the same sort of problem. At least on Battlestar Galactica, they did have their cubits and the collectible coins and notes stage props can be found for sale in the fan after-markets.

    But as for Star Trek, even when the warp core has to be ejected, they never lose their replicators. It's magic. A couple of times, I have seen people put unused food and dishes back into the replicator. But no one every puts energy into it.

    One final point, I think that k is factually wrong about the number people in poverty increasing exponentially.In truth, poverty is evaporating. Billions live better now than anyone could have 200 years ago.

    On another Objectivist board some of the codgers were waxing nostalgic for the outhouses of their childhoods. I could not get them to see the link between outhouses and typhoid. They denied it with scoffing. Just to say, we live in a world where millions and billions have indoor plumbing thanks to capitalism and its prototype "replicators" the factory ... financed by people with excess wealth seeking to increase that wealth.
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    • Posted by khalling 12 years, 7 months ago
      you make good points. I should have said those *defined* by the US government or other organizations (such as the United Nations) as under the poverty line. However, there are still millions in the world living in the malthusian trap needlessly.
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