Is this a once in a century evidence fiasco?

Posted by $ Dobrien 4 months, 1 week ago to History
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For reference, Dr. Ioannidis is a professor of medicine and professor of epidemiology and population health at Stanford University School of Medicine, and co-director of the Meta-Research Innovation Center at Stanford at Stanford University. He's one of the most respected health scientists in the world.
This Stanford professor states the mortality rate is more like the seasonal flu. The data to make predictions has serious flaws.
“The Pandemic of the century or the once in a lifetime evidence fiasco?”

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  • Posted by exceller 4 months, 1 week ago
    The professor is correct and he is taking scientific and rational approach pointing out how information needed about the virus is being canvassed. Not even he knew more about it than everyone else at the time when it surfaced.

    When the epidemic started the world and yes, the medical community was totally unprepared for what they were facing. As he also pointed out, the reactions were typical for an epidemic, which was the best that could be done, rather than doing nothing. Overreaction is a better course than under. We already have proof for that.

    Even he does not know how things will unfold b/c he does not have all the data. The virus may disappear tomorrow but resurface again in six months. What will people say then? That we should have known?

    The data is coming in as the effort to clarify what the enemy looks like is ongoing.

    It is very easy to point fingers but the blamers have no answer how would they have handled it themselves. This is no time for blame game.
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  • Posted by exceller 4 months, 1 week ago
    I am running a rolling stat on the cases and mortality rates daily.

    The professor is correct.

    Info about the pandemic is skewed according to the agenda of the publisher.

    While worldwide cases appear to be leveling off, mortality rates are up.

    Global mortality rate went up from 3.84% to 5.37%.

    In the USA it went up from 1.83% to 2.67%, in the period of March 16 to April 3..

    The numbers are a function of testing rate and reporting, We know that China did not report all cases, let alone deaths.
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  • Posted by $ Olduglycarl 4 months, 1 week ago
    He unbiasedly exclaims the data is unreliable without pointing the finger at shear fraud in reporting.

    But, as we all realize, China purposely screwed the pooch...
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