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  • Posted by exceller 4 years, 3 months ago
    "Tactical leaders tend to make mistakes, largely because they cannot see the long-term implications of their decisions."

    I was trained to forecast for long term.

    Then it turned out, that long term forecasts were as good as predicting the weather three years down the line.

    So we did not forecast for longer than 3 years.

    Now, even that is subject to overview.

    The fact of the matter is that forecasting is a gamble. It either pans out or it doesn't.

    When consultants tell you that the market will grow 25% per year, take it with a grain of salt.

    Projecting political outcomes has an even smaller chance of being on the dot.

    As all the polls predicting Clinton win in 2016 proved. Same in European elections. It is quite sobering to look at the methods how predictions are made, let alone taking into account the intentional distortion by the MSM.
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    • Posted by mccannon01 4 years, 3 months ago
      "Tactical leaders tend to make mistakes..." I noticed the same thing, exceller, and I like your input on that. I would like to add, not just tactical, but REAL leaders tend to make mistakes from time to time because real leaders actually make decisions and one can not expect perfection all the time. An indecisive leader will hand wring and blather about diplomacy and appeasement while his people are being murdered and maimed by the hundreds, but a real leader sends a smart bomb message loud and clear.
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