"Investments" In Gold?

Posted by IamNemo 9 years, 6 months ago to Economics
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I've been listening to commercials from companies that sell gold for years about how the US Dollar is going to crash and will soon be worthless.
My question is: Why are these companies willing to sell me gold in exchange for my soon to be worthless US Dollars? Take it to their ultimate end prediction, they will be stuck with worthless US Dollars and no gold.


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  • Posted by LionelHutz 9 years, 6 months ago
    You're asking a good question. My own suspicion is some of these companies were gold investing through the 1980s when it was in the 300s and they're looking to cash out prior to retirements. They think they won't be alive to see the ultimate end - maybe buying property they wish to pass to heirs. Otherwise, I agree with jbrenner - they make commission money both directions - buying and selling. It's in their interest to promote "we buy gold!", and then almost in the same breath say "now is the perfect time for YOU to buy gold!". High turnover rates make them money. Do I think this means they are disingenuous in their proclamations to invest in gold because the currency will collapse to worthlessness in the future? A little bit, yeah.
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  • Posted by $ Susanne 9 years, 6 months ago
    Be careful, tho... the prices are being manipulated and its awful easy to buy into a "fear purchase" at a grossly inflated price. Not saying don't buy, but know what you're buying, and what its real value is (and what you plan on doing with it if the bottom drops out of the FRN paper)...
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    • Posted by Danno 9 years, 6 months ago
      Given the amount of currency printing since 2008, especially, gold is undervalued. Consider gold as insurance not investment.
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      • Posted by $ Susanne 9 years, 6 months ago
        My point is this - unless you have already researched a trading system to exchange your "lumps o'metal" for tangible goods, all you have are bright yellow or silver lumps of metal. I'm not saying don't hedge in metal; what I am saying is unless you have a way to turn your metal into food, ammo, goods, etc (the infamous beans, bullets, and band aids) when SHTF, and trade in the stuff (scales, scratch-test kits, etc.) you're gonna go hungry awfully fast.

        Some businesses I know of run what I call a "dual-economy" system - trade in and accept payment in FRN or $Ag/$Au, not smiled upon by the dotgov, but if the "flag goes up" they and their customer base will already be ready to keep the economy going at their level.
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        • Posted by johnpe1 9 years, 6 months ago
          Susanne, could we not also use these lumps of metal
          as hidden inheritance? I may quietly give some to
          my niece and nephew this Christmas as a surprise
          inheritance, under the table, kinda....... -- j

          p.s. neither of us has kids.

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  • Posted by RonC 9 years, 6 months ago
    gold is pretty to look at. If you buy low and sell high you can keep the change. But, in the mean time it pays no dividend and does not work for it's owner. The guys selling the gold are not investors, they make their margin on each sale. Otherwise, they would be hoarding it, waiting for the bubble. The most risk is borrowing money to buy or leveraging. Scares me. The last bullion I bought was silver and it was $27/oz. It seemed like it had to go up. Let's just say now is not a good time to sell bullion!
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  • Posted by 9 years, 6 months ago
    What would be the better choice for saving for the long term? Cash or gold and silver?
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    • Posted by LionelHutz 9 years, 6 months ago
      Know the laws. 25% tax on sale of bullion as it is viewed as a "collectable" that has appreciated in value (even though it is really the dollar that has depreciated against the metal). Factor this into your calculation of what you think your likely appreciation is over your "long term". Most people do not do this because you can walk into a coin store and sell less than (I think) $3000 and they will just hand you cash, no questions asked, no ID shown, no report filed. But if you try to unload out of PMs in a big way...you better believe that is a tax reportable event that will be reported whether YOU do it or not.
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  • Posted by Danno 9 years, 6 months ago
    All fiat currencies have went to 0 value. When a new currency is floated typically you get 1 to 10,000 old currency. Gold has never lost much value. As the old saying goes an ounce of gold buys a nice Italian suit.
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  • Posted by johnpe1 9 years, 6 months ago
    we believe that a little gold and a little silver are
    good barter materials if we must attempt to salvage
    a life after things go wrong.

    one thing is patently obvious::: these brokers get a
    very handsome percentage (13.5% on our last
    transaction) when shifts and conversions occur,,,
    plus, they get a handsome storage fee ($350/year,
    at last count) for holding the stuff. whatta deal! -- j

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  • Posted by sfdi1947 9 years, 6 months ago
    A basic consideration must not be limited to the crumbling U.S. economy, but to the world's economy.
    Taken at face value it is less than miserable, and has been for years. It has taken 53 years to climb from the roughly 800 billion dollar total debt (Which dependent on the records researched, is subject to discussion.) that Eisenhower left us, to the 18 trillion in secured debt and 103 trillion in unfunded debt, and as a ratio of secured debt to GDP (14.3:17.973) of .79:1 we are in sad shape, and are further restricted from digging our way out the hole by the Departments of the Interior and the EPA.
    But the rest of the world, save South Africa, are in worse shape. China's monster economic engine has no security and is 100 percent based in the credit fueled buying power of the US and Western Europe.
    Wonder about the value of gold, currently it is worth whatever the market will bear, but what will it be worth in a Barter Economy, such as the majority of the world had from 175 ECE when Rome went Bankrupt till the early Renaissance years around 1400 MCE. Today an ounce of gold, perhaps a US Double Eagle or a Rand, is fluctuating around $1,221.06 (2014:10.01:2324) in the markets that are currently open. This will probably have a face value of $20 more or less after the inevitable crash. Because, a Dame Margaret Thatcher said, "[Liberals have forgotten that] Eventually you will run out of other peoples money."
    Today's Rome is the United States of America.
    What will have real value, as it had in the dark age, is the strength of you arm and your arms, and your value as a leader, a hunter or a producer.
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  • Posted by CircuitGuy 9 years, 6 months ago
    The USD isn't a store of value but rather a medium of exchange. The gold vendors can take the USD and buy a set of businesses providing goods and services to willing customers. All the value is in that.
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  • Posted by wiggys 9 years, 6 months ago
    sometime back when gold was in the $1600.00 range a gold dealer called me. obviously to buy gold. I said suppose we were to go to dinner at a fine and expensive restaurant, he lived in the miami area so the choice would be large. and i further said after we had dinner with 2 bottles of expensive wine, not necessarily good and we were brought the bill and he took out a gold kugerrand to pay. the bill being $800.00. he told the waiter what it was worth $1600.00 and to keep $100.00 as a tip and give him change in US dollars. I then said the waiter would probably ask for cash or a credit card. The only value that gold has is for jewelry.
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  • Posted by $ Abaco 9 years, 6 months ago
    In some of my work today I had to discuss this with somebody.

    In our recent history I can think of one time when physical gold was used in a crisis. I bet there have been others - I just don't know about them. It was when Pol Pot moved in and took over. Some families hoarded a little gold, stashing it in the folds of their clothes. On occassion they would use it to barter for a bag of rice or similar while the entire population was starving to death, buying themselves a couple extra days of life, essentially. And, important to note, if the government learned you had gold they chopped your head off. So...I'm a bigger fan of guns and bullets should it ever "come to that".
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  • Posted by $ MikeMarotta 9 years, 6 months ago
    The amount of gold in mines is known. The amount of gold in the ocean is known. The amount of gold in the solar system, galaxy, and universe have been estimated (considered known). Even if you could convert energy to gold, the amount would be finite. Thus. gold maintains its value relative to existing goods and services. A man's three-piece wool suit, for instance, still costs the same ounce of gold it did 100 years ago. However, today, we have computers, iPads, and the heartbreak of Kim Kardashian. Right now, here in Texas, we have an embola victim. He flew DIRECT from Monrovia to Dallas-Fort Worth. You could not do that 100 years ago. So, today, your gold is worth more.

    Gold is for savings. You can make money buying and selling it like cocoa or North Sea Crude Oil. But its purpose is not to make enjoyable beverages or to power engines and make plastics. The fundamental purpose is not even savings: monetary gold is a distant second to jewelry. (Admittedly, in many cultures, gold adornments are their monetary savings. So those numbers must be adjusted. And, here we are indeed considering monetary gold, not jewelry.)

    These many quips in this topic, typically by moochers, just display the common ignorance of political conservatives. Way back in 1966, at a local meeting of Young Americans for Freedom, one of my conservative comrades made the same claim: in a world of skyscrapers, there is not enough gold to go around; for everyone to have enough money, we must have the government issue it. That was ignorant 50 years ago; it remains ignorant today.

    I could write more, and have. See "Objectivism and the Gold Standard" here http://necessaryfacts.blogspot.com/2011/... . The matter is complicated. Unfortunately, most only forums encourage 50-word replies.
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    • Posted by johnpe1 9 years, 6 months ago
      I was just remembering YAF the other night, in a
      conversation with a friend -- and the AuH2O
      bumper stickers. -- j

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      • Posted by $ MikeMarotta 9 years, 6 months ago
        Hillary Rodham was in Youth for Goldwater. Had I only known back then what I know today ... In any case: AuH2O in 64! ... Even Ayn Rand endorsed him; or: Ayn Rand even endorsed him. Her marginalia in _Conscience of a Conservative_ was damning; but she made the hard choice.
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  • Posted by $ allosaur 9 years, 6 months ago
    Should we have a socioeconomic collapse half as bad as Road Warrior movies, I don''t think gold will be worth much of anything save for filling teeth maybe.
    We will have "liquid gold" for gasoline to trade, loot and fight over. Ammunition may become more valuable than the guns that it loads.
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    • Posted by $ jlc 9 years, 6 months ago
      Yes, Allosaur. While having precious metals may be a good way to hedge against a potential surfeit of paper money, the first thing to invest in is 'catastrophe insurance' - water, food, power, medicine.

      Jan
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  • Posted by DaveM49 9 years, 6 months ago
    A wonderful point. Gold is a fixed value, which "rises" and "falls" relative to national currencies, particularly those which issue fiat money (including the U.S.) Since those "increases" and "decreases" are being measured against mediums of exchange which have no intrinsic value, they are mere empty statistics.

    Unless of course one gets into commodities trading, but tat's another subject entirely.
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